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Stock trend forecasting, which forecasts stock prices' future trends, plays an essential role in investment. The stocks in a market can share information so that their stock prices are highly correlated. Several methods were recently…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-21 Wentao Xu , Weiqing Liu , Lewen Wang , Yingce Xia , Jiang Bian , Jian Yin , Tie-Yan Liu

Stock price prediction is a complicated and interesting task. Noisy trends make stock pricing sensitive and complicated while the economical motivation behind, keeps it interesting for researchers and investors. In this paper we are to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Negin Bagherpour

Portfolio allocation via stock price prediction is inherently difficult due to the notoriously low signal-to-noise ratio of stock time series. This paper proposes a method by integrating wavelet transform convolution and channel attention…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-08 Junjie Guo

With technological advancements and the exponential growth of data, we have been unfolding different capabilities of neural networks in different sectors. In this paper, I have tried to use a specific type of Neural Network known as…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Kunal Bhardwaj

Portfolio optimization in real-world financial markets is notoriously difficult due to non-stationarity, noisy data, and high transaction costs. Standard predict-then-optimize methods first forecast returns and then solve for weights,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-29 Rahul Fernandes , Travis Desell

This study evaluates deep neural networks for forecasting probability distributions of financial returns. 1D convolutional neural networks (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) architectures are used to forecast parameters of three…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-03 Jakub Michańków

Our research presents a new approach for forecasting the synchronization of stock prices using machine learning and non-linear time-series analysis. To capture the complex non-linear relationships between stock prices, we utilize recurrence…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-12 Sanjay Sathish , Charu C Sharma

We propose a novel cointegrated autoregressive model for matrix-valued time series, with bi-linear cointegrating vectors corresponding to the rows and columns of the matrix data. Compared to the traditional cointegration analysis, our…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-18 Zebang Li , Han Xiao

Factor analysis is a statistical technique employed to evaluate how observed variables correlate through common factors and unique variables. While it is often used to analyze price movement in the unstable stock market, it does not always…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-13 Angela Gu , Patrick Zeng

Accurate covariance forecasting is central to portfolio allocation, risk management, and asset pricing, yet many existing methods struggle at medium-term horizons, where shifting market regimes and slower dynamics predominate. We propose a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Pedro Reis , Ana Paula Serra , João Gama

Deep learning is an effective approach to solving image recognition problems. People draw intuitive conclusions from trading charts; this study uses the characteristics of deep learning to train computers in imitating this kind of intuition…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-01-10 Yun-Cheng Tsai , Jun-Hao Chen , Jun-Jie Wang

Stock market prediction is still a challenging problem because there are many factors effect to the stock market price such as company news and performance, industry performance, investor sentiment, social media sentiment and economic…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-01 Rosdyana Mangir Irawan Kusuma , Trang-Thi Ho , Wei-Chun Kao , Yu-Yen Ou , Kai-Lung Hua

Long-term investors, different from short-term traders, focus on examining the underlying forces that affect the well-being of a company. They rely on fundamental analysis which attempts to measure the intrinsic value an equity.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Jessie Sun

With the application of artificial intelligence in the financial field, quantitative trading is considered to be profitable. Based on this, this paper proposes an improved deep recurrent DRQN-ARBR model because the existing quantitative…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-01 Peng Zhou , Jingling Tang

Designing robust frameworks for precise prediction of future prices of stocks has always been considered a very challenging research problem. The advocates of the classical efficient market hypothesis affirm that it is impossible to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-31 Jaydip Sen , Sidra Mehtab

The model-based investing using financial factors is evolving as a principal method for quantitative investment. The main challenge lies in the selection of effective factors towards excess market returns. Existing approaches, either…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-04-26 Xuanwu Yue , Qiao Gu , Deyun Wang , Huamin Qu , Yong Wang

A new wave of work on covariance cleaning and nonlinear shrinkage has delivered asymptotically optimal analytical solutions for large covariance matrices. The same framework has been generalized to empirical cross-covariance matrices, whose…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-22 Efstratios Manolakis , Christian Bongiorno , Rosario Nunzio Mantegna

Predicting financial markets and stock price movements requires analyzing a company's performance, historic price movements, industry-specific events alongside the influence of human factors such as social media and press coverage. We…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Ali Elahi , Fatemeh Taghvaei

We propose to represent a return model and risk model in a unified manner with deep learning, which is a representative model that can express a nonlinear relationship. Although deep learning performs quite well, it has significant…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-17 Kei Nakagawa , Takumi Uchida , Tomohisa Aoshima

The inherent volatility and dynamic fluctuations within the financial stock market underscore the necessity for investors to employ a comprehensive and reliable approach that integrates risk management strategies, market trends, and the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-13 Alhassan S. Yasin , Prabdeep S. Gill