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Successful quantitative investment usually relies on precise predictions of the future movement of the stock price. Recently, machine learning based solutions have shown their capacity to give more accurate stock prediction and become…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Hengxu Lin , Dong Zhou , Weiqing Liu , Jiang Bian

The goal of stock trend prediction is to forecast future market movements for informed investment decisions. Existing methods mostly focus on predicting stock trends with supervised models trained on extensive annotated data. However, human…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Yiqi Deng , Xingwei He , Jiahao Hu , Siu-Ming Yiu

Technical and fundamental analysis are traditional tools used to analyze individual stocks; however, the finance literature has shown that the price movement of each individual stock correlates heavily with other stocks, especially those…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-03-11 Ran Zhao , Yuntian Deng , Mark Dredze , Arun Verma , David Rosenberg , Amanda Stent

We applied Deep Q-Network with a Convolutional Neural Network function approximator, which takes stock chart images as input, for making global stock market predictions. Our model not only yields profit in the stock market of the country…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-27 Jinho Lee , Raehyun Kim , Yookyung Koh , Jaewoo Kang

Machine Learning algorithms and Neural Networks are widely applied to many different areas such as stock market prediction, face recognition and population analysis. This paper will introduce a strategy based on the classic Deep…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-16 Ziming Gao , Yuan Gao , Yi Hu , Zhengyong Jiang , Jionglong Su

Modeling the behavior of stock price data has always been one of the challengeous applications of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) due to its high complexity and dependence on various conditions. Recent studies show…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-14 Xinyuan Song

We develop deep learning models to learn the hedge ratio for S&P500 index options directly from options data. We compare different combinations of features and show that a feedforward neural network model with time to maturity,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-08 Jie Chen , Lingfei Li

Existing surveys on stock market prediction often focus on traditional machine learning methods instead of deep learning methods. This motivates us to provide a structured and comprehensive overview of the research on stock market…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-10 Jinan Zou , Qingying Zhao , Yang Jiao , Haiyao Cao , Yanxi Liu , Qingsen Yan , Ehsan Abbasnejad , Lingqiao Liu , Javen Qinfeng Shi

This study enhances a Deep Q-Network (DQN) trading model by incorporating advanced techniques like Prioritized Experience Replay, Regularized Q-Learning, Noisy Networks, Dueling, and Double DQN. Extensive tests on assets like BTC/USD and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Gang Hu

In this study, we applied the NEAT (NeuroEvolution of Augmenting Topologies) algorithm to stock trading using multiple technical indicators. Our approach focused on maximizing earning, avoiding risk, and outperforming the Buy & Hold…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Li-Chun Huang

Stock price prediction is influenced by a variety of factors, including technical indicators, which makes Feature selection crucial for identifying the most relevant predictors. This study examines the impact of feature selection on stock…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-17 Fatemeh Moodi , Amir Jahangard-Rafsanjani

The patterns of different financial data sources vary substantially, and accordingly, investors exhibit heterogeneous cognition behavior in information processing. To capture different patterns, we propose a novel approach called the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Ruize Gao , Mei Yang , Yu Wang , Shaoze Cui

Time series forecasting is widely used in a multitude of domains. In this paper, we present four models to predict the stock price using the SPX index as input time series data. The martingale and ordinary linear models require the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-23 Aaron Elliot , Cheng Hua Hsu

Great research efforts have been devoted to exploiting deep neural networks in stock prediction. While long-range dependencies and chaotic property are still two major issues that lower the performance of state-of-the-art deep learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-02 Junran Wu , Ke Xu , Xueyuan Chen , Shangzhe Li , Jichang Zhao

Quantitative trading strategies rely on accurately ranking stocks to identify profitable investments. Effective portfolio management requires models that can reliably order future stock returns. Transformer models are promising for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Jan Kwiatkowski , Jarosław A. Chudziak

In this study, we propose a novel machine-learning-based measure for stock price crash risk, utilizing the minimum covariance determinant methodology. Employing this newly introduced dependent variable, we predict stock price crash risk…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-23 Abdullah Karasan , Ozge Sezgin Alp , Gerhard-Wilhelm Weber

This study first reconstructs three deep learning powered stock trading models and their associated strategies that are representative of distinct approaches to the problem and established upon different aspects of the many theories evolved…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-07 Haohan Zhang

Mid-price movement prediction based on limit order book (LOB) data is a challenging task due to the complexity and dynamics of the LOB. So far, there have been very limited attempts for extracting relevant features based on LOB data. In…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-11 Adamantios Ntakaris , Giorgio Mirone , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Considering event structure information has proven helpful in text-based stock movement prediction. However, existing works mainly adopt the coarse-grained events, which loses the specific semantic information of diverse event types. In…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-10-14 Deli Chen , Yanyan Zou , Keiko Harimoto , Ruihan Bao , Xuancheng Ren , Xu Sun

Traditional stock market prediction methods commonly only utilize the historical trading data, ignoring the fact that stock market fluctuations can be impacted by various other information sources such as stock related events. Although some…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-16 Xi Zhang , Yixuan Li , Senzhang Wang , Binxing Fang , Philip S. Yu
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