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This chapter is an attempt to present a mathematical theory of compound fractional Poisson processes. The chapter begins with the characterization of a well-known L\'evy process: The compound Poisson process. The semi-Markov extension of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-04 Enrico Scalas

A generalized Gaussian process model (GGPM) is a unifying framework that encompasses many existing Gaussian process (GP) models, such as GP regression, classification, and counting. In the GGPM framework, the observation likelihood of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-28 Lifeng Shang , Antoni B. Chan

The fluctuation scaling law has universally been observed in a wide variety of phenomena. For counting processes describing the number of events occurred during time intervals, it is expressed as a power function relationship between the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-07-01 Shinsuke Koyama

Conformal prediction (CP) was developed to provide finite-sample probabilistic prediction guarantees. While CP algorithms are a relatively general-purpose approach to uncertainty quantification, with finite-sample guarantees, they lack…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-08 Jonathan P Williams

We develop an automated variational method for inference in models with Gaussian process (GP) priors and general likelihoods. The method supports multiple outputs and multiple latent functions and does not require detailed knowledge of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-06 Edwin V. Bonilla , Karl Krauth , Amir Dezfouli

In this paper we study a new generalization of the kinetic equation emerging in run-and-tumble models. We show that this generalization leads to a wide class of generalized fractional kinetic (GFK) and telegraph-type equations depending by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-15 Luca Angelani , Alessandro De Gregorio , Roberto Garra

In order to scale standard Gaussian process (GP) regression to large-scale datasets, aggregation models employ factorized training process and then combine predictions from distributed experts. The state-of-the-art aggregation models,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-05 Haitao Liu , Jianfei Cai , Yi Wang , Yew-Soon Ong

This paper introduces a new stochastic process with values in the set Z of integers with sign. The increments of process are Poisson differences and the dynamics has an autoregressive structure. We study the properties of the process and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-12 Giulia Carallo , Roberto Casarin , Christian P. Robert

We introduce a new Gaussian process, a generalization of both fractional and subfractional Brownian motions, which could serve as a good model for a larger class of natural phenomena. We study its main stochastic properties and some…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-10 Mounir Zili

Graphons have traditionally served as limit objects for dense graph sequences, with the cut distance serving as the metric for convergence. However, sparse graph sequences converge to the trivial graphon under the conventional definition of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-12 Xingchao Jian , Feng Ji , Wee Peng Tay

In this paper the multi-dimensional random walk models governed by distributed fractional order differential equations and multi-term fractional order differential equations are constructed. The scaling limits of these random walks to a…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Sabir Umarov , Stanly Steinberg

Fractional diffusion equations imply non-Gaussian distributions that generalise the standard diffusive process. Recent advances in fractional calculus lead to a class of new fractional operators defined by non-singular memory kernels,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-12-26 M. A. F. dos Santos , Ignacio S. Gomez

Gaussian processes (GPs) are frequently used in machine learning and statistics to construct powerful models. However, when employing GPs in practice, important considerations must be made, regarding the high computational burden,…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-08 Karla Monterrubio-Gómez , Sara Wade

This paper introduces a discrete-time fractional Poisson process defined as a renewal process, where the waiting times follow a discrete Mittag-Leffler distribution. We investigate its fundamental properties by explicitly deriving the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Naohiro Yoshida

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for probabilistic inference over functions. They have been applied to both regression and non-linear dimensionality reduction, and offer desirable properties such as uncertainty estimates,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-01 Yarin Gal , Mark van der Wilk , Carl E. Rasmussen

The diffusion equation and its time-fractional counterpart can be obtained via the diffusion limit of continuous-time random walks with exponential and heavy-tailed waiting time distributions. The space dependent variable-order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-24 Christopher N. Angstmann , Daniel S. Han , Bruce I. Henry , Boris Z. Huang , Zhuang Xu

Nested nonparametric processes are vectors of random probability measures widely used in the Bayesian literature to model the dependence across distinct, though related, groups of observations. These processes allow a two-level clustering,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Federico Camerlenghi , Riccardo Corradin , Andrea Ongaro

A physical-mathematical approach to anomalous diffusion may be based on generalized diffusion equations (containing derivatives of fractional order in space or/and time) and related random walk models. The fundamental solution (for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-09-25 Rudolf Gorenflo , Francesco Mainardi , Daniele Moretti , Gianni Pagnini , Paolo Paradisi

A class of generalized exclusion processes parametrized by the maximal occupancy, $k\geq 1$, is investigated. For these processes with symmetric nearest-neighbor hopping, we compute the diffusion coefficient and show that it is independent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-11-14 Chikashi Arita , P. L. Krapivsky , Kirone Mallick

We introduce a non-homogeneous fractional Poisson process by replacing the time variable in the fractional Poisson process of renewal type with an appropriate function of time. We characterize the resulting process by deriving its non-local…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-18 N. Leonenko , E. Scalas , M. Trinh
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