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Stock market prediction has been a classical yet challenging problem, with the attention from both economists and computer scientists. With the purpose of building an effective prediction model, both linear and machine learning tools have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-13 Weiwei Jiang

The financial industry poses great challenges with risk modeling and profit generation. These entities are intricately tied to the sophisticated prediction of stock movements. A stock forecaster must untangle the randomness and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-14 Luke Sanborn , Matthew Sahagun

With the improvement of computer performance and the development of GPU-accelerated technology, trading with machine learning algorithms has attracted the attention of many researchers and practitioners. In this research, we propose a novel…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-23 Huanming Zhang , Zhengyong Jiang , Jionglong Su

The use of improved covariance matrix estimators as an alternative to the sample estimator is considered an important approach for enhancing portfolio optimization. Here we empirically compare the performance of 9 improved covariance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-27 Ester Pantaleo , Michele Tumminello , Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

Volatility-based trading strategies have attracted a lot of attention in financial markets due to their ability to capture opportunities for profit from market dynamics. In this article, we propose a new volatility-based trading strategy…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-21 Ivan Letteri

This paper investigates the application of Quantum Generative Adversarial Networks (QGANs) for stock price prediction. Financial markets are inherently complex, marked by high volatility and intricate patterns that traditional models often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Sangram Deshpande , Gopal Ramesh Dahale , Sai Nandan Morapakula , Uday Wad

In this work, we apply machine learning techniques to historical stock prices to forecast future prices. To achieve this, we use recursive approaches that are appropriate for handling time series data. In particular, we apply a linear…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-08 Ogulcan E. Orsel , Sasha S. Yamada

Modeling and characterizing multiple factors is perhaps the most important step in achieving excess returns over market benchmarks. Both academia and industry are striving to find new factors that have good explanatory power for future…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-31 Zikai Wei , Bo Dai , Dahua Lin

This paper introduces a novel approach to stock data analysis by employing a Hierarchical Graph Neural Network (HGNN) model that captures multi-level information and relational structures in the stock market. The HGNN model integrates stock…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Jianhua Yao , Yuxin Dong , Jiajing Wang , Bingxing Wang , Hongye Zheng , Honglin Qin

Predicting stock prices from textual information is a challenging task due to the uncertainty of the market and the difficulty understanding the natural language from a machine's perspective. Previous researches focus mostly on sentiment…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-28 Qinkai Chen , Christian-Yann Robert

Stock price movement prediction is commonly accepted as a very challenging task due to the volatile nature of financial markets. Previous works typically predict the stock price mainly based on its own information, neglecting the cross…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-16 Jiexia Ye , Juanjuan Zhao , Kejiang Ye , Chengzhong Xu

Reinforcement learning is a machine learning approach concerned with solving dynamic optimization problems in an almost model-free way by maximizing a reward function in state and action spaces. This property makes it an exciting area of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-12 Miquel Noguer i Alonso , Sonam Srivastava

How effective are the most common trading models? The answer may help investors realize upsides to using each model, act as a segue for investors into more complex financial analysis and machine learning, and to increase financial literacy…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-01 Joseph Attia

Stock trading has always been a challenging task due to the highly volatile nature of the stock market. Making sound trading decisions to generate profit is particularly difficult under such conditions. To address this, we propose four…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Devroop Kar , Zimeng Lyu , Sheeraja Rajakrishnan , Hao Zhang , Alex Ororbia , Travis Desell , Daniel Krutz

In this paper, we propose a machine learning algorithm for time-inconsistent portfolio optimization. The proposed algorithm builds upon neural network based trading schemes, in which the asset allocation at each time point is determined by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Kristoffer Andersson , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

Forecasting the trend of stock prices is an enduring topic at the intersection of finance and computer science. Periodical updates to forecasters have proven effective in handling concept drifts arising from non-stationary markets. However,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-01-18 Shiluo Huang , Zheng Liu , Ye Deng , Qing Li

This paper presents a comprehensive study on stock price prediction, leveragingadvanced machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to improve financial forecasting accuracy. The research evaluates the performance of various…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Daksh Dave , Gauransh Sawhney , Vikhyat Chauhan

Financial market prediction is a challenging application of machine learning, where even small improvements in directional accuracy can yield substantial value. Most models struggle to exceed 55--57\% accuracy due to high noise,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Abraham Itzhak Weinberg

Stock price movement prediction is a challenging and essential problem in finance. While it is well established in modern behavioral finance that the share prices of related stocks often move after the release of news via reactions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-26 Luis Villamil , Ryan Bausback , Shaeke Salman , Ting L. Liu , Conrad Horn , Xiuwen Liu

With the widespread engineering applications ranging from artificial intelligence and big data decision-making, originally a lot of tedious financial data processing, processing and analysis have become more and more convenient and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-26 Quanxi Wang