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Under conditions of high penetration of renewables, the low-voltage (LV) distribution network needs to be carefully managed. In such a scenario, an accurate real-time low-voltage power network model is an important prerequisite, which opens…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-19 Sergey Iakovlev , Robin J. Evans , Iven Mareels

Network structures underlie the dynamics of many complex phenomena, from gene regulation and foodwebs to power grids and social media. Yet, as they often cannot be observed directly, their connectivities must be inferred from observations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Thomas Gaskin , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Mark Girolami

Estimating conditional independence graphs from high-dimensional Gaussian data is challenging because methods must detect relevant edges while rigorously controlling statistical errors. We propose a Bayesian framework based on a prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Roland B. Sogan , Tabea Rebafka , Fanny Villers

The increasing penetration of variable renewable energy (VRE) has brought significant challenges for power systems planning and operation. These highly variable sources are typically distributed in the grid; therefore, a detailed…

In this work, we aim to establish a Bayesian adaptive learning framework by focusing on estimating latent variables in deep neural network (DNN) models. Latent variables indeed encode both transferable distributional information and…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-26 Hu Hu , Sabato Marco Siniscalchi , Chin-Hui Lee

Multi-event detection and recognition in real time is of challenge for a modern grid as its feature is usually non-identifiable. Based on factor model, this paper porposes a data-driven method as an alternative solution under the framework…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-27 Fan Yang , Xing He , Robert Caiming Qiu , Zenan Ling

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

Bayesian estimation is a powerful theoretical paradigm for the operation of quantum sensors. However, the Bayesian method for statistical inference generally suffers from demanding calibration requirements that have so far restricted its…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-09-22 Samuel P. Nolan , Augusto Smerzi , Luca Pezzè

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are a widely used framework for network data, enabling hypothesis testing on the structural mechanisms underlying observed networks. Bayesian ERGMs provide principled uncertainty quantification and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Alberto Caimo , Isabella Gollini

Distributed energy resources are better for the environment but may cause transformer overload in distribution grids, calling for recovering meter-transformer mapping to provide situational awareness, i.e., the transformer loading. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-23 Bilal Saleem , Yang Weng

We study Bayesian inverse problems with mixed noise, modeled as a combination of additive and multiplicative Gaussian components. While traditional inference methods often assume fixed or known noise characteristics, real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Paul Hagemann , Robert Gruhlke , Bernhard Stankewitz , Claudia Schillings , Gabriele Steidl

We propose an approach based on neural networks and the AC power flow equations to identify single- and double-line outages in a power grid using the information from phasor measurement unit sensors (PMUs) placed on only a subset of the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-03-28 Ching-pei Lee , Stephen J. Wright

While the study of a single network is well-established, technological advances now allow for the collection of multiple networks with relative ease. Increasingly, anywhere from several to thousands of networks can be created from brain…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-14 Nathaniel Josephs , Lizhen Lin , Steven Rosenberg , Eric D. Kolaczyk

This paper presents conservative probabilistic bounds for the spectrum of the admittance matrix and classical linear power flow models under uncertain network parameters; for example, probabilistic line contingencies. Our proposed approach…

The paper presents a data-driven predictive control framework based on an implicit input-output mapping derived directly from the signal matrix of collected data. This signal matrix model is derived by maximum likelihood estimation with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-10 Mingzhou Yin , Andrea Iannelli , Roy S. Smith

This paper presents novel methods for parameter identification in electrical grids with small numbers of spatially distributed measuring devices, which is an issue for distribution system operators managing aged and not properly mapped…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-21 Steven de Jongh , Felicitas Mueller , Claudio Cañizares , Thomas Leibfried , Kankar Bhattacharya

The advanced operation of future electricity distribution systems is likely to require significant observability of the different parameters of interest (e.g., demand, voltages, currents, etc.). Ensuring completeness of data is, therefore,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-08-07 Cristian Genes , Iñaki Esnaola , Samir. M. Perlaza , Luis F. Ochoa , Daniel Coca

Efficient operation of distribution grids in the smart-grid era is hindered by the limited presence of real-time nodal and line meters. In particular, this prevents the easy estimation of grid topology and associated line parameters that…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Sejun Park , Deepjyoti Deka , Scott Backhaus , Michael Chertkov

We consider the problem of diagnosing faults in a system represented by a Bayesian network, where diagnosis corresponds to recovering the most likely state of unobserved nodes given the outcomes of tests (observed nodes). Finding an optimal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Alice X. Zheng , Irina Rish , Alina Beygelzimer

Implementing state estimation in low and medium voltage power distribution is still challenging given the scale of many networks and the reliance of traditional methods on a large number of measurements. This paper proposes a method to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Roel Dobbe , Werner van Westering , Stephan Liu , Daniel Arnold , Duncan Callaway , Claire Tomlin