Related papers: High excursion probabilities for Gaussian fields o…
Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be mutually independent centered Gaussian processes with almost surely continuous sample paths. We derive the exact asymptotics of $$ P\left(\exists_{t \in [0,T]} \forall_{i=1 ... n} X_i(t)> u \right) $$…
In this work, we study probability functions associated with Gaussian mixture models. Our primary focus is on extending the use of spherical radial decomposition for multivariate Gaussian random vectors to the context of Gaussian mixture…
The local eigenvalue statistics of large random matrices near a hard edge transitioning into a soft edge are described by the Bessel process associated with a large parameter $\alpha$. For this point process, we obtain 1) exponential moment…
We find asymptotic formulas for error probabilities of two-fold Pearson goodness-of-fit test as functions of two critical levels. These results may be reformulated in terms of tails of two-dimensional distributions of the Bessel process.…
We consider a class of probability distributions on the six-vertex model, which originate from the higher spin vertex models in arXiv:1601.05770 and have previously been investigated in arXiv:1610.06893. For these random six-vertex models…
This paper presents a new approach to the estimation of the deformation of an isotropic Gaussian random field on $\mathbb{R}^2$ based on dense observations of a single realization of the deformed random field. Under this framework we…
We study the persistence probability of a centered stationary Gaussian process on $\mathbb{Z}$ or $\mathbb{R}$, that is, its probability to remain positive for a long time. We describe the delicate interplay between this probability and the…
We consider the thick points of random walk, i.e. points where the local time is a fraction of the maximum. In two dimensions, we answer a question of Dembo, Peres, Rosen and Zeitouni and compute the number of thick points of planar random…
This paper gives a new representation of Pickands' constants, which arise in the study of extremes for a variety of Gaussian processes. Using this representation, we resolve the long-standing problem of devising a reliable algorithm for…
This article introduces a method for estimating the smoothness of a stationary, isotropic Gaussian random field from irregularly spaced data. This involves novel constructions of higher-order quadratic variations and the establishment of…
We study the maximum of the random assignment process on rectangular matrices. We derive first-order asymptotics for the expected maximum, prove a law of large numbers under mild tail assumptions, and obtain exponential upper bounds for the…
In this paper, we discuss vector-valued Gaussian processes for the approximation of divergence- or rotation-free functions. We establish the theory for such Gaussian processes, then link the theory to multivariate approximation theory, and…
Insight into a number of interesting questions in cosmology can be obtained from the first crossing distributions of physically motivated barriers by random walks with correlated steps. We write the first crossing distribution as a formal…
We consider the Gaussian free field $\varphi$ on $\mathbb{Z}^d$, for $d\geq3$, and give sharp bounds on the probability that the radius of a finite cluster in the excursion set $\{\varphi \geq h\}$ exceeds a large value $N$, for any height…
A random vector whose norm and overlap (inner product with an independent copy) concentrates is shown to have random low-dimensional projections that are approximately random Gaussians. Conversely, asymptotically random Gaussian projections…
We develop a novel computational method for evaluating the extreme excursion probabilities arising from random initialization of nonlinear dynamical systems. The method uses excursion probability theory to formulate a sequence of Bayesian…
High-precision measurements require optimal setups and analysis tools to achieve continuous improvements. Systematic corrections need to be modeled with high accuracy and known uncertainty to reconstruct underlying physical phenomena. To…
Gaussian processes have become a promising tool for various safety-critical settings, since the posterior variance can be used to directly estimate the model error and quantify risk. However, state-of-the-art techniques for safety-critical…
We generalize the maximum likelihood method to non-Gaussian distribution functions by means of the multivariate Edgeworth expansion. We stress the potential interest of this technique in all those cosmological problems in which the…
The probability density function of single-point velocity fluctuations in turbulence is studied systematically using Fourier coefficients in the energy-containing range. In ideal turbulence where energy-containing motions are random and…