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A recent study of the replicability of key psychological findings is a major contribution toward understanding the human side of the scientific process. Despite the careful and nuanced analysis reported in the paper, mass and social media…

Applications · Statistics 2015-10-01 Jeffrey T. Leek , Prasad Patil , Roger D. Peng

We solve a lifecycle model in which the consumer's chronological age does not move in lockstep with calendar time. Instead, biological age increases at a stochastic non-linear rate in time like a broken clock that might occasionally move…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-27 Huaxiong Huang , Moshe A. Milevsky , Thomas S. Salisbury

In his constructive and well-informed commentary, Andrei Khrennikov acknowledges a privileged status of classical probability theory with respect to statistical analysis. He also sees advantages offered by the Contextuality-by-Default…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-12-14 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Maria Kon

This paper addresses how to calculate and interpret the time-delayed mutual information for a complex, diversely and sparsely measured, possibly non-stationary population of time-series of unknown composition and origin. The primary vehicle…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-30 D. J. Albers , George Hripcsak

Whereas today's information systems are well-equipped for efficient query handling, their strict mathematical foundations hamper their use for everyday tasks. In daily life, people expect information to be offered in a personalized and…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2011-05-25 Joachim Selke , Wolf-Tilo Balke

Because of permanent use-dependent brain plasticity, all lifelong individuals' experiences are believed to influence the cognitive aging quality. In older individuals, both former and current musical practices have been associated with…

We study the empirical likelihood approach to construct confidence intervals for the optimal value and the optimality gap of a given solution, henceforth quantify the statistical uncertainty of sample average approximation, for optimization…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-25 Henry Lam , Enlu Zhou

We investigate the potential of deliberation to create consensus among fully-informed citizens. Our approach relies on two cognitive assumptions: i. citizens need a thinking frame (or perspective) to consider an issue; and ii. citizens…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-11-11 Ariane Lambert-Mogiliansky , Irénée Frérot

How universal is human conceptual structure? The way concepts are organized in the human brain may reflect distinct features of cultural, historical, and environmental background in addition to properties universal to human cognition.…

Inspired by a quantum mechanical formalism to model concepts and their disjunctions and conjunctions, we put forward in this paper a specific hypothesis. Namely that within human thought two superposed layers can be distinguished: (i) a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-07-26 Diederik Aerts , Bart D'Hooghe

We introduce a conceptually simple and effective method to quantify the similarity between relations in knowledge bases. Specifically, our approach is based on the divergence between the conditional probability distributions over entity…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Weize Chen , Hao Zhu , Xu Han , Zhiyuan Liu , Maosong Sun

Age and gender are two important factors that play crucial roles in the way organisms allocate their social effort. In this study, we analyse a large mobile phone dataset to explore the way lifehistory influences human sociality and the way…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-08-28 Kunal Bhattacharya , Asim Ghosh , Daniel Monsivais , Robin I. M. Dunbar , Kimmo Kaski

Objectives: To examine the distribution, temporal associations, and age/sex-specific patterns of multiple long-term conditions (MLTCs) in adults with intellectual disability (ID). Study Design: Observational study using longitudinal…

Predicting brain maturity using noninvasive magnetic resonance images (MRI) can distinguish different age groups and help to assess neurodevelopmental disorders. However, group-wise differences are often less informative for assessing…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2014-12-17 Cheol E. Han , Luis R. Peraza , John-Paul Taylor , Marcus Kaiser

Collective intelligence is believed to underly the remarkable success of human society. The formation of accurate shared beliefs is one of the key components of human collective intelligence. How are accurate shared beliefs formed in groups…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2016-08-08 Peter M. Krafft , Julia Zheng , Wei Pan , Nicolás Della Penna , Yaniv Altshuler , Erez Shmueli , Joshua B. Tenenbaum , Alex Pentland

We examine the dynamics of an age-structured population model in which the life expectancy of an offspring may be mutated with respect to that of the parent. While the total population of the system always reaches a steady state, the…

adap-org · Physics 2007-05-23 W. Hwang , P. L. Krapivsky , S. Redner

This report presents findings from an expert survey on digital minds takeoff scenarios. The survey was conducted in early 2025 with 67 experts in digital minds research, AI research, philosophy, forecasting, and related fields. Participants…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Lucius Caviola , Bradford Saad

The link between age and migration propensity is long established, but existing models of country-level net migration ignore the effect of population age distribution on past and projected migration rates. We propose a method to estimate…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-11 Nathan G. Welch , Hana Ševčíková , Adrian E. Raftery

People act upon their desires, but often, also act in adherence to implicit social norms. How do people infer these unstated social norms from others' behavior, especially in novel social contexts? We propose that laypeople have intuitive…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-05-28 Zhi-Xuan Tan , Desmond C. Ong

Ageing impacts the brain's structural and functional organization and over time leads to various disorders, such as Alzheimer's disease and cognitive impairment. The process also impacts sensory function, bringing about a general slowing in…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-07 L. J. Fosque , A. Alipour , M. Zare , R. V. Williams-Garcia , J. M. Beggs , G. Ortiz
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