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Most existing generation scheduling models for power systems under demand uncertainty rely on energy-based formulations with a finite number of time periods, which may fail to ensure that power supply and demand are balanced continuously…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-02 Youngchae Cho , Insoon Yang , Takayuki Ishizaki

Randomization-based Machine Learning methods for prediction are currently a hot topic in Artificial Intelligence, due to their excellent performance in many prediction problems, with a bounded computation time. The application of…

Many wind speed forecasting approaches have been proposed in literature. In this paper a new statistical approach for jointly predicting wind speed, wind direction and air pressure is introduced. The wind direction and the air pressure are…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-14 Daniel Ambach , Wolfgang Schmid

This paper addresses two vital issues which are barely discussed in the literature on robust unit commitment (RUC): 1) how much the potential operational loss could be if the realization of uncertainty is beyond the prescribed uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Cheng Wang , Feng Liu , Jianhui Wang , Feng Qiu , Wei Wei , Shengwei Mei , Shunbo Lei

Accurate wind speed prediction is crucial for designing and selecting sites for offshore wind farms. This paper investigates the effectiveness of various machine learning models in predicting offshore wind power for a site near the Gulf of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-19 Linhan Fang , Fan Jiang , Ann Mary Toms , Xingpeng Li

Data-driven modeling is useful for reconstructing nonlinear dynamical systems when the underlying process is unknown or too expensive to compute. Having reliable uncertainty assessment of the forecast enables tools to be deployed to predict…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-01 Mengyang Gu , Yizi Lin , Victor Chang Lee , Diana Qiu

The increasing integration of renewable energy sources (RESs) into modern power systems presents significant opportunities but also notable challenges, primarily due to the inherent variability of RES generation. Accurate forecasting of RES…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Farshid Kamrani , Kristen Schell

Facing increasing societal and economic pressure, many countries have established strategies to develop renewable energy portfolios, whose penetration in the market can alleviate the dependence on fossil fuels. In the case of wind, there is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-17 Jiachen Zhang , Paola Crippa , Marc G. Genton , Stefano Castruccio

In the wind energy industry, it is of great importance to develop models that accurately forecast the power output of a wind turbine, as such predictions are used for wind farm location assessment or power pricing and bidding, monitoring,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-13 Sándor Kolumbán , Stella Kapodistria , Nazanin Nooraee

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) in wind speed forecasting is a critical challenge in wind power production due to the inherently volatile nature of wind. By quantifying the associated risks and returns, UQ supports more effective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Pritam Anand , Aadesh Minz , Asish Joel

Uncertainty analysis in the form of probabilistic forecasting can significantly improve decision making processes in the smart power grid when integrating renewable energy sources such as wind. Whereas point forecasting provides a single…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-27 Kostas Hatalis , Alberto J. Lamadrid , Katya Scheinberg , Shalinee Kishore

This paper presents a novel data-driven technique based on the spatiotemporal pattern network (STPN) for energy/power prediction for complex dynamical systems. Built on symbolic dynamic filtering, the STPN framework is used to capture not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-07 Zhanhong Jiang , Chao Liu , Adedotun Akintayo , Gregor Henze , Soumik Sarkar

Achieving net zero carbon emissions by 2050 requires the integration of increasing amounts of wind power into power grids. This energy source poses a challenge to system operators due to its variability and uncertainty. Therefore, accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-23 Julie Keisler , Etienne Le Naour

Within the last few years, the trend towards more distributed, renewable energy sources has led to major changes and challenges in the electricity sector. To ensure a stable electricity distribution in this changing environment, we propose…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-12 Jens Hönen , Johann L. Hurink , Bert Zwart

The main objective of this study is to propose an enhanced wind power forecasting (EWPF) transformer model for handling power grid operations and boosting power market competition. It helps reliable large-scale integration of wind power…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-24 Md Rasel Sarkar , Sreenatha G. Anavatti , Tanmoy Dam , Mahardhika Pratama , Berlian Al Kindhi

The power grid frequency is the central observable in power system control, as it measures the balance of electrical supply and demand. A reliable frequency forecast can facilitate rapid control actions and may thus greatly improve power…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-24 Johannes Kruse , Benjamin Schäfer , Dirk Witthaut

Integrated wind-solar-wave marine energy systems hold broad promise for supplying clean electricity in offshore and coastal regions. By leveraging the spatiotemporal complementarity of multiple resources, such systems can effectively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Baoyi Xie , Shuiling Shi , Wenqi Liu

The safe and stable operation of power systems is greatly challenged by the high variability and randomness of wind power in large-scale wind-power-integrated grids. Wind power forecasting is an effective solution to tackle this issue, with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Hao Liu , Huimin Ma , Tianyu Hu

The increasing rate of penetration of non-conventional renewable energies is affecting the traditional assumption of controllability over energy sources. Power dispatching scheduling methods need to integrate the intrinsic randomness of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-05-14 Claudio Risso , Gustavo Guerberoff

Due to the fluctuating nature of the wind and the increasing use of wind energy as a power source, wind power will have an increasing negative influence on the stability of the power grid. In this paper, a model predictive control strategy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-14 Valentijn van de Scheur , Sjoerd Boersma