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We consider the exact path sampling of the squared Bessel process and some other continuous-time Markov processes, such as the CIR model, constant elasticity of variance diffusion model, and hypergeometric diffusions, which can all be…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-10-28 Roman N. Makarov , Devin Glew

For a homogeneous random walk in the quarter plane with nearest-neighbor transitions, starting from some state $(i_0,j_0)$, we study the event that the walk reaches the vertical axis, before reaching the horizontal axis. We derive an exact…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-18 Johan S. H. van Leeuwaarden , Kilian Raschel

Consider the point process (in $\mathbb{R}^d$) of local maxima of smooth Gaussian fields, with sufficient decay of correlation at infinity, above a level $u$. We show that this point process, rescaled appropriately, converges weakly to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Dmitry Beliaev , Akshay Hegde

Let I be a compact d-dimensional manifold, let X:I\to R be a Gaussian process with regular paths and let F_I(u), u\in R, be the probability distribution function of sup_{t\in I}X(t). We prove that under certain regularity and nondegeneracy…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jean-Marc Azais , Mario Wschebor

The Gaussian process is a powerful and flexible technique for interpolating spatiotemporal data, especially with its ability to capture complex trends and uncertainty from the input signal. This chapter describes Gaussian processes as an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-11 Kien Nguyen , John Krumm , Cyrus Shahabi

Extrinsic Gaussian process regression methods, such as wrapped Gaussian process, have been developed to analyze manifold data. However, there is a lack of intrinsic Gaussian process methods for studying complex data with manifold-valued…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-11 Zhanfeng Wang , Xinyu Li , Hao Ding , Jian Qing Shi

We consider the problem of estimating a smooth functional of an unknown signal with discontinuity from Gaussian observations. The signal is a known function that depends on an unknown parameter. This problem is closely related to the famous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-19 Farida Enikeeva

The aim of this paper is to analyze a class of random motions which models the motion of a particle on the real line with random velocity and subject to the action of the friction. The speed randomly changes when a Poissonian event occurs.…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-31 Alessandro De Gregorio

There is increasing interest in the problem of nonparametric regression with high-dimensional predictors. When the number of predictors $D$ is large, one encounters a daunting problem in attempting to estimate a $D$-dimensional surface…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-17 Yun Yang , David B. Dunson

We obtain formulae for the expected number and height distribution of critical points of smooth isotropic Gaussian random fields parameterized on Euclidean space or spheres of arbitrary dimension. The results hold in general in the sense…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-20 Dan Cheng , Armin Schwartzman

Random walks on regular bounded degree expander graphs have numerous applications. A key property of these walks is that they converge rapidly to the uniform distribution on the vertices. The recent study of expansion of high dimensional…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2016-06-07 Tali Kaufman , David Mass

We introduce a multidimensional walk with memory and random tendency. The asymptotic behaviour is characterized, proving a law of large numbers and showing a phase transition from diffusive to superdiffusive regimes. In first case, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-09 Manuel González-Navarrete

Gaussian processes are used in many machine learning applications that rely on uncertainty quantification. Recently, computational tools for working with these models in geometric settings, such as when inputs lie on a Riemannian manifold,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-31 Paul Rosa , Viacheslav Borovitskiy , Alexander Terenin , Judith Rousseau

We study the extreme value statistics of the zero-average Gaussian free field (GFF) on random $r$-regular graphs and the Gaussian free field on $r$-regular trees. For random $r$-regular graphs of diverging size, for every fixed $r\ge3$, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-19 Lisa Hartung , Andreas Klippel , Christian Mönch

We prove that under fairly general conditions properly rescaled determinantal random point field converges to a generalized Gaussian random process.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alexander Soshnikov

When a random field $(X_t, \ t\in {\mathbb R}^2)$ is thresholded on a given level $u$, the excursion set is given by its indicator $~1_{[u, \infty)}(X_t)$. The purpose of this work is to study functionals (as established in stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-30 Marie Kratz , Werner Nagel

We consider maximum likelihood estimation with data from a bivariate Gaussian process with a separable exponential covariance model under fixed domain asymptotic. We first characterize the equivalence of Gaussian measures under this model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-25 Daira Velandia , François Bachoc , Moreno Bevilacqua , Xavier Gendre , Jean-Michel Loubes

We study the crossover behaviors that can be observed in the high-temperature phase of three-dimensional dilute spin systems, using a field-theoretical approach. In particular, for randomly dilute Ising systems we consider the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Pasquale Calabrese , Pietro Parruccini , Andrea Pelissetto , Ettore Vicari

We construct flexible likelihoods for multi-output Gaussian process models that leverage neural networks as components. We make use of sparse variational inference methods to enable scalable approximate inference for the resulting class of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-03 Martin Jankowiak , Jacob Gardner

Though the underlying fields associated with vector-valued environmental data are continuous, observations themselves are discrete. For example, climate models typically output grid-based representations of wind fields or ocean currents,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Michael Gillan , Stefan Siegert , Ben Youngman