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As the major target of many vaccines and neutralizing antibodies against SARS-CoV-2, the spike (S) protein is observed to mutate over time. In this paper, we present statistical approaches to tackle some challenges associated with the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-02 Shiyu He , Samuel W. K. Wong

In this paper a Bayesian SEIR model is studied to estimate the proportion of the population infected with SARS-CoV-2, the virus responsible for COVID-19. To capture heterogeneity in the population and the effect of interventions to reduce…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-28 Henrik Hult , Martina Favero

The outbreak of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) threatens global medical systems and economies, and rules our daily living life. Controlling the outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 has become one of the most important…

Medical Physics · Physics 2020-10-09 Jing Zhong , Enja Laureen Roesch , Thilo Viereck , Meinhard Schilling , Frank Ludwig

Large-scale testing is considered key to assess the state of the current COVID-19 pandemic. Yet, the link between the reported case numbers and the true state of the pandemic remains elusive. We develop mathematical models based on…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-04 Michel Besserve , Simon Buchholz , Bernhard Schölkopf

SARS-CoV-2 is a severe respiratory infection that infects humans. Its outburst entitled it as a pandemic emergence. To get a grip on this, outbreak specific preventive and therapeutic interventions are urgently needed. It must be said that,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-07 Giulia Russo , Marzio Pennisi , Marco Viceconti , Francesco Pappalardo

In February 2020 the first human infection with SARS-CoV-2 was reported in Germany. Since then the local public health offices have been responsible to monitor and react to the dynamics of the pandemic. One of their major tasks is to…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-02 Sonja Jäckle , Elias Röger , Volker Dicken , Benjamin Geisler , Jakob Schumacher , Max Westphal

In this study, we propose a time-dependent Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) model for the analysis of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic outbreak in three different countries, the United States of America, Italy and Iceland using public…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-08 P. Girardi , C. Gaetan

There is a growing interest in modeling and analyzing the spread of diseases like the SARS-CoV-2 infection using stochastic models. These models are typically analyzed quantitatively and are not often subject to validation using formal…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-02 Marco Roveri , Franc Ivankovic , Luigi Palopoli , Daniele Fontanelli

The COVID-19 pandemic response relied heavily on statistical and machine learning models to predict key outcomes such as case prevalence and fatality rates. These predictions were instrumental in enabling timely public health interventions…

The development and authorization of COVID-19 vaccines has provided the clearest path forward to eliminate community spread hence end the ongoing SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. However, the limited pace at which the vaccine can be administered…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-11 Glenn Young , Pengcheng Xiao , Kenneth Newcomb , Edwin Michael

In the current COVID19 crisis many national healthcare systems are confronted with an acute shortage of tests for confirming SARS-CoV-2 infections. For low overall infection levels in the population, pooling of samples can drastically…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-24 Rudolf Hanel , Stefan Thurner

The amount of sequencing data for SARS-CoV-2 is several orders of magnitude larger than any virus. This will continue to grow geometrically for SARS-CoV-2, and other viruses, as many countries heavily finance genomic surveillance efforts.…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-10 Sarwan Ali , Prakash Chourasia , Zahra Tayebi , Babatunde Bello , Murray Patterson

In the past several months, COVID-19 has spread over the globe and caused severe damage to the people and the society. In the context of this severe situation, an effective drug discovery method to generate potential drugs is extremely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-26 Tianyue Cheng , Tianchi Fan , Landi Wang

When estimating population prevalence from a non-random sample, it is important to adjust for differences between sample and population. However, adjustment for multiple factors requires analysis that can be difficult to understand and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Swen Kuh , Lauren Kennedy , Qixuan Chen , Andrew Gelman

Severe acute respiratory disease SARS-CoV-2 has had a found impact on public health systems and healthcare emergency response especially with respect to making decisions on the most effective measures to be taken at any given time. As…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Charithea Stylianides , Kleanthis Malialis , Panayiotis Kolios

The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic, caused by the coronavirus SARS-CoV-2, has caused 60 millions of infections and 1.38 millions of fatalities. Genomic analysis of SARS-CoV-2 can provide insights on drug design and vaccine…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-26 Changchuan Yin , Stephen S. -T. Yau

Mutating variants of COVID-19 have been reported across many US states since 2021. In the fight against COVID-19, it has become imperative to study the heterogeneity in the time-varying transmission rates for each variant in the presence of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-17 K. D. Olumoyin , A. Q. M. Khaliq , K. M. Furati

Understanding the viral dynamics and immunizing antibodies of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is crucial for devising better therapeutic and prevention strategies for COVID-19. Here, we present a Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-27 Tracy Q. Dong , Elizabeth R. Brown

Due to the rapidly evolving COVID-19 pandemic caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus, quick public health investigations of the relationships between behaviours and infection risk are essential. Recently the test-negative design was proposed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-09 Mireille E. Schnitzer , Daphna Harel , Vikki Ho , Anita Koushik , Joanna Merckx

A genome, composed of a precisely ordered sequence of four nucleotides (ATCG), encompasses a multitude of specific genome features like AAA motif. Mutations occurring within a genome disrupt the sequential order and composition of these…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-26 Anyou Wang