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Addressing the ongoing examination of high-frequency trading practices in financial markets, we report the results of an extensive empirical study estimating the maximum possible profitability of the most aggressive such practices, and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-15 Michael Kearns , Alex Kulesza , Yuriy Nevmyvaka

Bilateral trade models the task of intermediating between two strategic agents, a seller and a buyer, willing to trade a good for which they hold private valuations. We study this problem from the perspective of a broker, in a regret…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Simone Di Gregorio , Paul Dütting , Federico Fusco , Chris Schwiegelshohn

Foreign Exchange (FOREX) is a decentralised global market for exchanging currencies. The Forex market is enormous, and it operates 24 hours a day. Along with country-specific factors, Forex trading is influenced by cross-country ties and a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Sucharita Atha , Bharath Kumar Bolla

Algorithmic trading in modern financial markets is widely acknowledged to exhibit strategic, game-theoretic behaviors whose complexity can be difficult to model. A recent series of papers (Chriss, 2024b,c,a, 2025) has made progress in the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Michael Kearns , Mirah Shi

In recent years, a wide range of investment models have been created using artificial intelligence. Automatic trading by artificial intelligence can expand the range of trading methods, such as by conferring the ability to operate 24 hours…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-17 Koya Ishikawa , Kazuhide Nakata

High-frequency trading is prevalent, where automated decisions must be made quickly to take advantage of price imbalances and patterns in price action that forecast near-future movements. While many algorithms have been explored and tested,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-07 Koti S. Jaddu , Paul A. Bilokon

We propose a framework to study optimal trading policies in a one-tick pro-rata limit order book, as typically arises in short-term interest rate futures contracts. The high-frequency trader has the choice to trade via market orders or…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-15 Fabien Guilbaud , Huyên Pham

Bitcoin is firmly becoming a mainstream asset in our global society. Its highly volatile nature has traders and speculators flooding into the market to take advantage of its significant price swings in the hope of making money. This work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Nathan Crone , Eoin Brophy , Tomas Ward

AI and data driven solutions have been applied to different fields and achieved outperforming and promising results. In this research work we apply k-Nearest Neighbours, eXtreme Gradient Boosting and Random Forest classifiers for detecting…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-14 Mohsen Asgari , Hossein Khasteh

It is well known that traded foreign exchange forwards and cross currency swaps (CCS) cannot be priced applying overnight cash and carry arguments as they imply absence of funding advantage of one currency to the other. This paper proposes…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-09 Eduard Giménez , Alberto Elices , Giovanna Villani

Generating asset-specific trading signals based on the financial conditions of the assets is one of the challenging problems in automated trading. Various asset trading rules are proposed experimentally based on different technical analysis…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-28 Mehran Taghian , Ahmad Asadi , Reza Safabakhsh

In this paper, we introduce a matrix-valued time series model for foreign exchange market. We then formulate trading matrices, foreign exchange options and return options (matrices), as well as on-line portfolio strategies. Moreover, we…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-04 Panpan Ren , Jiang-Lun Wu

Trading frictions are stochastic. They are, moreover, in many instances fast-mean reverting. Here, we study how to optimally trade in a market with stochastic price impact and study approximations to the resulting optimal control problem…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-25 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Sebastian Jaimungal , Yuri F. Saporito

Binary options trading is often marketed as a field where predictive models can generate consistent profits. However, the inherent randomness and stochastic nature of binary options make price movements highly unpredictable, posing…

This paper introduces a high frequency trade execution model to evaluate the economic impact of supervised machine learners. Extending the concept of a confusion matrix, we present a 'trade information matrix' to attribute the expected…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-06 Matthew F Dixon

High-frequency trading (HFT) represents a pivotal and intensely competitive domain within the financial markets. The velocity and accuracy of data processing exert a direct influence on profitability, underscoring the significance of this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Yuxin Fan , Zhuohuan Hu , Lei Fu , Yu Cheng , Liyang Wang , Yuxiang Wang

Advanced algorithms based on Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) have been able to become a reliable tool for the Forex market traders and provide a suitable strategy for maximizing profit and reducing trading risk. These tools try to find…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Sahar Arabha , Davoud Sarani , Parviz Rashidi-Khazaee

Finding Bertram's optimal trading strategy for a pair of cointegrated assets following the Ornstein--Uhlenbeck price difference process can be formulated as an unconstrained convex optimization problem for maximization of expected profit…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-23 Vladimír Holý , Michal Černý

Pair trading is a market-neutral quantitative trading strategy that exploits price anomalies between two correlated assets. By taking simultaneous long and short positions, it generates profits based on relative price movements, independent…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Charles Barthelemy , Ruoyu Chen , Edward Lucyszyn

The report presents with the development and optimisation of an enhanced algorithmic trading strategy through the use of historical S&P 500 market data and earnings call sentiment analysis. The proposed strategy integrates various technical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Owen Nyo Wei Yuan , Victor Tan Jia Xuan , Ong Jun Yao Fabian , Ryan Tan Jun Wei