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The role of epidemiological models is crucial for informing public health officials during a public health emergency, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. However, traditional epidemiological models fail to capture the time-varying effects of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-17 Adam Spannaus , Theodore Papamarkou , Samantha Erwin , J. Blair Christian

Fever can provide valuable information for diagnosis and prognosis of various diseases such as pneumonia, dengue, sepsis, etc., therefore, predicting fever early can help in the effectiveness of treatment options and expediting the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-16 Aditya Singh , Akram Mohammed , Lokesh Chinthala , Rishikesan Kamaleswaran

The advent of the coronavirus pandemic has sparked the interest in predictive models capable of forecasting virus-spreading, especially for boosting and supporting decision-making processes. In this paper, we will outline the main Deep…

The worldwide impact of the recent COVID-19 pandemic has been substantial, necessitating the development of accurate forecasting models to predict the spread and course of a pandemic. Previous methods for outbreak forecasting have faced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Ashutosh Anshul , Jhalak Gupta , Mohammad Zia Ur Rehman , Nagendra Kumar

While the ICD code assignment problem has been widely studied, most works have focused on post-discharge document classification. Models for early forecasting of this information could be used for identifying health risks, suggesting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-18 Cindy Shih-Ting Huang , Clarence Boon Liang Ng , Marek Rei

Referral workflow inefficiencies, including misaligned referrals and delays, contribute to suboptimal patient outcomes and higher healthcare costs. In this study, we investigated the possibility of predicting procedural needs based on…

This study investigates the impact of masking strategies on time series imputation models in healthcare settings. While current approaches predominantly rely on random masking for model evaluation, this practice fails to capture the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Linglong Qian , Yiyuan Yang , Wenjie Du , Jun Wang , Richard Dobsoni , Zina Ibrahim

Dengue is a vector-borne disease transmitted by Aedes mosquitoes. The worldwide spread of these mosquitoes and the increasing disease burden have emphasized the need for a spatio-temporal risk map capable of assessing dengue outbreak…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-11 Aram Vajdi , Lee W. Cohnstaedt , Caterina M. Scoglio

In this study, we develop a multi criteria model to identify dengue outbreak periods. To validate the model, we performed a simulation using dengue transmission-related data in Sri Lanka's Western Province. Our results indicated that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-08 Piotr Jakubowski , Hasitha Erandi , Anuradha Mahasinghe , Sanjeewa Perera , Andrzej Ameljańczyk

Due to simplicity and strong stability guarantees, predictor feedback methods have stood as a popular approach for time delay systems since the 1950s. For time-varying delays, however, implementation requires computing a prediction horizon…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-01 Luke Bhan , Miroslav Krstic , Yuanyuan Shi

As global living standards improve and medical technology advances, many infectious diseases have been effectively controlled. However, certain diseases, such as the recent COVID-19 pandemic, continue to pose significant threats to public…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Ayesha Baig , Li Zhouxin

Face-to-face social contacts are potentially important transmission routes for acute respiratory infections, and understanding the contact network can improve our ability to predict, contain, and control epidemics. Although workplaces are…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-02 Gail E. Potter , Timo Smieszek , Kerstin Sailer

Background. Defect prediction has been a highly active topic among researchers in the Empirical Software Engineering field. Previous literature has successfully achieved the most accurate prediction of an incoming fault and identified the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Mikel Robredo , Matteo Esposito , Fabio Palomba , Rafael Peñaloza , Valentina Lenarduzzi

This paper is concerned with a stochastic model for the spread of an SEIR (susceptible -> exposed (=latent) -> infective -> removed) epidemic with a contact tracing scheme, in which removed individuals may name some of their infectious…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Frank G Ball , Edward S Knock , Philip D O'Neill

Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, many dashboards have emerged as useful tools to monitor the evolution of the pandemic, inform the public, and assist governments in decision making. Our goal is to develop a globally applicable…

Investigating the seasonality of disease incidences is very important in disease surveillance in regions with periodical climatic patterns. In lieu of the paradigm about disease incidences varying seasonally in line with meteorology, this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Karunia Putra Wijaya , Dipo Aldila

Timely and robust influenza incidence forecasting is critical for public health decision-making. This paper presents MAESTRO (Multi-modal Adaptive Estimation for Temporal Respiratory Disease Outbreak), a novel, unified framework that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Hong Liu , Kerui Cen , Yanxing Chen , Zige Liu , Dong Chen , Zifeng Yang , Chitin Hon

Predicting whether to expect a high incidence of infectious diseases is critical for health surveillance. In the epidemiology of dengue, environmental conditions can significantly impact the transmission of the virus. Utilizing…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-23 Daniel A. M. Villela

A dramatic increase in the number of outbreaks of Dengue has recently been reported, and climate change is likely to extend the geographical spread of the disease. In this context, this paper shows how a neural network approach can…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-09 Paula Bergero , Laura P. Schaposnik , Grace Wang

Accurate delivery delay prediction is critical for maintaining operational efficiency and customer satisfaction across modern supply chains. Yet the increasing complexity of logistics networks, spanning multimodal transportation,…