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We study average-reward Markov decision processes (AMDPs) and develop novel first-order methods with strong theoretical guarantees for both policy optimization and policy evaluation. Compared with intensive research efforts in finite sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Tianjiao Li , Feiyang Wu , Guanghui Lan

We consider statistical hypothesis testing simultaneously over a fairly general, possibly uncountably infinite, set of null hypotheses, under the assumption that a suitable single test (and corresponding $p$-value) is known for each…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-10 Gilles Blanchard , Sylvain Delattre , Etienne Roquain

In this paper, we develop a parameterized proximal point algorithm (P-PPA) for solving a class of separable convex programming problems subject to linear and convex constraints. The proposed algorithm is provable to be globally convergent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-11 Jianchao Bai , Hongchao Zhang , Jicheng Li

Predictive recursion (PR) is a fast, recursive algorithm that gives a smooth estimate of the mixing distribution under the general mixture model. However, the PR algorithm requires evaluation of a normalizing constant at each iteration.…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-09 Vaidehi Dixit , Ryan Martin

We study the online estimation of the optimal policy of a Markov decision process (MDP). We propose a class of Stochastic Primal-Dual (SPD) methods which exploit the inherent minimax duality of Bellman equations. The SPD methods update a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-09 Yichen Chen , Mengdi Wang

We consider the problem belief-state monitoring for the purposes of implementing a policy for a partially-observable Markov decision process (POMDP), specifically how one might approximate the belief state. Other schemes for belief-state…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Pascal Poupart , Craig Boutilier

We address the problem of approximating the posterior probability distribution of the fixed parameters of a state-space dynamical system using a sequential Monte Carlo method. The proposed approach relies on a nested structure that employs…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-12 Dan Crisan , Joaquin Miguez

This paper proves, in very general settings, that convex risk minimization is a procedure to select a unique conditional probability model determined by the classification problem. Unlike most previous work, we give results that are general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-16 Matus Telgarsky , Miroslav Dudík , Robert Schapire

We revisit closed-loop performance guarantees for Model Predictive Control in the deterministic and stochastic cases, which extend to novel performance results applicable to receding horizon control of Partially Observable Markov Decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Martin A. Sehr , Robert R. Bitmead

Regularized empirical risk minimization problem with linear predictor appears frequently in machine learning. In this paper, we propose a new stochastic primal-dual method to solve this class of problems. Different from existing methods,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-06 Conghui Tan , Tong Zhang , Shiqian Ma , Ji Liu

A structured random matrix ensemble that maintains constant modulus entries and unit-norm columns, often called a random phase-rotated (RPR) matrix, is considered in this paper. We analyze the coherence statistics of RPR measurement…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-23 Qiyou Duan , Taejoon Kim , Lin Dai , Erik Perrins

We propose two algorithms for discrete-time parameter estimation, one for time-varying parameters under persistent excitation (PE) condition, another for constant parameters under no PE condition. For the first algorithm, we show that in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Yingnan Cui , Joseph E. Gaudio , Anuradha M. Annaswamy

Introduction: Joint models are increasingly used in clinical trials. An important part of model building is to properly assess the descriptive and predictive ability of these models. Normalised prediction discrepancies (npd) and normalised…

Deep learning (DL) models, despite their remarkable success, remain vulnerable to small input perturbations that can cause erroneous outputs, motivating the recent proposal of probabilistic robustness (PR) as a complementary alternative to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-24 Zheng Wang , Yi Zhang , Siddartha Khastgir , Carsten Maple , Xingyu Zhao

Improving the sample efficiency in reinforcement learning has been a long-standing research problem. In this work, we aim to reduce the sample complexity of existing policy gradient methods. We propose a novel policy gradient algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-03 Pan Xu , Felicia Gao , Quanquan Gu

We study the problem of learning policy of an infinite-horizon, discounted cost, Markov decision process (MDP) with a large number of states. We compute the actions of a policy that is nearly as good as a policy chosen by a suitable oracle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-02 Masoud Badiei Khuzani , Varun Vasudevan , Hongyi Ren , Lei Xing

Bayesian inference provides principled uncertainty quantification, but accurate posterior sampling with MCMC can be computationally prohibitive for modern applications. Variational inference (VI) offers a scalable alternative and often…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Laura Battaglia , Stefano Cortinovis , Chris Holmes , David T. Frazier , Jack Jewson

The sequential hypothesis testing problem is a class of statistical analyses where the sample size is not fixed in advance. Instead, the decision-process takes in new observations sequentially to make real-time decisions for testing an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-12 Wanrong Zhang , Yajun Mei , Rachel Cummings

We propose a new method for simplification of Gaussian process (GP) models by projecting the information contained in the full encompassing model and selecting a reduced number of variables based on their predictive relevance. Our results…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-18 Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari

We revisit the identification of an $\varepsilon$-optimal policy in average-reward Markov Decision Processes (MDP). In such MDPs, two measures of complexity have appeared in the literature: the diameter, $D$, and the optimal bias span, $H$,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Adrienne Tuynman , Rémy Degenne , Emilie Kaufmann