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The increasing penetration of renewable energy sources introduces significant variability and uncertainty in modern power systems, making accurate state prediction critical for reliable grid operation. Conventional forecasting methods often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Dhruv Suri , Mohak Mangal

Line outage identification in distribution grids is essential for sustainable grid operation. In this work, we propose a practical yet robust detection approach that utilizes only readily available voltage magnitudes, eliminating the need…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-21 Chenhan Xiao , Yizheng Liao , Yang Weng

Deep directed generative models have attracted much attention recently due to their expressive representation power and the ability of ancestral sampling. One major difficulty of learning directed models with many latent variables is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-16 Siqi Nie , Qiang Ji

The flexible loads in power systems, such as interruptible and transferable loads, are critical flexibility resources for mitigating power imbalances. Despite their potential, accurate modeling of these loads is a challenging work and has…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-06 Mingji Chen , Shuai Lu , Wei Gu , Zhaoyang Dong , Yijun Xu , Jiayi Ding

Voltage prediction in distribution grids is a critical yet difficult task for maintaining power system stability. Machine learning approaches, particularly Graph Neural Networks (GNNs), offer significant speedups but suffer from poor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Ehimare Okoyomon , Arbel Yaniv , Christoph Goebel

This manuscript presents novel techniques for identifying the switch states, phase identification, and estimation of equipment parameters in multi-phase low voltage electrical grids, which is a major challenge in long-standing German low…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-21 Steven de Jongh , Felicitas Mueller , Fabian Osterberg , Claudio A. Cañizares , Thomas Leibfried , Kankar Bhattacharya

Electricity production currently generates approximately 25% of greenhouse gas emissions in the USA. Thus, increasing the amount of renewable energy is a key step to carbon neutrality. However, integrating a large amount of fluctuating…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-20 Aleksandr Lukashevich , Yury Maximov

The increasing integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) calls for new planning and operational tools. However, such tools depend on system topology and line parameters, which may be missing or inaccurate in distribution grids.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-05-25 Jiafan Yu , Yang Weng , Ram Rajagopal

This paper addresses the classic problem of parameter estimation (PE) in multimachine power system models. Such models are typically described by a set of nonlinear differential-algebraic equations (DAE), where generator physics and network…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-20 Abdallah Alalem Albustami , Ahmad F. Taha , Sankaran Mahadevan

Recently, various algorithms for data-driven simulation and control have been proposed based on the Willems' fundamental lemma. However, when collected data are noisy, these methods lead to ill-conditioned data-driven model structures. In…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-20 Mingzhou Yin , Andrea Iannelli , Roy S. Smith

We propose a new method for parameter learning in Bayesian networks with qualitative influences. This method extends our previous work from networks of binary variables to networks of discrete variables with ordered values. The specified…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Ad Feelders

In order to identify a system (module) embedded in a dynamic network, one has to formulate a multiple-input estimation problem that necessitates certain nodes to be measured and included as predictor inputs. However, some of these nodes may…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-24 Karthik R. Ramaswamy , Giulio Bottegal , Paul M. J. Van den Hof

This paper proposes a data-driven approach to detect the switching actions and topology transitions in distribution networks. It is based on the real time analysis of time-series voltages measurements. The analysis approach draws on data…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Guido Cavraro , Reza Arghandeh , Alexandra von Meier , Kameshwar Poolla

The reliable operation of a power distribution system relies on a good prior knowledge of its topology and its system state. Although crucial, due to the lack of direct monitoring devices on the switch statuses, the topology information is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-19 Yijun Xu , Jaber Valinejad , Mert Korkali , Lamine Mili , Yajun Wang , Xiao Chen , Zongsheng Zheng

Probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) is a key component in the extended tool-chain required for efficient management of smart energy grids. Neural networks are widely considered to achieve improved prediction performances, supporting highly…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-12 Alessandro Brusaferri , Matteo Matteucci , Stefano Spinelli , Andrea Vitali

This paper presents a novel centralized, variational data assimilation approach for calibrating transient dynamic models in electrical power systems, focusing on load model parameters. With the increasing importance of inverter-based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-15 Ahmed Attia , D. Adrian Maldonado , Emil Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

Source separation is one of the signal processing's main emerging domain. Many techniques such as maximum likelihood (ML), Infomax, cumulant matching, estimating function, etc. have been used to address this difficult problem.…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 Ali Mohammad-Djafari

In this paper we present novel methodology for automatic anomaly and switch event filtering to improve load estimation in power grid systems. By leveraging unsupervised methods with supervised optimization, our approach prioritizes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Roel Bouman , Linda Schmeitz , Luco Buise , Jacco Heres , Yuliya Shapovalova , Tom Heskes

Phasor measurement units (PMUs) create ample real-time monitoring opportunities for modern power systems. Among them, line outage detection and identification remains a crucial but challenging task. Current works on outage identification…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-07 Xiaozhou Yang , Nan Chen

Optimum parameter estimation methods require knowledge of a parametric probability density that statistically describes the available observations. In this work we examine Bayesian and non-Bayesian parameter estimation problems under a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-01 George V. Moustakides