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We study adaptive estimation and inference in ill-posed linear inverse problems defined by conditional moment restrictions. Existing regularized estimators such as Regularized DeepIV (RDIV) require prior knowledge of the smoothness of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-03 Jiyuan Tan , Vasilis Syrgkanis

The paper introduces a new estimation method for the standard linear regression model. The procedure is not driven by the optimisation of any objective function rather, it is a simple weighted average of slopes from observation pairs. The…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-27 Felix Chan , Laszlo Matyas

Conformal prediction is a valuable tool for quantifying predictive uncertainty of machine learning models. However, its applicability relies on the assumption of data exchangeability, a condition which is often not met in real-world…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-30 Aleksandr Podkopaev , Darren Xu , Kuang-Chih Lee

This paper analyzes the classical linear regression model with measurement errors in all the variables. First, we provide necessary and sufficient conditions for identification of the coefficients. We show that the coefficients are not…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-22 Dan Ben-Moshe

Instrumental variables regression is a tool that is commonly used in the analysis of observational data. The instrumental variables are used to make causal inference about the effect of a certain exposure in the presence of unmeasured…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-07 Valentin Vancak , Arvid Sjölander

In adaptive control, a controller is precisely designed for a certain model of the system, but that model's parameters are updated online by another mechanism called the adaptive update. This allows the controller to aim for the benefits of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Jason Nezvadovitz

We propose a conformal prediction method for constructing tight simultaneous prediction intervals for multiple, potentially related, numerical outputs given a single input. This method can be combined with any multi-target regression model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Yunjie Fan , Matteo Sesia

The method to design exponentially stable adaptive observers is proposed for linear time-invariant systems parameterized by unknown physical parameters. Unlike existing adaptive solutions, the system state-space matrices A, B are not…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-22 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

An adaptive state observer is proposed for a class of overparametrized uncertain linear time-invariant systems without restrictive requirement of their representation in the observer canonical form. It evolves the method of generalized…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-19 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

In this article, we introduce an adaptive online model update algorithm designed for predictive control applications in networked systems, particularly focusing on power distribution systems. Unlike traditional methods that depend on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-18 Vivek Khatana , Chin-Yao Chang , Wenbo Wang

This article studies identification and estimation for the network vector autoregressive model with nonstationary regressors. In particular, network dependence is characterized by a nonstochastic adjacency matrix. The information set…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-09 Christis Katsouris

Additive regression models are actively researched in the statistical field because of their usefulness in the analysis of responses determined by non-linear relationships with multivariate predictors. In this kind of statistical models,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-14 German A. Schnaidt Grez , Brani Vidakovic

Consider the case that we observe $n$ independent and identically distributed copies of a random variable with a probability distribution known to be an element of a specified statistical model. We are interested in estimating an infinite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-20 Mark J. van der Laan , Aurélien F. Bibaut

Interpreting data with mathematical models is an important aspect of real-world industrial and applied mathematical modeling. Often we are interested to understand the extent to which a particular set of data informs and constrains model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-06 Matthew J Simpson , Ruth E Baker

Dynamical systems, for instance in model predictive control, often contain unknown parameters, which must be determined during system operation. Online or on-the-fly parameter identification methods are therefore necessary. The challenge of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-05 Barbara Kaltenbacher , Tram Thi Ngoc Nguyen

This paper proposes a framework for adaptively learning a feedback linearization-based tracking controller for an unknown system using discrete-time model-free policy-gradient parameter update rules. The primary advantage of the scheme over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-07 Tyler Westenbroek , Eric Mazumdar , David Fridovich-Keil , Valmik Prabhu , Claire J. Tomlin , S. Shankar Sastry

In this paper, we introduce a novel method to generate interpretable regression function estimators. The idea is based on called data-dependent coverings. The aim is to extract from the data a covering of the feature space instead of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-27 Vincent Margot , Jean-Patrick Baudry , Frédéric Guilloux , Olivier Wintenberger

We propose an iterative estimating equations procedure for analysis of longitudinal data. We show that, under very mild conditions, the probability that the procedure converges at an exponential rate tends to one as the sample size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Jiming Jiang , Yihui Luan , You-Gan Wang

We propose a technique for the design and analysis of adaptation algorithms in dynamical systems. The technique applies both to systems with conventional Lyapunov-stable target dynamics and to ones of which the desired dynamics around the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Tyukin Ivan , Danil Prokhorov , Cees van Leeuwen

This paper addresses differential inference in time-varying parametric probabilistic models, like graphical models with changing structures. Instead of estimating a high-dimensional model at each time point and estimating changes later, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-08 Daniel J. Williams , Leyang Wang , Qizhen Ying , Song Liu , Mladen Kolar