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When the cost of misclassifying a sample is high, it is useful to have an accurate estimate of uncertainty in the prediction for that sample. There are also multiple types of uncertainty which are best estimated in different ways, for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-18 Richard Harang , Ethan M. Rudd

Machine learning model bias can arise from dataset composition: correlated sensitive features can distort the downstream classification model's decision boundary and lead to performance differences along these features. Existing de-biasing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Miao Zhang , Zee fryer , Ben Colman , Ali Shahriyari , Gaurav Bharaj

In a world where Machine Learning (ML) is increasingly deployed to support decision-making in critical domains, providing decision-makers with explainable, stable, and relevant inputs becomes fundamental. Understanding how machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-07 Karol Capała , Paulina Tworek , Jose Sousa

Features in machine learning problems are often time-varying and may be related to outputs in an algebraic or dynamical manner. The dynamic nature of these machine learning problems renders current higher order accelerated gradient descent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-29 Joseph E. Gaudio , Travis E. Gibson , Anuradha M. Annaswamy , Michael A. Bolender

Estimating uncertainty of machine learning models is essential to assess the quality of the predictions that these models provide. However, there are several factors that influence the quality of uncertainty estimates, one of which is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Yuko Kato , David M. J. Tax , Marco Loog

Uncertainty estimation for machine learning models is of high importance in many scenarios such as constructing the confidence intervals for model predictions and detection of out-of-distribution or adversarially generated points. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-06 Kirill Fedyanin , Evgenii Tsymbalov , Maxim Panov

The complexity of the operating environment and required technologies for highly automated driving is unprecedented. A different type of threat to safe operation besides the fault-error-failure model by Laprie et al. arises in the form of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Roman Gansch , Ahmad Adee

Probabilistic convolutional neural networks, which predict distributions of predictions instead of point estimates, led to recent advances in many areas of computer vision, from image reconstruction to semantic segmentation. Besides state…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-19 Josef Lorenz Rumberger , Lisa Mais , Dagmar Kainmueller

Noise and uncertainty are usually the enemy of machine learning, noise in training data leads to uncertainty and inaccuracy in the predictions. However, we develop a machine learning architecture that extracts crucial information out of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Bahdan Zviazhynski , Gareth Conduit

Identifying spurious correlations learned by a trained model is at the core of refining a trained model and building a trustworthy model. We present a simple method to identify spurious correlations that have been learned by a model trained…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Misgina Tsighe Hagos , Kathleen M. Curran , Brian Mac Namee

Identifying and disentangling sources of predictive uncertainty is essential for trustworthy supervised learning. We argue that widely used second-order methods that disentangle aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty are fundamentally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Sebastián Jiménez , Mira Jürgens , Willem Waegeman

A common assumption in causal inference from observational data is that there is no hidden confounding. Yet it is, in general, impossible to verify this assumption from a single dataset. Under the assumption of independent causal mechanisms…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-07 Rickard K. A. Karlsson , Jesse H. Krijthe

We consider the problem of uncertainty estimation in the context of (non-Bayesian) deep neural classification. In this context, all known methods are based on extracting uncertainty signals from a trained network optimized to solve the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-25 Yonatan Geifman , Guy Uziel , Ran El-Yaniv

The correct use and interpretation of models depends on several steps, two of which being the calibration by parameter estimation and the analysis of uncertainty. In the biological literature, these steps are seldom discussed together, but…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-08-17 André Chalom , Paulo Inácio de Knegt López de Prado

A comprehensive uncertainty estimation is vital for the precision program of the LHC. While experimental uncertainties are often described by stochastic processes and well-defined nuisance parameters, theoretical uncertainties lack such a…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-05-08 Aishik Ghosh , Benjamin Nachman , Tilman Plehn , Lily Shire , Tim M. P. Tait , Daniel Whiteson

Although a system is described by a well-known set of equations leading to a deterministic behavior, in the real world the value of a measurand obtained by an experiment will mostly scatter. Accordingly, an uncertainty is associated with…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-06-24 Markus Schiebl

Neural networks are prone to be biased towards spurious correlations between classes and latent attributes exhibited in a major portion of training data, which ruins their generalization capability. We propose a new method for training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Nayeong Kim , Sehyun Hwang , Sungsoo Ahn , Jaesik Park , Suha Kwak

Disentangled representations, where the higher level data generative factors are reflected in disjoint latent dimensions, offer several benefits such as ease of deriving invariant representations, transferability to other tasks,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-31 Abhishek Kumar , Prasanna Sattigeri , Avinash Balakrishnan

In reinforcement learning, we can learn a model of future observations and rewards, and use it to plan the agent's next actions. However, jointly modeling future observations can be computationally expensive or even intractable if the…

Machine unlearning algorithms are increasingly important as legal concerns arise around the provenance of training data, but verifying the success of unlearning is often difficult. Provable guarantees for unlearning are often limited to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Stanley Wei , Sadhika Malladi , Sanjeev Arora , Amartya Sanyal
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