English

Asymptotics for rough stochastic volatility models

Pricing of Securities 2021-03-17 v2

Abstract

Using the large deviation principle (LDP) for a re-scaled fractional Brownian motion BtHB^H_t where the rate function is defined via the reproducing kernel Hilbert space, we compute small-time asymptotics for a correlated fractional stochastic volatility model of the form dSt=Stσ(Yt)(ρˉdWt+ρdBt),dYt=dBtHdS_t=S_t\sigma(Y_t) (\bar{\rho} dW_t +\rho dB_t), \,dY_t=dB^H_t where σ\sigma is α\alpha-H\"{o}lder continuous for some α(0,1]\alpha\in(0,1]; in particular, we show that tH12logStt^{H-\frac{1}{2}} \log S_t satisfies the LDP as t0t\to0 and the model has a well-defined implied volatility smile as t0t \to 0, when the log-moneyness k(t)=xt12Hk(t)=x t^{\frac{1}{2}-H}. Thus the smile steepens to infinity or flattens to zero depending on whether H(0,12)H\in(0,\frac{1}{2}) or H(12,1)H\in(\frac{1}{2},1). We also compute large-time asymptotics for a fractional local-stochastic volatility model of the form: dSt=StβYtpdWt,dYt=dBtHdS_t= S_t^{\beta} |Y_t|^p dW_t,dY_t=dB^H_t, and we generalize two identities in Matsumoto&Yor05 to show that 1t2Hlog1t0te2BsHds\frac{1}{t^{2H}}\log \frac{1}{t}\int_0^t e^{2 B^H_s} ds and 1t2H(log0te2(μs+BsH)ds2μt)\frac{1}{t^{2H}}(\log \int_0^t e^{2(\mu s+B^H_s)} ds-2 \mu t) converge in law to 2max0s1BsH 2\mathrm{max}_{0 \le s \le 1} B^H_{s} and 2B12B_1 respectively for H(0,12)H \in (0,\frac{1}{2}) and μ>0\mu>0 as tt \to \infty.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1610.08878,
  title  = {Asymptotics for rough stochastic volatility models},
  author = {Martin Forde and Hongzhong Zhang},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1610.08878},
  year   = {2021}
}

Comments

The argument for the case of unbounded volatility was incorrect because Prob(Lambda_H(eps^H B^H)>c) = 1 i.e. the probability that the rate function of the realized re-scaled fBM path is infinite is 1

R2 v1 2026-06-22T16:34:18.329Z