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Accurate high-resolution spatial and temporal wind speed data is critical for estimating the wind energy potential of a location. For real-time wind speed prediction, statistical models typically depend on high-quality (near) real-time data…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-24 Eamonn Organ , Maeve Upton , Denis Allard , Lionel Benoit , James Sweeney

Accurate production forecasts are essential to continue facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. This paper illustrates how to obtain probabilistic day-ahead forecasts of wind power generation via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Max Bruninx , Diederik van Binsbergen , Timothy Verstraeten , Ann Nowé , Jan Helsen

Accurate probabilistic prediction of wind power is crucial for maintaining grid stability and facilitating the efficient integration of renewable energy sources. Gaussian process (GP) models offer a principled framework for quantifying…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-11 Domniki Ladopoulou , Dat Minh Hong , Petros Dellaportas

The increasing demand of large scale wind integration in the conventional power system brings a lot of challenges. One of them is the stability of the power system when subjected to a large disturbance, such as a fault. This paper proposes…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-10 Umair Shahzad

Intermittent renewable energy resources like wind and solar pose great uncertainty of multiple time scales, from minutes to years, on the design and operation of power systems. Energy system optimization models have been developed to find…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-27 Yuheng Zhang , Vivian Cheng , Dharik S. Mallapragada , Jie Song , Guannan He

In this paper, the highly acknowledged advantages of the Model Predictive Control (MPC) approach are utilized to regulate the wind turbines' output power in the partial load region. In this region, the purpose of the designed controller is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-11 Kamyar Ghanbarpour , Farhad Bayat , Abolfazl Jalilvand

In terms of the operation of microgrids, optimal scheduling is a vital issue that must be taken into account. In this regard, this paper proposes an effective framework for optimal scheduling of renewable microgrids considering energy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-10 Hossein Mohammadi , Shiva Jokar , Mojtaba Mohammadi , Abdollah Kavousifard , Morteza Dabbaghjamanesh

In the past decades, clean and renewable energy has gained increasing attention due to a global effort on carbon footprint reduction. In particular, Saudi Arabia is gradually shifting its energy portfolio from an exclusive use of oil to a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-11 Kesen Wang , Minwoo Kim , Stefano Castruccio , Marc G. Genton

The expected growth in wind energy capacity requires efficient and accurate models for wind farm layout optimization, control, and annual energy predictions. Although analytical wake models are widely used for these applications, several…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-02-16 Frederik Aerts , Luca Lanzilao , Johan Meyers

Fast and accurate hourly forecasts of wind speed and power are crucial in quantifying and planning the energy budget in the electric grid. Modeling wind at a high resolution brings forth considerable challenges given its turbulent and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-09 Huang Huang , Stefano Castruccio , Marc G. Genton

A new probabilistic post-processing method for wind vectors is presented in a distributional regression framework employing the bivariate Gaussian distribution. In contrast to previous studies all parameters of the distribution are…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-26 Moritz N. Lang , Georg J. Mayr , Reto Stauffer , Achim Zeileis

In environments with increasing uncertainty, such as smart grid applications based on renewable energy, planning can benefit from incorporating forecasts about the uncertainty and from systematically evaluating the utility of the forecast…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-16 Konstantinos Gatsis , Ufuk Topcu , George J. Pappas

Because of the global need to increase power production from renewable energy resources, developments in the online monitoring of the associated infrastructure is of interest to reduce operation and maintenance costs. However, challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Simon M. Brealy , Lawrence A. Bull , Pauline Beltrando , Anders Sommer , Nikolaos Dervilis , Keith Worden

Wind power plays an increasingly significant role in achieving the 2050 Net Zero Strategy. Despite its rapid growth, its inherent variability presents challenges in forecasting. Accurately forecasting wind power generation is one key demand…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-13 Tao Shen , Jethro Browell , Daniela Castro-Camilo

The current literature in probabilistic forecasting is focused on quantifying the uncertainty of each random variable individually. This leads to the failure in informing about interdependence structure of uncertainty at different locations…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-14 Faranak Golestaneh , Hoay Beng Gooi

With the rising costs of conventional sources of energy, the world is moving towards sustainable energy sources including wind energy. Wind turbines consist of several electrical and mechanical components and experience an enormous amount…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-13 Joyjit Chatterjee , Nina Dethlefs

Understanding the dynamics of climate variables is paramount for numerous sectors, like energy and environmental monitoring. This study focuses on the critical need for a precise mapping of environmental variables for national or regional…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-30 Pietro Colombo , Claire Miller , Xiaochen Yang , Ruth O'Donnell , Paolo Maranzano

In this paper, we propose a novel scenario forecasts approach which can be applied to a broad range of power system operations (e.g., wind, solar, load) over various forecasts horizons and prediction intervals. This approach is model-free…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-21 Yize Chen , Xiyu Wang , Baosen Zhang

Wind energy significantly contributes to the global shift towards renewable energy, yet operational challenges, such as Leading-Edge Erosion on wind turbine blades, notably reduce energy output. This study introduces an advanced, scalable…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-17 Emil Marcus Buchberg , Kent Vugs Nielsen

Despite the increasing importance of forecasts of renewable energy, current planning studies only address a general estimate of the forecast quality to be expected and selected forecast horizons. However, these estimates allow only a…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-03 Jens Schreiber , Artjom Buschin , Bernhard Sick