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We present Natural Gradient Boosting (NGBoost), an algorithm for generic probabilistic prediction via gradient boosting. Typical regression models return a point estimate, conditional on covariates, but probabilistic regression models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Tony Duan , Anand Avati , Daisy Yi Ding , Khanh K. Thai , Sanjay Basu , Andrew Y. Ng , Alejandro Schuler

In modern wireless communication systems, radio propagation modeling to estimate pathloss has always been a fundamental task in system design and optimization. The state-of-the-art empirical propagation models are based on measurements in…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2022-02-08 Usama Masood , Hasan Farooq , Ali Imran , Adnan Abu-Dayya

Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) are popular machine learning algorithms with implementations such as LightGBM and in popular machine learning toolkits like Scikit-Learn. Many implementations can only produce trees in an offline…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-06 Chapman Siu

Despite the rise to dominance of deep learning in unstructured data domains, tree-based methods such as Random Forests (RF) and Gradient Boosted Decision Trees (GBDT) are still the workhorses for handling discriminative tasks on tabular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-21 João Bravo

In this work, the Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), which is a modern decision tree based machine-learning algorithm, is used to study the fusion cross section (CS) of heavy-ion reaction. Several basic quantities (e.g., mass…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2023-10-10 Zhilong Li , Zepeng Gao , Ling Liu , Yongjia Wang , Long Zhu , Qingfeng Li

In this paper, we propose a Light Gradient Boosting (LightGBM) to forecast dominant wave periods in oceanic waters. First, we use the data collected from CDIP buoys and apply various data filtering methods. The data filtering methods allow…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-07-15 Pujan Pokhrel

Gradient boosting algorithms construct a regression predictor using a linear combination of ``base learners''. Boosting also offers an approach to obtaining robust non-parametric regression estimators that are scalable to applications with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-11 Xiaomeng Ju , Matías Salibián-Barrera

Gradient boosting of regression trees is a competitive procedure for learning predictive models of continuous data that fits the data with an additive non-parametric model. The classic version of gradient boosting assumes that the data is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-04 Iman Alodah , Jennifer Neville

Residual Networks (ResNets) have become state-of-the-art models in deep learning and several theoretical studies have been devoted to understanding why ResNet works so well. One attractive viewpoint on ResNet is that it is optimizing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-10 Atsushi Nitanda , Taiji Suzuki

Linear mixed models are widely used for clustered data, but their reliance on parametric forms limits flexibility in complex and high-dimensional settings. In contrast, gradient boosting methods achieve high predictive accuracy through…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-04 Mitchell L. Prevett , Francis K. C. Hui , Zhi Yang Tho , A. H. Welsh , Anton H. Westveld

Machine learning algorithms such as random forests or xgboost are gaining more importance and are increasingly incorporated into production processes in order to enable comprehensive digitization and, if possible, automation of processes.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Eva Bartz , Martin Zaefferer , Olaf Mersmann , Thomas Bartz-Beielstein

Tree ensembles such as XGBoost are often preferred for discriminative tasks in mixed-type tabular data, due to their inductive biases, minimal hyperparameter tuning, and training efficiency. We argue that these qualities, when leveraged…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Jim Achterberg , Marcel Haas , Bram van Dijk , Marco Spruit

Accurate prediction of crop yield before harvest is of great importance for crop logistics, market planning, and food distribution around the world. Yield prediction requires monitoring of phenological and climatic characteristics over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Florian Huber , Artem Yushchenko , Benedikt Stratmann , Volker Steinhage

Decision forest, including RandomForest, XGBoost, and LightGBM, is one of the most popular machine learning techniques used in many industrial scenarios, such as credit card fraud detection, ranking, and business intelligence. Because the…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-02-10 Hong Guan , Mahidhar Reddy Dwarampudi , Venkatesh Gunda , Hong Min , Lei Yu , Jia Zou

This paper introduces Mixed Effect Gradient Boosting (MEGB), which combines the strengths of Gradient Boosting with Mixed Effects models to address complex, hierarchical data structures often encountered in statistical analysis. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Paul Messer , Timo Schmid

Most useful weather prediction for the public is near the surface. The processes that are most relevant for near-surface weather prediction are also those that are most interactive and exhibit positive feedback or have key role in energy…

In this note, we compare Bitcoin trading performance using two machine learning models-Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)-and two technical analysis-based strategies: Exponential Moving Average…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-04 José Ángel Islas Anguiano , Andrés García-Medina

Gradient Boosted Decision Trees (GBDT) is a very successful ensemble learning algorithm widely used across a variety of applications. Recently, several variants of GBDT training algorithms and implementations have been designed and heavily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-27 Yu Shi , Jian Li , Zhize Li

Latent Gaussian models (LGMs) are perhaps the most commonly used class of models in statistical applications. Nevertheless, in areas ranging from longitudinal studies in biostatistics to geostatistics, it is easy to find datasets that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-22 Rafael Cabral , David Bolin , Håvard Rue

As an adaptive, interpretable, robust, and accurate meta-algorithm for arbitrary differentiable loss functions, gradient tree boosting is one of the most popular machine learning techniques, though the computational expensiveness severely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Daniel Chao Zhou , Zhongming Jin , Tong Zhang