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This study assessed the effectiveness of machine learning models in predicting poverty levels in the Philippines using five boosting algorithms: Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), CatBoosting (CatBoost), Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), Light…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Erika Lynet Salvador

Gradient boosting machines (GBMs) based on decision trees consistently demonstrate state-of-the-art results on regression and classification tasks with tabular data, often outperforming deep neural networks. However, these models do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Tristan Cinquin , Tammo Rukat , Philipp Schmidt , Martin Wistuba , Artur Bekasov

Needless to say, linear dynamics are pervasive in economic time series, particularly autoregressive ones. While gradient boosting with trees excels at capturing nonlinearities, it is inefficient in small samples when much of the predictive…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-12 Philippe Goulet Coulombe

Time series data constitutes a distinct and growing problem in machine learning. As the corpus of time series data grows larger, deep models that simultaneously learn features and classify with these features can be intractable or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-25 Hugh Chen , Scott Lundberg , Su-In Lee

The property and casualty (P&C) insurance industry faces challenges in developing claim predictive models due to the highly right-skewed distribution of positive claims with excess zeros. To address this, actuarial science researchers have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Banghee So

Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM) is an extremely powerful supervised learning algorithm that is widely used in practice. GBM routinely features as a leading algorithm in machine learning competitions such as Kaggle and the KDDCup. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-28 Haihao Lu , Sai Praneeth Karimireddy , Natalia Ponomareva , Vahab Mirrokni

We present nonparametric algorithms for estimating optimal individualized treatment rules. The proposed algorithms are based on the XGBoost algorithm, which is known as one of the most powerful algorithms in the machine learning literature.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-04 Duzhe Wang , Haoda Fu , Po-Ling Loh

Fluctuations in the stock market rapidly shape the economic world and consumer markets, impacting millions of individuals. Hence, accurately forecasting it is essential for mitigating risks, including those associated with inactivity.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-15 Konstantinos-Leonidas Bisdoulis

Accurate short-term forecasting of air temperature and relative humidity is critical for urban management, especially in topographically complex cities such as Chongqing, China. This study compares seven machine learning models: eXtreme…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Jiaqi Dong

Time series forecasting is a fundamental task emerging from diverse data-driven applications. Many advanced autoregressive methods such as ARIMA were used to develop forecasting models. Recently, deep learning based methods such as DeepAr,…

Gradient boosting from the field of statistical learning is widely known as a powerful framework for estimation and selection of predictor effects in various regression models by adapting concepts from classification theory. Current…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-03 Colin Griesbach , Benjamin Säfken , Elisabeth Waldmann

Electric energy is difficult to store, requiring stricter control over its generation, transmission, and distribution. A persistent challenge in power systems is maintaining real-time equilibrium between electricity demand and supply.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Aurausp Maneshni

Machine learning algorithms are now being extensively used in our daily lives, spanning across diverse industries as well as academia. In the field of high energy physics (HEP), the most common and challenging task is separating a rare…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-07-23 Arghya Choudhury , Arpita Mondal , Subhadeep Sarkar

Disseminating accurate travel time information to road users helps achieve traffic equilibrium and reduce traffic congestion. The deployment of Connected Vehicles technology will provide unique opportunities for the implementation of travel…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-10-25 Saleh Mousa , Sherif Ishak

A deep-learning-based hybrid strategy for short-term load forecasting is presented. The strategy proposes a novel tree-based ensemble method Warm-start Gradient Tree Boosting (WGTB). Current strategies either ensemble submodels of a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Yuexin Zhang , Jiahong Wang

We propose a soft gradient boosting framework for sequential regression that embeds a learnable linear feature transform within the boosting procedure. At each boosting iteration, we train a soft decision tree and learn a linear input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Huseyin Karaca , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

Despite the success of deep learning in computer vision and natural language processing, Gradient Boosted Decision Tree (GBDT) is yet one of the most powerful tools for applications with tabular data such as e-commerce and FinTech. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-25 ZhenZhe Ying , Zhuoer Xu , Zhifeng Li , Weiqiang Wang , Changhua Meng

Machine learning has been widely verified and applied in chemoinformatics, and have achieved outstanding results in the prediction, modification, and optimization of luminescence, magnetism, and electrode materials. Here, we propose a…

Materials Science · Physics 2021-07-07 Zhenyu Chen , Jiahao Li , Yuzhi Xu

The volatility and complex dynamics of cryptocurrency markets present unique challenges for accurate price forecasting. This research proposes a hybrid deep learning and machine learning model that integrates Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Mehul Gautam

Gradient Boosting (GB) is a popular methodology used to solve prediction problems by minimizing a differentiable loss function, $L$. GB performs very well on tabular machine learning (ML) problems; however, as a pure ML solver it lacks the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Michael T. Horrell