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A random forest is a popular tool for estimating probabilities in machine learning classification tasks. However, the means by which this is accomplished is unprincipled: one simply counts the fraction of trees in a forest that vote for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-17 Matthew A. Olson , Abraham J. Wyner

STV and ranked pairs (RP) are two well-studied voting rules for group decision-making. They proceed in multiple rounds, and are affected by how ties are broken in each round. However, the literature is surprisingly vague about how ties…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-01-29 Jun Wang , Sujoy Sikdar , Tyler Shepherd , Zhibing Zhao , Chunheng Jiang , Lirong Xia

Daily fantasy sports (DFS) are weekly or daily online contests where real-game performances of individual players are converted to fantasy points (FPTS). Users select players for their lineup to maximize their FPTS within a set player…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-29 Joseph M. Mahoney , Tomasz B. Paniak

Predicting trends in stock market prices has been an area of interest for researchers for many years due to its complex and dynamic nature. Intrinsic volatility in stock market across the globe makes the task of prediction challenging.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-03 Luckyson Khaidem , Snehanshu Saha , Sudeepa Roy Dey

Recently, research on predicting match outcomes in esports has been actively conducted, but much of it is based on match log data and statistical information. This research targets the FPS game VALORANT, which requires complex strategies,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Nirai Hayakawa , Kazumasa Shimari , Kazuma Yamasaki , Hirotatsu Hoshikawa , Rikuto Tsuchida , Kenichi Matsumoto

We present an extensive statistical analysis of the results of all sports competitions in five major sports leagues in England and the United States. We characterize the parity among teams by the variance in the winning fraction from…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim , F. Vazquez , S. Redner

Predicting athletes' performance has relied mostly on statistical data. Besides the traditional data, various types of data, including video, have become available. However, it is challenging to use them for deep learning, especially when…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-04-07 Jaeyoun You , Jinhan Choi , Ho-Jae Shin , Bongwon Suh

Standard measures of batting performance such as a batting average and an on-base percentage can be decomposed into component rates such as strikeout rates and home run rates. The likelihood of hitting data for a group of players can be…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-26 Jim Albert

Machine learning, statistical-based, and knowledge-based methods are often used to implement an Anomaly-based Intrusion Detection System which is software that helps in detecting malicious and undesired activities in the network primarily…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Vusumuzi Malele , Topside E Mathonsi

This research work aims to develop an analytical approach for optimizing team formation and predicting team performance in a competitive environment based on data on the competitors' skills prior to the team formation. There are several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-02 Federico Galbiati , Ranier X. Gran , Brendan D. Jacques , Sullivan J. Mulhern , Chun-Kit Ngan

A new formalism for analyzing the progression of cricket game using Stochastic differential equation (SDE) is introduced. This theory enables a quantitative way of representing every team using three key variables which have physical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-21 Santosh Kumar Radha

The non-scientific event of a soccer match is analysed on a strictly scientific level. The analysis is based on the recently introduced concept of a team fitness (Eur. Phys. J. B 67, 445, 2009) and requires the use of finite-size scaling. A…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-03-03 Andreas Heuer , Christian Mueller , Oliver Rubner

In this manuscript, we concentrate on a specific type of covariates, which we call statistically enhanced, for modeling tennis matches for men at Grand slam tournaments. Our goal is to assess whether these enhanced covariates have the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-27 Nourah Buhamra , Andreas Groll

In-game win probability models, which provide a sports team's likelihood of winning at each point in a game based on historical observations, are becoming increasingly popular. In baseball, basketball and American football, they have become…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-16 Pieter Robberechts , Jan Van Haaren , Jesse Davis

We use the martingale-theoretic approach of game-theoretic probability to incorporate imprecision into the study of randomness. In particular, we define a notion of computable randomness associated with interval, rather than precise,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Gert de Cooman , Jasper De Bock

We consider the problem of selecting a portfolio of entries of fixed cardinality for contests with top-heavy payoff structures, i.e. most of the winnings go to the top-ranked entries. This framework is general and can be used to model a…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2019-01-24 David Scott Hunter , Juan Pablo Vielma , Tauhid Zaman

Understanding player behavior is fundamental in game data science. Video games evolve as players interact with the game, so being able to foresee player experience would help to ensure a successful game development. In particular, game…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-10 Anna Guitart , Pei Pei Chen , Paul Bertens , África Periáñez

The experiments covered by Machine Learning (ML) must consider two important aspects to assess the performance of a model: datasets and algorithms. Robust benchmarks are needed to evaluate the best classifiers. For this, one can adopt gold…

Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence can be widely used to diagnose chronic diseases so that necessary precautionary treatment can be done in critical time. Diabetes Mellitus which is one of the major diseases can be easily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-22 V. Vakil , S. Pachchigar , C. Chavda , S. Soni

With the development of measurement technology, data on the movements of actual games in various sports can be obtained and used for planning and evaluating the tactics and strategy. Defense in team sports is generally difficult to be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-05-10 Kosuke Toda , Masakiyo Teranishi , Keisuke Kushiro , Keisuke Fujii
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