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We consider the problem of inferring a latent function in a probabilistic model of data. When dependencies of the latent function are specified by a Gaussian process and the data likelihood is complex, efficient computation often involve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-23 Martin Tegner , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Stephen Roberts

This paper studies the chance constrained fractional programming with a random benchmark. We assume that the random variables on the numerator follow the Gaussian distribution, and the random variables on the denominator and the benchmark…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Tian Xia , Jia Liu

In this paper we present stochastic foundations of fractional dynamics driven by fractional material derivative of distributed order-type. Before stating our main result we present the stochastic scenario which underlies the dynamics given…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-02 Marcin Magdziarz , Marek Teuerle

Categorical random variables are a common staple in machine learning methods and other applications across disciplines. Many times, correlation within categorical predictors exists, and has been noted to have an effect on various algorithm…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-25 Rachel Traylor

We propose a new algorithm to generate a fractional Brownian motion, with a given Hurst parameter, 1/2<H<1 using the correlated Bernoulli random variables with parameter p; having a certain density. This density is constructed using the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-15 Buket Coskun , Ceren Vardar-Acar , Hakan Demirtas

A generalization of fractional vector calculus as a self-consistent mathematical theory is proposed to take into account a general form of non-locality in kernels of fractional vector differential and integral operators. Self-consistency…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2021-11-09 Vasily E. Tarasov

We propose a discrete-time, finite-state stationary process that can possess long-range dependence. Among the interesting features of this process is that each state can have different long-term dependency, i.e., the indicator sequence can…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-19 Jeonghwa Lee

We prove a sequence of limiting results about weakly dependent stationary and regularly varying stochastic processes in discrete time. After deducing the limiting distribution for individual clusters of extremes, we present a new type of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Bojan Basrak , Hrvoje Planinic , Philippe Soulier

We consider a general piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) $X=\{X_t\}_{t\geqslant 0}$ with measure-valued generator $\mathcal{A}$, for which the conditional distribution function of the inter-occurrence time is not necessarily…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-27 Zhaoyang Liu , Yuying Liu , Guoxin Liu

The space-time fractional Poisson process (STFPP), defined by Orsingher and Poilto in \cite{sfpp}, is a generalization of the time fractional Poisson process (TFPP) and the space fractional Poisson process (SFPP). We study the fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-10 A. Maheshwari , P. Vellaisamy

The term ``sequential Monte Carlo methods'' or, equivalently, ``particle filters,'' refers to a general class of iterative algorithms that performs Monte Carlo approximations of a given sequence of distributions of interest (\pi_t). We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Nicolas Chopin

This paper is devoted to establish an invariance principle where the limit process is a multifractional Gaussian process with a multifractional function which takes its values in $(1/2,1)$. Some properties, such as regularity and local…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Serge Cohen , Renaud Marty

We present a new approach to far-from-equilibrium statistical mechanics, based on the concept of generalized entropy, which is a microscopically-defined generalization of Onsager-Machlup functional. In the case when a set of slow…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Alexei V. Tkachenko

The Poisson-binomial distribution is useful in many applied problems in engineering, actuarial science, and data mining. The Poisson-binomial distribution models the distribution of the sum of independent but not identically distributed…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-07 Man Zhang , Yili Hong , Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan

The stochastic properties of variables whose addition leads to $q$-Gaussian distributions $G_q(x)=[1+(q-1)x^2]_+^{1/(1-q)}$ (with $q\in\mathbb{R}$ and where $[f(x)]_+=max\{f(x),0\}$) as limit law for a large number of terms are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 C. Anteneodo

Generalized Fiducial Inference (GFI) is motivated by R.A. Fisher's approach of obtaining posterior-like distributions when there is no prior information available for the unknown parameter. Without the use of Bayes' theorem GFI proposes a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-26 Abhishek Pal Majumder , Jan Hannig

This paper studies the first hitting times of generalized Poisson processes $N^f(t)$, related to Bernstein functions $f$. For the space-fractional Poisson processes, $N^\alpha(t)$, $t>0$ (corresponding to $f= x^\alpha$), the hitting…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-19 R. Garra , E. Orsingher , M. Scavino

The generalized Fibonacci recurrence $g_n=g_{n-k}+g_{n-m}$ was recently used to demonstrate the theoretically optimal nature of limited senescence in morphologically symmetrically dividing bacteria. Here, we study this recurrence from a…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Natasha Blitvić , Vicente I. Fernandez

We prove large deviation principles for two versions of fractional Poisson processes. Firstly we consider the main version which is a renewal process; we also present large deviation estimates for the ruin probabilities of an insurance…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-26 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci

We study, in d-dimensions, the random walker with geometrically shrinking step sizes at each hop. We emphasize the integrated quantities such as expectation values, cumulants and moments rather than a direct study of the probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Tonguc Rador