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In this paper, we propose a new measure for the freshness of information, which uses the mutual information between the real-time source value and the delivered samples at the receiver to quantify the freshness of the information contained…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-06-19 Yin Sun , Benjamin Cyr

Cognitive biases are widespread in humans and animals alike, and can sometimes be reinforced by social interactions. One prime bias in judgment and decision-making is the human tendency to underestimate large quantities. Previous research…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-12 Bertrand Jayles , Clément Sire , Ralf H. J. M Kurvers

Within psychology, neuroscience and artificial intelligence, there has been increasing interest in the proposal that the brain builds probabilistic models of sensory and linguistic input: that is, to infer a probabilistic model from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-08 Paul M. B. Vitanyi , Nick Chater

Recent empirical work has shown that human children are adept at learning and reasoning with probabilities. Here, we model a recent experiment investigating the development of school-age children's non-symbolic probability reasoning ability…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-09 Zilong Wang , Thomas R. Shultz , Ardvan S. Nobandegani

In contrast to the critical brain hypothesis in which the brain tunes itself to a critical point between $states$ of chaos and order, analysis of Coordination Dynamics suggests that a vast repertoire of $coexisting$ $tendencies$ exists for…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-03-09 J. A. Scott Kelso

Individual differences in brain functional networks may be related to complex personal identifiers, including health, age, and ability. Understanding and quantifying these differences is a necessary first step towards developing predictive…

This research explores how total mortality figures relate to age-standardized death rates within the United States, using the complete historical record of national mortality statistics. Through a detailed investigation of both all-cause…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-21 Brandon Dunbar , Paramahansa Pramanik , Haley Kate Robinson

The emergence of opinion polarization within human communities -- the phenomenon that individuals within a society tend to develop conflicting attitudes related to the greatest diversity of topics -- has been a focus of interest for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-05 Anna Zafeiris

Human aging is marked by a steady rise in the risk of dying with age-a process demographers call senescence. Over the past century, life expectancy has risen dramatically, but is this because we are aging slower, or simply starting it…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-13 Silvio Cabral Patricio

Binary observations are often repeated to improve data quality, creating technical replicates. Several scoring methods are commonly used to infer the actual individual state and obtain a probability for each state. The common practice of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-24 Manuela Royer-Carenzi , Hadrien Lorenzo , Pierre Pudlo

A distinction is sometimes made between "statistical" and "subjective" probabilities. This is based on a distinction between "unique" events and "repeatable" events. We argue that this distinction is untenable, since all events are "unique"…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Henry E. Kyburg

This article starts out with a detailed example illustrating the utility of applying quantum probability to psychology. Then it describes several alternative mathematical methods for mapping fundamental quantum concepts (such as state…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-19 Jerome R Busemeyer , Zheng Wang , Andrei Khrennikov , Irina Basieva

Pluralistic ignorance is a social-psychological phenomenon that occurs when individuals privately hold beliefs that differ from perceived group norms. Traditional models, based on opinion dynamics with private and public states, fail to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-07-01 Alessandra F. Lütz , Lucas Wardil

The problem addressed concerns the determination of the average number of successive attempts of guessing a word of a certain length consisting of letters with given probabilities of occurrence. Both first- and second-order approximations…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-19 Kerstin Andersson

Mental health is not a fixed trait but a dynamic process shaped by the interplay between individual dispositions and situational contexts. Building on interactionist and constructionist psychological theories, we develop interpretable…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-09 Nikita Soni , August Håkan Nilsson , Syeda Mahwish , Vasudha Varadarajan , H. Andrew Schwartz , Ryan L. Boyd

This paper describes a new entropy-style of equation that may be useful in a general sense, but can be applied to a cognitive model with related processes. The model is based on the human brain, with automatic and distributed pattern…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-04-23 Kieran Greer

Will the United Kingdom's ageing population be fit and independent, or suffer from greater chronic ill health? Healthy life expectancy is commonly used to assess this: it is an estimate of how many years are lived in good health over the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ehsan Khoman , Martin Weale

Brain age prediction models have succeeded in predicting clinical outcomes in neurodegenerative diseases, but can struggle with tasks involving faster progressing diseases and low quality data. To enhance their performance, we employ a…

It is commonly assumed that a specific testing occasion (task, design, procedure, etc.) provides insights that generalise beyond that occasion. This assumption is infrequently carefully tested in data. We develop a statistically principled…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-27 Laura Wall , David Gunawan , Scott D. Brown , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Robert Kohn , Guy E. Hawkins

This paper introduces a comprehensive model for age estimation, verification, and comparability, offering a comprehensive solution for a wide range of applications. It employs advanced learning techniques to understand age distribution and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-29 François David , Alexey A. Novikov , Ruslan Parkhomenko , Artem Voronin , Alix Melchy
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