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Let $M_n$ be the maximum of $n$ zero-mean gaussian variables $X_1,..,X_n$ with covariance matrix of minimum eigenvalue $\lambda$ and maximum eigenvalue $\Lambda$. Then, for $n \ge 70$, $$\Pr\{M_n \ge \lambda \left (2 \log n - 2.5 - \log(2…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-05 J. A. Hartigan

We consider the semi-parametric estimation of a scale parameter of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with known smoothness. We suggest an estimator based on quadratic variations and on the moment method. We provide asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Jean-Marc Azaïs , François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Thi Mong Ngoc Nguyen

We study the high excursion probability of a centered Gaussian field on a square. Writing \(\sigma\) and \(r\) for its standard deviation and correlation function, we assume that \(\sigma\) has a unique maximum at the corner…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Svyatoslav Novikov

Let $X$ be a continuous time random walk on a weighted graph. Given the on-diagonal upper bounds of transition probabilities at two vertices $x_1$ and $x_2$, we use an adapted metric initiated by Davies, and obtain Gaussian upper estimates…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-10 Xinxing Chen

We study the sample paths properties of Operator scaling Gaussian random fields. Such fields are anisotropic generalizations of anisotropic self-similar random fields as anisotropic Fractional Brownian Motion. Some characteristic properties…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-05 M. Clausel , B. Vedel

In this paper, we study rare events in spherical and Gaussian random geometric graphs in high dimensions. In these models, the vertices correspond to points sampled uniformly at random on the $d$ dimensional unit sphere or correspond to $d$…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-13 Prabhanka Deka , Fangzhou Luo , Baichuan Wu

We study large deviation principles for Gaussian processes lifted to the free nilpotent group of step N. We apply this to a large class of Gaussian processes lifted to geometric rough paths. A large deviation principle for enhanced…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter Friz , Nicolas Victoir

In this paper, we shall be concerned with geometric functionals and excursion probabilities for some nonlinear transforms evaluated on Fourier components of spherical random fields. In particular, we consider both random spherical harmonics…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Domenico Marinucci , Sreekar Vadlamani

A random flight on a plane with non-isotropic displacements at the moments of direction changes is considered. In the case of exponentially distributed flight lengths a Gaussian limit theorem is proved for the position of a particle in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-10 Mark Kelbert , Enzo Orsingher

In this article, we study special points of a simple random walk and a Gaussian free field, such as (nearly) favorite points, late points and high points. In section $2$, we extend results of [19] and suggest open problems for $d=2$. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Izumi Okada

The main results in this paper concern large deviations for families of non-Gaussian processes obtained as suitable perturbations of continuous centered multivariate Gaussian processes which satisfy a large deviation principle. We present…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-06 C. Macci , B. Pacchiarotti

We study the peak height distribution of certain non-stationary Gaussian random fields. The explicit peak height distribution of smooth, non-stationary Gaussian processes in 1D with general covariance is derived. The formula is determined…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-19 Yu Zhao , Dan Cheng , Samuel Davenport , Armin Schwartzman

Gaussian processes have been successful in both supervised and unsupervised machine learning tasks, but their computational complexity has constrained practical applications. We introduce a new approximation for large-scale Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-03 David A. Moore , Stuart J. Russell

We study boundary non-crossing probabilities $$ P_{f,u} := \mathrm P\big(\forall t\in \mathbb T\ X_t + f(t)\le u(t)\big) $$ for continuous centered Gaussian process $X$ indexed by some arbitrary compact separable metric space $\mathbb T$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-16 Enkelejd Hashorva , Yuliya Mishura , Georgiy Shevchenko

We derive explicit formulae for the expected volume and the expected number of facets of the convex hull of several multidimensional Gaussian random walks in terms of the Gaussian persistence probabilities. Special cases include the already…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-25 Julien Randon-Furling , Dmitry Zaporozhets

The extremal tail probabilities of moving sums in a marked Poisson random field is examined here. These sums are computed by adding up the weighted occurrences of events lying within a scanning set of fixed shape and size. Change of measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Hock Peng Chan

The computation of Gaussian orthant probabilities has been extensively studied for low-dimensional vectors. Here, we focus on the high-dimensional case and we present a two-step procedure relying on both deterministic and stochastic…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-03 Dario Azzimonti , David Ginsbourger

We develop a novel computational method for evaluating the extreme excursion probabilities arising for random initialization of nonlinear dynamical systems. The method uses a Markov chain Monte Carlo or a Laplace approximation approach to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-03 Vishwas Rao , Mihai Anitescu

In this paper, we establish sample path large and moderate deviation principles for log-price processes in Gaussian stochastic volatility models, and study the asymptotic behavior of exit probabilities, call pricing functions, and the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-17 Archil Gulisashvili

Let $\{(X(t), Y(s)): t\in T, s\in S\}$ be an $\mathbb{R}^2$-valued, centered, unit-variance smooth Gaussian vector field, where $T$ and $S$ are compact rectangles in $\mathbb{R}^N$. It is shown that, as $u\to \infty$, the joint excursion…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Dan Cheng , Yimin Xiao