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Standard Gaussian Process (GP) regression, a powerful machine learning tool, is computationally expensive when it is applied to large datasets, and potentially inaccurate when data points are sparsely distributed in a high-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-08 Z. Zhang , K. Duraisamy , N. A. Gumerov

We consider a continuous-time random walk which is the generalization, by means of the introduction of waiting periods on sites, of the one-dimensional nonhomogeneous random walk with a position-dependent drift known in the mathematical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-25 Gaia Pozzoli , Mattia Radice , Manuele Onofri , Roberto Artuso

We obtain the posterior distribution of a random process conditioned on observing the empirical frequencies of a finite sample path. We find under a rather broad assumption on the "dependence structure" of the process, {\em c.f.}…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Wenqing Hu , Hong Qian

In this paper we introduce the space-fractional Poisson process whose state probabilities $p_k^\alpha(t)$, $t>0$, $\alpha \in (0,1]$, are governed by the equations $(\mathrm d/\mathrm dt)p_k(t) = -\lambda^\alpha (1-B)p_k^\alpha(t)$, where…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-28 Enzo Orsingher , Federico Polito

Fractional calculus allows one to generalize the linear, one-dimensional, diffusion equation by replacing either the first time derivative or the second space derivative by a derivative of fractional order. The fundamental solutions of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Francesco Mainardi , Paolo Paradisi , Rudolf Gorenflo

As datasets grow larger, they are often distributed across multiple machines that compute in parallel and communicate with a central machine through short messages. In this paper, we focus on sparse regression and propose a new procedure…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-14 Sifan Liu , Snigdha Panigrahi

The piecewise exponential model is a flexible non-parametric approach for time-to-event data, but extrapolation beyond final observation times typically relies on random walk priors and deterministic knot locations, resulting in unrealistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Luke Hardcastle , Samuel Livingstone , Gianluca Baio

We study the first-passage time (FPT) problem for widespread recurrent processes in confined though large systems and present a comprehensive framework for characterizing the FPT distribution over many time scales. We find that the FPT…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-21 Talia Baravi , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

The fractional Poisson process is a renewal process with Mittag-Leffler waiting times. Its distributions solve a time-fractional analogue of the Kolmogorov forward equation for a Poisson process. This paper shows that a traditional Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-14 Mark M. Meerschaert , Erkan Nane , P. Vellaisamy

Pi Fractions are used to create deterministic uniformly distributed pseudorandom decision space sample points for a global search and optimization algorithm. These fractions appear to be uniformly distributed on [0,1] and can be used in any…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2014-03-18 Richard A. Formato

This paper considers the problem of constructing a confidence sequence, which is a sequence of confidence intervals that hold uniformly over time, for estimating the mean of bounded real-valued random processes. This paper revisits the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-27 J. Jon Ryu , Alankrita Bhatt

General first order methods (GFOMs), including various gradient descent and AMP algorithms, constitute a broad class of iterative algorithms in modern statistical learning problems. Some GFOMs also serve as constructive proof devices,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Qiyang Han

We study a random walk on $\mathbb{F}_p$ defined by $X_{n+1}=1/X_n+\varepsilon_{n+1}$ if $X_n\neq 0$, and $X_{n+1}=\varepsilon_{n+1}$ if $X_n=0$, where $\varepsilon_{n+1}$ are independent and identically distributed. This can be seen as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-15 Jimmy He , Huy Tuan Pham , Max Wenqiang Xu

Based on the continuous time random walk, we derive the Fokker-Planck equations with Caputo-Fabrizio fractional derivative, which can effectively model a variety of physical phenomena, especially, the material heterogeneities and structures…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-24 Minghua Chen , Jiankang Shi , Weihua Deng

Sparse variational approximations allow for principled and scalable inference in Gaussian Process (GP) models. In settings where several GPs are part of the generative model, theses GPs are a posteriori coupled. For many applications such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-30 Vincent Adam

We study continuous time Markov processes on graphs. The notion of frequency is introduced, which serves well as a scaling factor between any Markov time of a continuous time Markov process and that of its jump chain. As an application, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jianjun Tian , Xiao-Song Lin

In this paper the generalization of the Poisson distribution is derived for the case when each consecutive event changes event rate. A simple formula for the probability of observing of a given number of events for the selected period of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-01-06 E. A. Kushnirenko

To offer a view into the rapidly developing theory of fractional diffusion processes we describe in some detail three topics of present interest: (i) the well-scaled passage to the limit from continuous time random walk under power law…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-18 Rudolf Gorenflo , Francesco Mainardi

As a special example of piecewise deterministic Markov process, bouncy particle sampler is a rejection-free, irreversible Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm and can draw samples from target distribution efficiently. We generalize bouncy…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-20 Changye Wu , Christian P. Robert

The two parameter Poisson-Dirichlet Process (PDP), a generalisation of the Dirichlet Process, is increasingly being used for probabilistic modelling in discrete areas such as language technology, bioinformatics, and image analysis. There is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-17 Wray Buntine , Marcus Hutter