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The Expected Value of Sample Information (EVSI) is used to calculate the economic value of a new research strategy. While this value would be important to both researchers and funders, there are very few practical applications of the EVSI.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-08 Anna Heath , Ioanna Manolopoulou , Gianluca Baio

This paper addresses the challenges of pricing exotic options and structured products, which traditional models often fail to handle due to their inability to capture real-world market phenomena like fat-tailed distributions and volatility…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-18 Helin Zhao , Junchi Shen

Reliable calculations of financial risk require that the fat-tailed nature of prices changes is included in risk measures. To this end, a non-Gaussian approach to financial risk management is presented, modeling the power-law tails of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-12-01 G. Bormetti , E. Cisana , G. Montagna , O. Nicrosini

We present a detailed analysis and implementation of a splitting strategy to identify simultaneously the local-volatility surface and the jump-size distribution from quoted European prices. The underlying model consists of a jump-diffusion…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-07 Vinicius Albani , Jorge Zubelli

In this paper, we discuss the application of extreme value theory in the context of stationary $\beta$-mixing sequences that belong to the Fr\'echet domain of attraction. In particular, we propose a methodology to construct bias-corrected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-24 Valérie Chavez-Demoulin , Armelle Guillou

Importance sampling is a Monte Carlo method which designs estimators of expectations under a target distribution using weighted samples from a proposal distribution. When the target distribution is complex, such as multimodal distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Anas Cherradi , Yazid Janati , Alain Durmus , Sylvain Le Corff , Yohan Petetin , Julien Stoehr

Heavy-tailed distributions are widely used in robust mixture modelling due to possessing thick tails. As a computationally tractable subclass of the stable distributions, sub-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable distribution received much interest in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-25 Mahdi Teimouri , Saeid Rezakhah , Adel Mohammdpour

A new notion of stochastic ordering is introduced to compare multivariate stochastic risk models with respect to extreme portfolio losses. In the framework of multivariate regular variation comparison criteria are derived in terms of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-26 Georg Mainik , Ludger Rüschendorf

Bayesian graphical models are a useful tool for understanding dependence relationships among many variables, particularly in situations with external prior information. In high-dimensional settings, the space of possible graphs becomes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-07 Zehang Richard Li , Tyler H. McCormick

In the paper, we use and investigate copulas models to represent multivariate dependence in financial time series. We propose the algorithm of risk measure computation using copula models. Using the optimal mean-$CVaR$ portfolio we compute…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-13 Mikhail Semenov , Daulet Smagulov

Valuation of Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) has become an important field as its calculation is required in Basel III, issued in 2010, in the wake of the credit crisis. Exposure, which is defined as the potential future loss of a default…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-12 Q. Feng , C. W. Oosterlee

We investigate the relation between the fair price for European-style vanilla options and the distribution of short-term returns on the underlying asset ignoring transaction and other costs. We compute the risk-neutral probability density…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Martin Schaden

For random variables produced through the inverse transform method, approximate random variables are introduced, which are produced by approximations to a distribution's inverse cumulative distribution function. These approximations are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Oliver Sheridan-Methven , Michael Giles

We propose a novel algorithm which allows to sample paths from an underlying price process in a local volatility model and to achieve a substantial variance reduction when pricing exotic options. The new algorithm relies on the construction…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-04 Giacomo Bormetti , Giorgia Callegaro , Giulia Livieri , Andrea Pallavicini

We introduce a class of randomly time-changed fast mean-reverting stochastic volatility models and, using spectral theory and singular perturbation techniques, we derive an approximation for the prices of European options in this setting.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-15 Matthew Lorig

We establish an explicit approximation formula for European put option prices within a general stochastic volatility model with time-dependent parameters. Our methodology is based on expansions of the mixing representation of the put option…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-07 Kaustav Das , Nicolas Langrené

The claim experience of the past is a very important information to calculate the fair price of an insurance contract. In a lot of European countries for instance the prices for motor car insurance depend on the number of claims the driver…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-22 Magda Schiegl

The probability distribution of log-returns for financial time series, sampled at high frequency, is the basis for any further developments in quantitative finance. In this letter, we present experimental results based on a large set of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-11 Laurent Schoeffel

The quantitative analysis of financial time series often reveals two distinct features that standard Gaussian frameworks fail to capture: heavy-tailed marginal distributions and the phenomenon of extreme co-movements.While extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-14 Debanjana Datta , Diganta Mukherjee

This paper studies a continuous-time market {under stochastic environment} where an agent, having specified an investment horizon and a target terminal mean return, seeks to minimize the variance of the return with multiple stocks and a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-28 Wan-Kai Pang , Yuan-Hua Ni , Xun Li , Ka-Fai Cedric Yiu