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This paper is devoted to proving the small noise asymptotic behaviour, particularly large deviation principle, for multi-scale stochastic dynamical systems with fully local monotone coefficients driven by multiplicative noise. The main…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-11 Wei Hong , Wei Liu , Luhan Yang

The well-posedness is established for multi-dimensional mean-field stochastic Volterra equations with Lipschitz continuous coefficients and allowing for singular kernels as well as for one-dimensional mean-field stochastic Volterra…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-22 David J. Prömel , David Scheffels

This papers develops a stochastic integration theory with respect to volatility modulated L\'{e}vy-driven Volterra (VMLV) processes. It extends recent results in the literature to allow for stochastic volatility and pure jump processes in…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-16 Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen , Fred Espen Benth , Jan Pedersen , Almut E. D. Veraart

Although there are many methods for functional data analysis (FDA), little emphasis is put on characterizing variability among volatilities of individual functions. In particular, certain individuals exhibit erratic swings in their…

Applications · Statistics 2012-12-04 Bin Zhu , David B. Dunson

We provide a nonparametric method for the computation of instantaneous multivariate volatility for continuous semi-martingales, which is based on Fourier analysis. The co-volatility is reconstructed as a stochastic function of time by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Paul Malliavin , Maria Elvira Mancino

Rough volatility is a well-established statistical stylised fact of financial assets. This property has lead to the design and analysis of various new rough stochastic volatility models. However, most of these developments have been carried…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-31 Mehdi Tomas , Mathieu Rosenbaum

We consider stochastic partial differential equations appearing as Markovian lifts of matrix valued (affine) Volterra type processes from the point of view of the generalized Feller property (see e.g., \cite{doetei:10}). We introduce in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-05 Christa Cuchiero , Josef Teichmann

We introduce a new model of financial market with stochastic volatility driven by an arbitrary H\"older continuous Gaussian Volterra process. The distinguishing feature of the model is the form of the volatility equation which ensures the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-16 Giulia Di Nunno , Yuliya Mishura , Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko

The use of factor stochastic volatility models requires choosing the number of latent factors used to describe the dynamics of the financial returns process; however, empirical evidence suggests that the number and makeup of pertinent…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-06 Taylor R. Brown

We consider a class of graph-valued stochastic processes in which each vertex has a type that fluctuates randomly over time. Collectively, the paths of the vertex types up to a given time determine the probabilities that the edges are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Peter Braunsteins , Frank den Hollander , Michel Mandjes

Financial time series exhibit a number of interesting properties that are difficult to explain with simple models. These properties include fat-tails in the distribution of price fluctuations (or returns) that are slowly removed at longer…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-19 Raoul Golan , Austin Gerig

Statistical modeling for massive spatial data sets has generated a substantial literature on scalable spatial processes based upon Vecchia's approximation. Vecchia's approximation for Gaussian process models enables fast evaluation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-12 Lu Zhang , Wenpin Tang , Sudipto Banerjee

Guyon and Lekeufack recently proposed a path-dependent volatility model and documented its excellent performance in fitting market data and capturing stylized facts. The instantaneous volatility is modeled as a linear combination of two…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-03 Marcel Nutz , Andrés Riveros Valdevenito

In this paper, we prove the large deviation principle (LDP) for stochastic differential equations driven by stochastic integrals in one dimension. The result can be proved with a minimal use of rough path theory, and this implies the LDP…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Ryoji Takano

We show that in a large class of stochastic volatility models with additional skew-functions (local-stochastic volatility models) the tails of the cumulative distribution of the log-returns behave as exp(-c|y|), where c is a positive…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-21 Vlad Bally , Stefano De Marco

In this paper we prove an approximate formula expressed in terms of elementary functions for the implied volatility in the Heston model. The formula consists of the constant and first order terms in the large maturity expansion of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-14 Martin Forde , Antoine Jacquier , Aleksandar Mijatovic

In this paper the class of ARCH$(\infty)$ models is generalized to the nonstationary class of ARCH$(\infty)$ models with time-varying coefficients. For fixed time points, a stationary approximation is given leading to the notation ``locally…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Rainer Dahlhaus , Suhasini Subba Rao

The existence of strong solutions and pathwise uniqueness are established for one-dimensional stochastic Volterra equations with locally H{\"o}lder continuous diffusion coefficients and sufficiently regular kernels. Moreover, we study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-02 David J. Prömel , David Scheffels

This paper is concerned with asymptotic behavior of a variety of functionals of increments of continuous semimartingales. Sampling times are assumed to follow a rather general discretization scheme. If an underlying semimartingale is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-04 Michael Levine , Xiaoguang Wang , Jian Frank Zou

We study the Volterra Volterra Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process on $\mathbb{R}_+$ and its stationary version. Based on a fine asymptotic analysis of the corresponding Volterra Riccati equation combined with the affine transformation formula, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Martin Friesen , Jonas Kremer
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