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This paper explores neural network-based approaches for algorithmic trading in cryptocurrency markets. Our approach combines multi-timeframe trend analysis with high-frequency direction prediction networks, achieving positive risk-adjusted…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-05 Wěi Zhāng

Technical analysis is used to discover investment opportunities. To test this hypothesis we propose an hybrid system using machine learning techniques together with genetic algorithms. Using technical analysis there are more ways to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-30 Gonçalo Abreu , Rui Neves , Nuno Horta

Large language models (LLMs) have shown strong reasoning capabilities and are increasingly explored for financial trading. Existing LLM-based trading agents, however, largely focus on single-step prediction and lack integrated mechanisms…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Bijia Liu , Ronghao Dang

We analyze an optimal trade execution problem in a financial market with stochastic liquidity. To this end we set up a limit order book model in which both order book depth and resilience evolve randomly in time. Trading is allowed in both…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-16 Julia Ackermann , Thomas Kruse , Mikhail Urusov

Because of the theoretical challenges posed by the Efficient Market Hypothesis to technical analysis, the effectiveness of technical indicators in high-frequency trading remains inadequately explored, particularly at the minute-level…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-04 Akash Deep , Abootaleb Shirvani , Chris Monico , Svetlozar Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

We explore online inductive transfer learning, with a feature representation transfer from a radial basis function network formed of Gaussian mixture model hidden processing units to a direct, recurrent reinforcement learning agent. This…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-24 Gabriel Borrageiro , Nick Firoozye , Paolo Barucca

We investigate triangular arbitrage within the spot foreign exchange market using high-frequency executable prices. We show that triangular arbitrage opportunities do exist, but that most have short durations and small magnitudes. We find…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-06 Daniel J. Fenn , Sam D. Howison , Mark McDonald , Stacy Williams , Neil F. Johnson

We present tight bounds and heuristics for personalized, multi-product pricing problems. Under mild conditions we show that the best price in the direction of a positive vector results in profits that are guaranteed to be at least as large…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-02-17 Guillermo Gallego , Gerardo Berbeglia

We study the long memory of order flow for each of three liquid currency pairs on a large electronic trading platform in the foreign exchange (FX) spot market. Due to the extremely high levels of market activity on the platform, and in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-23 Martin D. Gould , Mason A. Porter , Sam D. Howison

Minimizing execution costs for large orders is a fundamental challenge in finance. Firms often depend on brokers to manage their trades due to limited internal resources for optimizing trading strategies. This paper presents a methodology…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-05 Zoltan Eisler , Johannes Muhle-Karbe

Technical trading rules have been widely used by practitioners in financial markets for a long time. The profitability remains controversial and few consider the stationarity of technical indicators used in trading rules. We convert MA, KDJ…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-17 Jing-Chao Chen , Yu Zhou , Xi Wang

The main purpose of this study is the determination of the optimal length of the historical data for the estimation of statistical parameters in Markowitz Portfolio Optimization. We present a trading simulation using Markowitz method, for a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-23 Ertugrul Bayraktar , Ayse Humeyra Bilge

Alpha signals for statistical arbitrage strategies are often driven by latent factors. This paper analyses how to optimally trade with latent factors that cause prices to jump and diffuse. Moreover, we account for the effect of the trader's…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-13 Philippe Casgrain , Sebastian Jaimungal

Though machine learning has been applied to the foreign exchange market for algorithmic trading for quiet some time now, and neural networks(NN) have been shown to yield positive results, in most modern approaches the NN systems are…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2012-01-31 Gene I. Sher

High-frequency trading (HFT) uses computer algorithms to make trading decisions in short time scales (e.g., second-level), which is widely used in the Cryptocurrency (Crypto) market (e.g., Bitcoin). Reinforcement learning (RL) in financial…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-25 Molei Qin , Shuo Sun , Wentao Zhang , Haochong Xia , Xinrun Wang , Bo An

Nearly one-half of all trades in financial markets are executed by high-speed, autonomous computer programs -- a type of trading often called high-frequency trading (HFT). Although evidence suggests that HFT increases the efficiency of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-19 Benjamin Myers , Austin Gerig

When trading American and Asian options in the FX derivatives market, banks must calculate prices using a complex mathematical model. It is often observed that different models produce varying prices for the same exotic option, which…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-24 Dongli Wu , Bufan Zhang , Xiao Lin

The aim of this paper is to explain how parameters adjustments can be integrated in the design or the control of automates of trading. Typically, we are interested by the online estimation of the market impacts generated by robots or single…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-06 N Baradel , B Bouchard , Ngoc Minh Dang

The estimation of asset return distributions is crucial for determining optimal trading strategies. In this paper we describe the constrained mixture model, based on a mixture of Gamma and Gaussian distributions, to provide an accurate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-03-15 Iead Rezek

Order placement tactics play a crucial role in high-frequency trading algorithms and their design is based on understanding the dynamics of the order book. Using high quality high-frequency data and a set of microstructural features, we…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-30 Timothée Fabre , Vincent Ragel