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Modern social and biomedical scientific publications require the reporting of covariate balance tables with not only covariate means by treatment group but also the associated $p$-values from significance tests of their differences. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-06 Anqi Zhao , Peng Ding

The limitation of permutation tests is that they assume exchangeability. It is shown that in generalized linear models one can construct permutation tests from score statistics in particular cases. When under the null hypothesis the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-03-05 Daniel Commenges

In this work, we show that Spearman's correlation coefficient test about $H_0:\rho_s=0$ found in most statistical software packages is theoretically incorrect and performs poorly when bivariate normality assumptions are not met or the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-05 Han Yu , Alan D. Hutson

The false discovery proportion (FDP) is a convenient way to account for false positives when a large number $m$ of tests are performed simultaneously. Romano and Wolf [Ann. Statist. 35 (2007) 1378-1408] have proposed a general principle…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-08 Sylvain Delattre , Etienne Roquain

Variational inference has become an increasingly attractive fast alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for approximate Bayesian inference. However, a major obstacle to the widespread use of variational methods is the lack of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-03 Jonathan H. Huggins , Mikołaj Kasprzak , Trevor Campbell , Tamara Broderick

{\bf Motivation:} Permutation-based gene set tests are standard approaches for testing relationshi ps between collections of related genes and an outcome of interest in high throughput expression analyses. Using $M$ random permutations, one…

Computation · Statistics 2014-05-07 Jessica L. Larson , Art B. Owen

This paper proposes the use of "multicalibration" to yield interpretable and reliable confidence scores for outputs generated by large language models (LLMs). Multicalibration asks for calibration not just marginally, but simultaneously…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-09 Gianluca Detommaso , Martin Bertran , Riccardo Fogliato , Aaron Roth

Fitting high-dimensional statistical models often requires the use of non-linear parameter estimation procedures. As a consequence, it is generally impossible to obtain an exact characterization of the probability distribution of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-03 Adel Javanmard , Andrea Montanari

In this paper, we study large losses arising from defaults of a credit portfolio. We assume that the portfolio dependence structure is modelled by the Archimedean copula family as opposed to the widely used Gaussian copula. The resulting…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Hengxin Cui , Ken Seng Tan , Fan Yang

There are many research works and methods about change point detection in the literature. However, there are only a few that provide inference for such change points after being estimated. This work mainly focuses on a statistical analysis…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-02 Reza Valiollahi Mehrizi , Shojaeddin Chenouri

A novel method for computing exact p-values of one-sided statistics from the Kolmogorov-Smirnov family is presented. It covers the Higher Criticism statistic, one-sided weighted Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics, and the one-sided Berk-Jones…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-14 Amit Moscovich

In meta analysis, multiple hypothesis testing and many other methods, p-values are utilized as inputs and assumed to be uniformly distributed over the unit interval under the null hypotheses. If data used to generate p-values have discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Joshua Habiger , Pratyaydipta Rudra

Two common concerns raised in analyses of randomized experiments are (i) appropriately handling issues of non-compliance, and (ii) appropriately adjusting for multiple tests (e.g., on multiple outcomes or subgroups). Although simple…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-25 Joseph J. Lee , Laura Forastiere , Luke Miratrix , Natesh S. Pillai

P-value functions are modern statistical tools that unify effect estimation and hypothesis testing and can provide alternative point and interval estimates compared to standard meta-analysis methods, using any of the many $p$-value…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 Leonhard Held , Felix Hofmann , Samuel Pawel

Hybrid type 2 studies are gaining popularity for their ability to assess both implementation and health outcomes as co-primary endpoints. Often conducted as cluster-randomized trials (CRTs), five design methods can validly power these…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Melody Owen , Fan Li , Ruyi Liu , Donna Spiegelman

In this article, we consider the problem of constructing the confidence interval and testing hypothesis for the common coefficient of variation (CV) of several normal populations. A new method is suggested using the concepts of generalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-05 Javad Behboodian , Ali Akbar Jafari

As large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in critical decision-making systems, the lack of reliable methods to measure their uncertainty presents a fundamental trustworthiness risk. We introduce a normalized confidence score…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Xie Xiaohu , Liu Xiaohu , Yao Benjamin

We consider conditional tests for non-negative discrete exponential families. We develop two Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms which allow us to sample from the conditional space and to perform approximated tests. The first…

Computation · Statistics 2017-07-27 Roberto Fontana , Francesca Romana Crucinio

In large scale genetic association studies, a primary aim is to test for association between genetic variants and a disease outcome. The variants of interest are often rare, and appear with low frequency among subjects. In this situation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-20 Arjun Sondhi , Kenneth Martin Rice

We develop a technique to improve the power of any e-value by a simple randomization involving one independent uniform random variable. Using this framework, we show that two procedures for false discovery rate (FDR) control -- the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-15 Ziyu Xu , Aaditya Ramdas