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Phase III randomized clinical trials play a monumentally critical role in the evaluation of new medical products. Because of the intrinsic nature of uncertainty embedded in our capability in assessing the efficacy of a medical product,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-25 Changyu Shen , Xiaochun Li

Accurate detection of infected individuals is one of the critical steps in stopping any pandemic. When the underlying infection rate of the disease is low, testing people in groups, instead of testing each individual in the population, can…

Adaptive control approaches yield high-performance controllers when a precise system model or suitable parametrizations of the controller are available. Existing data-driven approaches for adaptive control mostly augment standard…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-03 Christopher König , Matteo Turchetta , John Lygeros , Alisa Rupenyan , Andreas Krause

Given the cost and duration of phase III and phase IV clinical trials, the development of statistical methods for go/no-go decisions is vital. In this paper, we introduce a Bayesian methodology to compute the probability of success based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-27 Ethan M. Alt , Matthew A. Psioda , Joseph G. Ibrahim

The large bulk of work in multiple testing has focused on specifying procedures that control the false discovery rate (FDR), with relatively less attention being paid to the corresponding Type II error known as the false non-discovery rate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-11 Max Rabinovich , Michael I. Jordan , Martin J. Wainwright

The Bayes factor, the data-based updating factor of the prior to posterior odds of two hypotheses, is a natural measure of statistical evidence for one hypothesis over the other. We show how Bayes factors can also be used for parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-09 Samuel Pawel

We offer a novel view of AdaBoost in a statistical setting. We propose a Bayesian model for binary classification in which label noise is modeled hierarchically. Using variational inference to optimize a dynamic evidence lower bound, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-09-11 Alexander Lorbert , David M. Blei , Robert E. Schapire , Peter J. Ramadge

An important problem in machine learning and statistics is to identify features that causally affect the outcome. This is often impossible to do from purely observational data, and a natural relaxation is to identify features that are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Jaime Roquero Gimenez , Amirata Ghorbani , James Zou

Bayesian analysis plays a crucial role in estimating distribution of unknown parameters for given data and model. Due to the curse of dimensionality, it becomes difficult for high-dimensional problems, especially when multiple modes exist.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-18 Zihan Liao , Binbin Li , Hua-Ping Wan

In many scientific settings there is a need for adaptive experimental design to guide the process of identifying regions of the search space that contain as many true positives as possible subject to a low rate of false discoveries (i.e.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-18 Lalit Jain , Kevin Jamieson

In multiple hypothesis testing, it is well known that adaptive procedures can enhance power via incorporating information about the number of true nulls present. Under independence, we establish that two adaptive false discovery rate (FDR)…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-25 Dennis Leung , Ninh Tran

Controller tuning and parameter optimization are crucial in system design to improve closed-loop system performance. Bayesian optimization has been established as an efficient model-free controller tuning and adaptation method. However,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-24 Christopher König , Raamadaas Krishnadas , Efe C. Balta , Alisa Rupenyan

Multiple testing with false discovery rate (FDR) control has been widely conducted in the ``discrete paradigm" where p-values have discrete and heterogeneous null distributions. However, in this scenario existing FDR procedures often lose…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-23 Xiongzhi Chen , R. W. Doerge , Sanat K. Sarkar

Multiple hypothesis testing problems arise naturally in science. In this paper, we introduce the new Fast Closed Testing (FACT) method for multiple testing, controlling the family-wise error rate. This error rate is state of the art in many…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-22 Edgar Dobriban

In this paper, we aim at solving a class of multiple testing problems under the Bayesian sequential decision framework. Our motivating application comes from binary labeling tasks in crowdsourcing, where the requestor needs to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-29 Xiaoou Li , Yunxiao Chen , Xi Chen , Jingchen Liu , Zhiliang Ying

We develop an empirical Bayes procedure for estimating the cell means in an unbalanced, two-way additive model with fixed effects. We employ a hierarchical model, which reflects exchangeability of the effects within treatment and within…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-30 Lawrence D. Brown , Gourab Mukherjee , Asaf Weinstein

Modern statistical analyses often involve testing large numbers of hypotheses. In many situations, these hypotheses may have an underlying tree structure that not only helps determine the order that tests should be conducted but also…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Yunxiao Li , Yi-Juan Hu , Glen A. Satten

Bayesian optimisation (BO) is widely used to optimise stochastic black box functions. While most BO approaches focus on optimising conditional expectations, many applications require risk-averse strategies and alternative criteria…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-11 Victor Picheny , Henry Moss , Léonard Torossian , Nicolas Durrande

Conducting genome-wide association studies (GWAS) in copy number variation (CNV) level is a field where few people involves and little statistical progresses have been achieved, traditional methods suffer from many problems such as batch…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-17 Han Wang , Changhu Wang , Linjie Wu , Ruibin Xi

We propose a frequentist testing procedure that maintains a defined coverage and is optimal in the sense that it gives maximal power to detect deviations from a null hypothesis when the alternative to the null hypothesis is sampled from a…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-07 Christian Bartels , Johanna Mielke , Ekkehard Glimm