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The COVID-19 pandemic left its unique mark on the 21st century as one of the most significant disasters in history, triggering governments all over the world to respond with a wide range of interventions. However, these restrictions come…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Assem Zhunis , Tung-Duong Mai , Sundong Kim

We study the spreading of an infection within an SIS epidemiological model on a network. Susceptible agents are given the opportunity of breaking their links with infected agents. Broken links are either permanently removed or reconnected…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-11-07 Damian H. Zanette , Sebastian Risau Gusman

In this paper, we consider an adaptive optimal control problem for an SIR/V epidemic model with human behavioral effects.We develop a model where effective management of infectious diseases are monitored by the means of non pharmaceutical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-09 Nuruzzaman Rahat , Abid Hossain , Muntasir Alam

Epidemic propagation on complex networks has been widely investigated, mostly with invariant parameters. However, the process of epidemic propagation is not always constant. Epidemics can be affected by various perturbations, and may bounce…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-13 Dan Lu , Shunkun Yang , Jiaquan Zhang , Huijuan Wang , Daqing Li

We provide a dynamic policy for the rapid containment of a contagion process modeled as an SIS epidemic on a bounded degree undirected graph with n nodes. We show that if the budget $r$ of curing resources available at each time is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-07-10 Kimon Drakopoulos , Asuman Ozdaglar , John N. Tsitsiklis

Analysis of policies for managing epidemics require simultaneously an economic and epidemiological perspective. We adopt a cost-of-policy framework to model both the virus spread and the cost of handling the pandemic. Because it is harder…

General Economics · Economics 2021-02-10 Jacob Janssen , Yaneer Bar-Yam

Data-driven risk networks describe many complex system dynamics arising in fields such as epidemiology and ecology. They lack explicit dynamics and have multiple sources of cost, both of which are beyond the current scope of traditional…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-16 Xiang Niu , Christopher Brissette , Chunheng Jiang , Jianxi Gao , Gyorgy Korniss , Boleslaw K. Szymanski

Epidemic containment is a major concern when confronting large-scale infections in complex networks. Many works have been devoted to analytically understand how to restructure the network to minimize the impact of major outbreaks of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-12-27 Joan T. Matamalas , Alex Arenas , Sergio Gómez

We model information dissemination as a susceptible-infected epidemic process and formulate a problem to jointly optimize seeds for the epidemic and time varying resource allocation over the period of a fixed duration campaign running on a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-06-29 Kundan Kandhway , Joy Kuri

We have developed a globally applicable diagnostic Covid-19 model by augmenting the classical SIR epidemiological model with a neural network module. Our model does not rely upon previous epidemics like SARS/MERS and all parameters are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-24 Raj Dandekar , Chris Rackauckas , George Barbastathis

Governments across the world are currently facing the task of selecting suitable intervention strategies to cope with the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. This is a highly challenging task, since harsh measures may result in economic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Andreas Kasis , Stelios Timotheou , Nima Monshizadeh , Marios Polycarpou

In this work, we provide a general mathematical formalism to study the optimal control of an epidemic, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, via incentives to lockdown and testing. In particular, we model the interplay between the government and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-14 Emma Hubert , Thibaut Mastrolia , Dylan Possamaï , Xavier Warin

The implementation of public policies is crucial in controlling the spread of COVID-19. However, the effectiveness of different policies can vary across different aspects of epidemic containment. Identifying the most effective policies is…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-27 Zihan Wang

We give the explicit solution of the optimal control problem which consists in minimizing the epidemic peak in the SIR model when the control is an attenuation factor of the infectious rate, subject to a L 1 budget constraint. The optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-14 Emilio Molina , Alain Rapaport

A pandemic is the spread of a disease across large regions, and can have devastating costs to the society in terms of health, economic and social. As such, the study of effective pandemic mitigation strategies can yield significant positive…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-02 Ari Gestetner , Buser Say

In this paper, we investigate the distributed link removal strategy for networked meta-population epidemics. In particular, a deterministic networked susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model is considered to describe the epidemic evolving…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-30 Fangzhou Liu , Yuhong Chen , Tong Liu , Zibo Zhou , Dong Xue , Martin Buss

Defining an optimal protection strategy against viruses, spam propagation or any other kind of contamination process is an important feature for designing new networks and architectures. In this work, we consider decentralized optimal…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-03 Stojan Trajanovski , Yezekael Hayel , Eitan Altman , Huijuan Wang , Piet Van Mieghem

A model-based signal processing framework is proposed for pandemic trend forecasting and control, by using non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) at regional and country levels worldwide. The control objective is to prescribe quantifiable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Reza Sameni

We study the influence of global, local and community-level risk perception on the extinction probability of a disease in several models of social networks. In particular, we study the infection progression as a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-12-05 Franco Bagnoli , Daniel Borkmann , Andrea Guazzini , Emanuele Massaro , Stefan Rudolph

Lockdown procedures have been proven successful in mitigating the spread of the viruses in this COVID-19 pandemic, but they also have devastating impact on the economy. We use a modified Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered-Deceased model with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-24 Sung-Po Chao