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The paper establishes a functional version of the Hoeffding combinatorial central limit theorem. First, a pre-limiting Gaussian process approximation is defined, and is shown to be at a distance of the order of the Lyapounov ratio from the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-03 A. D. Barbour , Svante Janson

In this paper we present a parametric estimation method for certain multi-parameter heavy-tailed L\'evy-driven moving averages. The theory relies on recent multivariate central limit theorems obtained in [3] via Malliavin calculus on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-20 Mathias Mørck Ljungdahl , Mark Podolskij

We introduce an elementary method for proving the absolute continuity of the time marginals of one-dimensional processes. It is based on a comparison between the Fourier transform of such time marginals with those of the one-step Euler…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-12 Nicolas Fournier , Jacques Printems

In this paper, we focus on a new generalization of multivariate general compound Hawkes process (MGCHP), which we referred to as the multivariate general compound point process (MGCPP). Namely, we applied a multivariate point process to…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-21 Qi Guo , Bruno Remillard , Anatoliy Swishchuk

In the first part of the paper we use a new Fourier technique to obtain a Stein characterizations for random variables in the second Wiener chaos. We provide the connection between this result and similar conclusions that can be derived…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-14 Benjamin Arras , Ehsan Azmoodeh , Guillaume Poly , Yvik Swan

We introduce a new method for analyzing midpoint discretizations of stochastic differential equations (SDEs), which are frequently used in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for sampling from a target measure $\pi \propto \exp(-V)$.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-18 Matthew S. Zhang

In this paper, we consider the sigmoid Gaussian Hawkes process model: the baseline intensity and triggering kernel of Hawkes process are both modeled as the sigmoid transformation of random trajectories drawn from Gaussian processes (GP).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-30 Feng Zhou , Zhidong Li , Xuhui Fan , Yang Wang , Arcot Sowmya , Fang Chen

By means of the Malliavin calculus, integral representations for the likelihood function and for the derivative of the log-likelihood function are given for a model based on discrete time observations of the solution to equation…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-13 D. O. Ivanenko , A. M. Kulik

In this paper we prove an estimate for the total variation distance, in the framework of the Breuer-Major theorem, using the Malliavin-Stein method, assuming the underlying function $g$ to be once weakly differentiable with $g$ and $g'$…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-12 Ivan Nourdin , David Nualart , Giovanni Peccati

Based on a new coupling approach, we prove that the transition step of the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm is contractive w.r.t. a carefully designed Kantorovich (L1 Wasserstein) distance. The lower bound for the contraction rate is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-30 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Andreas Eberle , Raphael Zimmer

Basic derivative formulas are presented for hypoelliptic heat semigroups and harmonic functions extending earlier work in the elliptic case. Emphasis is placed on developing integration by parts formulas at the level of local martingales.…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-02 Marc Arnaudon , Anton Thalmaier

In this paper we introduce a Hilbert space-valued Malliavin calculus for Poisson random measures. It is solely based on elementary principles from the theory of point processes and basic moment estimates, and thus allows for a simple…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-22 Adam Andersson , Felix Lindner

We combine Stein's method with a version of Malliavin calculus on the Poisson space. As a result, we obtain explicit Berry-Ess\'een bounds in Central Limit Theorems (CLTs) involving multiple Wiener-It\^o integrals with respect to a general…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-01 Giovanni Peccati , Josep Lluís Solé , Murad S. Taqqu , Frederic Utzet

For a general free L\'evy process, we prove the existence of its higher variation processes as limits in distribution, and identify the limits in terms of the L\'evy-It\^o representation of the original process. For a general free compound…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2023-04-07 Michael Anshelevich , Zhichao Wang

This paper focuses on limit theorems for linear Hawkes processes with random marks. We prove a large deviation principle, which answers the question raised by Bordenave and Torrisi. A central limit theorem is also obtained. We conclude with…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-15 Dmytro Karabash , Lingjiong Zhu

We introduce and show the existence of a Hawkes self-exciting point process with exponentially-decreasing kernel and where parameters are time-varying. The quantity of interest is defined as the integrated parameter…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-28 Simon Clinet , Yoann Potiron

If $\mathbb{Y}$ is a random vector in $\mathbb{R}^{d}$, we denote by $P_{\mathbb{Y}}$ its probability distribution. Consider a random variable $X$ and a $d$-dimensional random vector $\mathbb{Y}$. Inspired by \cite{Pi}, we develop a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-13 Ciprian A Tudor

In this paper, we use Malliavin calculus to show the existence and continuity of density functions of $d$-dimensional non-colliding particle systems such as hyperbolic particle systems and Dyson Brownian motion with smooth drift. For this…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-29 Nobuaki Naganuma , Dai Taguchi

Let $K$ be a convex body in $\mathbb{R}^d$. Let $X_K$ be a $d$-dimensional random vector distributed according to the Hadwiger-Wills density $\mu_K$ associated with $K$, defined as $\mu_K(x)=ce^{-\pi {\rm dist}^2(x,K)}$, $x\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-14 Valentin Garino , Ivan Nourdin

We use the Stein-Chen method to study the extremal behaviour of the problem of extremes for univariate and bivariate geometric laws. We obtain a rate for the convergence to the Gumbel distribution of the law of the maximum of i. i. d.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-27 Alessandra Cipriani , Anne Feidt