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Monte Carlo Approaches for calculating Value-at-Risk (VaR) are powerful tools widely used by financial risk managers across the globe. However, they are time consuming and sometimes inaccurate. In this paper, a fast and accurate Monte Carlo…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-17 Seyed Mohammad Sina Seyfi , Azin Sharifi , Hamidreza Arian

There are various metrics for financial risk, such as value at risk (VaR), expected shortfall, expected/unexpected loss, etc. When estimating these metrics, it was very common to assume Gaussian distribution for the asset returns, which may…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-17 Shuguang Zhang , Minjing Tao , Xu-Feng Niu , Fred Huffer

This paper provides evidence that stock returns, after truncation, might be modeled by a special type of continuous mixtures or normals, so-called $q$-Gaussians. Negative binomial distributions might model the counts for extreme returns. A…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-12 Xinxin Jiang

In the paper, the pricing of Quanto options is studied, where the underlying foreign asset and the exchange rate are correlated with each other. Firstly, we adopt Bayesian methods to estimate unknown parameters entering the pricing formula…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-10 Lisha Lin , Yaqiong Li , Rui Gao , Jianhong Wu

In a seminal paper in 1973, Black and Scholes argued how expected distributions of stock prices can be used to price options. Their model assumed a directed random motion for the returns and consequently a lognormal distribution of asset…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2009-11-07 Joseph L. McCauley , Gemunu H. Gunaratne

This work introduces an end-to-end framework for multi-asset option pricing that combines market-consistent risk-neutral density recovery with quantum-accelerated numerical integration. We first calibrate arbitrage-free marginal…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-08 Julien Hok , Álvaro Leitao

Joint modelling of longitudinal and time-to-event data is usually described by a joint model which uses shared or correlated latent effects to capture associations between the two processes. Under this framework, the joint distribution of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-07 Zili Zhang , Christiana Charalambous , Peter Foster

It is well known that the probability distribution of high-frequency financial returns is characterized by a leptokurtic, heavy-tailed shape. This behavior undermines the typical assumption of Gaussian log-returns behind the standard…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-14 Federica De Domenico , Giacomo Livan , Guido Montagna , Oreste Nicrosini

The paper investigates the performance of the European option price when the log asset price follows a rich class of Generalized Tempered Stable (GTS) distribution. The GTS distribution is an alternative to Normal distribution and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-21 A. H. Nzokem

We derive an extremal fractional Gaussian by employing the L\'evy-Khintchine theorem and L\'evian noise. With the fractional Gaussian we then generalize the Black-Scholes-Merton option-pricing formula. We obtain an easily applicable and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-04 Alexander Jurisch

The expOU stochastic volatility model is capable of reproducing fairly well most important statistical properties of financial markets daily data. Among them, the presence of multiple time scales in the volatility autocorrelation is perhaps…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Josep Perello

In this paper we propose an efficient method to compute the price of multi-asset American options, based on Machine Learning, Monte Carlo simulations and variance reduction technique. Specifically, the options we consider are written on a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-04 Ludovic Goudenège , Andrea Molent , Antonino Zanette

In this paper we assume a multivariate risk model has been developed for a portfolio and its capital derived as a homogeneous risk measure. The Euler (or gradient) principle, then, states that the capital to be allocated to each component…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-06 Rodrigo S. Targino , Gareth W. Peters , Pavel V. Shevchenko

In this paper we develop numerical pricing methodologies for European style Exchange Options written on a pair of correlated assets, in a market with finite liquidity. In contrast to the standard multi-asset Black-Scholes framework, trading…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-16 Kevin S. Zhang , Traian A. Pirvu

Option pricing formulas are derived from a non-Gaussian model of stock returns. Fluctuations are assumed to evolve according to a nonlinear Fokker-Planck equation which maximizes the Tsallis nonextensive entropy of index $q$. A generalized…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Lisa Borland

The estimation of asset return distributions is crucial for determining optimal trading strategies. In this paper we describe the constrained mixture model, based on a mixture of Gamma and Gaussian distributions, to provide an accurate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-03-15 Iead Rezek

The research presented in this article provides an alternative option pricing approach for a class of rough fractional stochastic volatility models. These models are increasingly popular between academics and practitioners due to their…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-02 Raul Merino , Jan Pospíšil , Tomáš Sobotka , Tommi Sottinen , Josep Vives

In this study, we propose a new formula for spread option pricing with the dependence of two assets described by a copula function. The advantage of the proposed method is that it requires only the numerical evaluation of a one-dimensional…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-31 Edoardo Berton , Lorenzo Mercuri

Financial derivative pricing is a significant challenge in finance, involving the valuation of instruments like options based on underlying assets. While some cases have simple solutions, many require complex classical computational methods…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-15 Robert Scriba , Yuying Li , Jingbo B Wang

An efficient conditioning technique, the so-called Brownian Bridge simulation, has previously been applied to eliminate pricing bias that arises in applications of the standard discrete-time Monte Carlo method to evaluate options written on…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-04-08 P. V. Shevchenko
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