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In this paper we show that Hilbert space-valued stochastic models are robust with respect to perturbation, due to measurement or approximation errors, in the underlying volatility process. Within the class of stochastic volatility modulated…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-30 Fred Espen Benth , Heidar Eyjolfsson

We investigate the probabilistic and analytic properties of Volterra processes constructed as pathwise integrals of deterministic kernels with respect to the H\"older continuous trajectories of Hilbert-valued Gaussian processes. To this…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-01 Fred E. Benth , Fabian A. Harang

We present a new methodology to analyze large classes of (classical and rough) stochastic volatility models, with special regard to short-time and small noise formulae for option prices. Our main tool is the theory of regularity structures,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-30 Peter K. Friz , Paul Gassiat , Paolo Pigato

We derive the short-maturity asymptotics for European and VIX option prices in local-stochastic volatility models where the volatility follows a continuous-path Markov process. Both out-of-the-money (OTM) and at-the-money (ATM) asymptotics…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-25 Dan Pirjol , Xiaoyu Wang , Lingjiong Zhu

The paper is devoted to three-parametric self-similar Gaussian Volterra processes that generalize fractional Brownian motion. We study the asymptotic growth of such processes and the properties of long- and short-range dependence. Then we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-08 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar

Stochastic Volterra equations (SVEs) serve as mathematical models for the time evolutions of random systems with memory effects and irregular behaviour. We introduce neural stochastic Volterra equations as a physics-inspired architecture,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Martin Bergerhausen , David J. Prömel , David Scheffels

In this article we look at stochastic processes with uncertain parameters, and consider different ways in which information is obtained when carrying out observations. For example we focus on the case of a the random evolution of a traded…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-08 Will Hicks

Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatilities associated with financial time series exhibit short-range correlations. This entails that the volatility process is very rough and its autocorrelation exhibits sharp decay at the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-17 Josselin Garnier , Knut Solna

Time-irreversible stochastic processes are frequently used in natural sciences to explain non-equilibrium phenomena and to design efficient stochastic algorithms. Our main goal in this thesis is to analyse their dynamics by means of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Mikola C. Schlottke

In this paper, we consider asymptotic behaviors of multiscale multivalued stochastic systems with small noises. First of all, for general, fully coupled systems for multivalued stochastic differential equations of slow and fast motions with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Huijie Qiao

We propose a new financial model, the stochastic volatility model with sticky drawdown and drawup processes (SVSDU model), which enables us to capture the features of winning and losing streaks that are common across financial markets but…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-20 Yuhao Liu , Pingping Jiang , Gongqiu Zhang

Our article considers a regression model with observed factors. The observed factors have a flexible stochastic volatility structure that has separate dynamics for the volatilities and the correlation matrix. The correlation matrix of the…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2011-07-14 Yu-Cheng Ku , Peter Bloomfield , Robert Kohn

Using the large deviation principle (LDP) for a re-scaled fractional Brownian motion $B^H_t$ where the rate function is defined via the reproducing kernel Hilbert space, we compute small-time asymptotics for a correlated fractional…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-17 Martin Forde , Hongzhong Zhang

In industrial applications it is quite common to use stochastic volatility models driven by semi-martingale Markov volatility processes. However, in order to fit exactly market volatilities, these models are usually extended by adding a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-22 Enrico Dall'Acqua , Riccardo Longoni , Andrea Pallavicini

Using a modified version of Schauder's fixed point theorem, measures of non-compactness and classical techniques, we provide new general results on the asymptotic behavior and the non-oscillation of second order scalar nonlinear…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Angelo B. Mingarelli , Kishin Sadarangani

In this paper, we propose the uncertain volatility models with stochastic bounds. Like the regular uncertain volatility models, we know only that the true model lies in a family of progressively measurable and bounded processes, but instead…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-17 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Ning Ning

The Duffing oscillator is a paradigm of bistable oscillatory motion in physics, engineering, and biology. Time series of such oscillations are often observed experimentally in a nonlinear system excited by a spontaneously fluctuating force.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-04-10 Roman Belousov , Florian Berger , A. J. Hudspeth

We develop an asymptotic theory for the jump robust measurement of covariations in the context of stochastic evolution equation in infinite dimensions. Namely, we identify scaling limits for realized covariations of solution processes with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Dennis Schroers

We introduce affine Volterra processes, defined as solutions of certain stochastic convolution equations with affine coefficients. Classical affine diffusions constitute a special case, but affine Volterra processes are neither…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Martin Larsson , Sergio Pulido

In stochastic Volterra rough volatility models, the volatility follows a truncated Brownian semi-stationary process with stochastic vol-of-vol. Recently, efficient VIX pricing Monte Carlo methods have been proposed for the case where the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-06 Henrique Guerreiro , João Guerra