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We introduce a Bayesian (deep) model-based reinforcement learning method (RoMBRL) that can capture model uncertainty to achieve sample-efficient policy optimisation. We propose to formulate the model-based policy optimisation problem as a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-01-06 Tai Hoang , Ngo Anh Vien

We study a large-scale one-sided multiple testing problem in which test statistics follow normal distributions with unit variance, and the goal is to identify signals with positive mean effects. A conventional approach is to compute…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Kwangok Seo , Johan Lim , Hyungwon Choi , Jaesik Jeong

Motivated by the genomic application of expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) mapping, we propose a new procedure to perform simultaneous testing of multiple hypotheses using Bayes factors as input test statistics. One of the most…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-09 Xiaoquan Wen

Identifying which variables do influence a response while controlling false positives pervades statistics and data science. In this paper, we consider a scenario in which we only have access to summary statistics, such as the values of…

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for evaluating the effects of changes to real-world systems. Data in these tests may be difficult to collect and outcomes may have high variance, resulting in potentially large measurement error.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-27 Benjamin Letham , Brian Karrer , Guilherme Ottoni , Eytan Bakshy

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) often find association signals between many genetic variants and traits of interest in a genomic region. Functional annotations of these variants provide valuable prior information that helps…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-07 Xiangyu Zhang , Lijun Wang , Changjun Li , Chen Lin , Hongyu Zhao

Functional verification relies on large simulation-based regressions. Traditional test selection relies on static test features and overlooks actual coverage behavior, wasting substantial simulation time, while constrained random stimuli…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Weijie Peng , Nanbing Li , Jin Luo , Shuai Wang , Yihui Li , Jun Fang , Yun , Liang

In a novel approach to the multiple testing problem, Efron (2004; 2007) formulated estimators of the distribution of test statistics or nominal p-values under a null distribution suitable for modeling the data of thousands of unaffected…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-30 David R. Bickel

This paper proposes Bayesian Adaptive Trials (BAT) as both an efficient method to conduct trials and a unifying framework for evaluation social policy interventions, addressing limitations inherent in traditional methods such as Randomized…

This research deals with massive multiple hypothesis testing. First regarding multiple tests as an estimation problem under a proper population model, an error measurement called Erroneous Rejection Ratio (ERR) is introduced and related to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cheng Cheng

Statisticians have recently developed propensity score methods to improve generalizations from randomized experiments that do not employ random sampling. However, these methods typically rely on assumptions whose plausibility may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-14 Wendy Chan

We study the problem of active nonparametric sequential two-sample testing over multiple heterogeneous data sources. In each time slot, a decision-maker adaptively selects one of $K$ data sources and receives a paired sample generated from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Chia-Yu Hsu , Shubhanshu Shekhar

When dealing with the problem of simultaneously testing a large number of null hypotheses, a natural testing strategy is to first reduce the number of tested hypotheses by some selection (screening or filtering) process, and then to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-21 Wenge Guo , Joseph P. Romano

We propose the Bayesian adaptive Lasso (BaLasso) for variable selection and coefficient estimation in linear regression. The BaLasso is adaptive to the signal level by adopting different shrinkage for different coefficients. Furthermore, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-09-14 Chenlei Leng , Minh Ngoc Tran , David Nott

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a sample-efficient approach for tuning design parameters to optimize expensive-to-evaluate, black-box performance metrics. In many manufacturing processes, the design parameters are subject to random input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-06 Samuel Daulton , Sait Cakmak , Maximilian Balandat , Michael A. Osborne , Enlu Zhou , Eytan Bakshy

Negative control is a common technique in scientific investigations and broadly refers to the situation where a null effect (''negative result'') is expected. Motivated by a real proteomic dataset, we will present three promising and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Zijun Gao , Qingyuan Zhao

We are motivated by the problem of performing failure prediction for safety-critical robotic systems with high-dimensional sensor observations (e.g., vision). Given access to a black-box control policy (e.g., in the form of a neural…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-05-09 Alec Farid , David Snyder , Allen Z. Ren , Anirudha Majumdar

We study the problem of optimizing expensive blackbox functions over combinatorial spaces (e.g., sets, sequences, trees, and graphs). BOCS (Baptista and Poloczek, 2018) is a state-of-the-art Bayesian optimization method for tractable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-20 Aryan Deshwal , Syrine Belakaria , Janardhan Rao Doppa

In the sparse sequence model, we consider a popular Bayesian multiple testing procedure and investigate for the first time its behaviour from the frequentist point of view. Given a spike-and-slab prior on the high-dimensional sparse unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Kweku Abraham , Ismael Castillo , Etienne Roquain

The Bayesian expected power (BEP) has become increasingly popular in sample size determination and assessment of the probability of success (POS) for a future trial. The BEP takes into consideration the uncertainty around the parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-01 Fang Liu
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