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Models in which the number of goals scored by a team in a soccer match follow a Poisson distribution, or a closely related one, have been widely discussed. We here consider a soccer match as an experiment to assess which of two teams is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-09-29 G. K. Skinner , G. H. Freeman

The games of prediction with expert advice are considered in this paper. We present some modification of Kalai and Vempala algorithm of following the perturbed leader for the case of unrestrictedly large one-step gains. We show that in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2008-06-30 Vladimir V. V'yugin

Elections are the backbone of any democratic country, where voters elect the candidates as their representatives. The emergence of social networking sites has provided a platform for political parties and their candidates to connect with…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-05-02 Maneet Singh , S. R. S. Iyengar , Akrati Saxena , Rishemjit Kaur

Forecasting winners in E-sports with real-time analytics has the potential to further engage audiences watching major tournament events. However, making such real-time predictions is challenging due to unpredictable variables within the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Kittimate Chulajata , Sean Wu , Fabien Scalzo , Eun Sang Cha

In this paper we present a novel approach to optimise tactical and strategic decision making in football (soccer). We model the game of football as a multi-stage game which is made up from a Bayesian game to model the pre-match decisions…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-03-24 Ryan Beal , Georgios Chalkiadakis , Timothy J. Norman , Sarvapali D. Ramchurn

This paper presents flood prediction models for the state of Kerala in India by analyzing the monthly rainfall data and applying machine learning algorithms including Logistic Regression, K-Nearest Neighbors, Decision Trees, Random Forests,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-14 Sai Prasanth Kadiyala , Wai Lok Woo

Small and marginal farmers, who account for over 80% of India's agricultural population, often sell their harvest at low, unfavorable prices before spoilage. These farmers often lack access to either cold storage or market forecasts. In…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-12-14 Wei Ma , Kendall Nowocin , Niraj Marathe , George H. Chen

The evolution of digital technology and the increasing popularity of sports inspired the innovators to take the experience of users with a proclivity towards sports to a whole new different level, by introducing Fantasy Sports Platforms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-16 Sachin Kumar S , Prithvi HV , C Nandini

Prediction is a well-studied machine learning task, and prediction algorithms are core ingredients in online products and services. Despite their centrality in the competition between online companies who offer prediction-based products,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-05-09 Omer Ben-Porat , Moshe Tennenholtz

In this paper a new heuristic optimization algorithm has been introduced based on the performance of the major football leagues within each season in EU countries. The algorithm starts with an initial population including three different…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-06-18 Erfan Khaji

Probabilistic properties of tennis scoring systems are examined and compared with best-of-K systems. A model, where each player has his/her own probability of winning his/her service point and which remains invariant for the duration of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-04 Edsel A. Pena , Dip Das , Yuexuan Wu

Competition is a primary driver of player satisfaction and engagement in multiplayer online games. Traditional matchmaking systems aim at creating matches involving teams of similar aggregated individual skill levels, such as Elo score or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Sofia M Nikolakaki , Ogheneovo Dibie , Ahmad Beirami , Nicholas Peterson , Navid Aghdaie , Kazi Zaman

A scoring system is a simple decision model that checks a set of features, adds a certain number of points to a total score for each feature that is satisfied, and finally makes a decision by comparing the total score to a threshold.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-01 Jonas Hanselle , Stefan Heid , Johannes Fürnkranz , Eyke Hüllermeier

Round robin tournaments are omnipresent in sport competitions and beyond. We propose two new integer programming formulations for scheduling a round robin tournament, one of which we call the matching formulation. We analytically compare…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-18 Jasper van Doornmalen , Christopher Hojny , Roel Lambers , Frits C. R. Spieksma

Sports betting's recent federal legalisation in the USA coincides with the golden age of machine learning. If bettors can leverage data to reliably predict the probability of an outcome, they can recognise when the bookmaker's odds are in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-02 Conor Walsh , Alok Joshi

Primary Immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) is a rare autoimmune disease characterised by immune-mediated destruction of peripheral blood platelets in patients leading to low platelet counts and bleeding. The diagnosis and effective management of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Haroon Miah , Dimitrios Kollias , Giacinto Luca Pedone , Drew Provan , Frederick Chen

Probabilistic modeling is an effective tool for evaluating team performance and predicting outcomes in sports. However, an important question that hasn't been fully explored is whether these models can reliably reflect actual performance…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-18 Sheikh Badar Ud Din Tahir , Leonardo Egidi , Nicola Torelli

Serves, especially first serves, are very important in professional tennis. Servers choose their serve directions strategically to maximize their winning chances while trying to be unpredictable. On the other hand, returners try to predict…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Ying Zhu , Ruthuparna Naikar

Predicting performance outcomes has the potential to transform training approaches, inform coaching strategies, and deepen our understanding of the factors that contribute to athletic success. Traditional non-automated data analysis in…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-09-12 Melik Ozolcer , Tongze Zhang , Sang Won Bae

A common way of doing algorithm selection is to train a machine learning model and predict the best algorithm from a portfolio to solve a particular problem. While this method has been highly successful, choosing only a single algorithm has…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-11-19 Lars Kotthoff