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During the early stage of the COVID-19 pandemic, many countries implemented non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to control the transmission of SARS-CoV-2, the causative pathogen of COVID-19. Among those NPIs, quarantine measures were…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-04 Renquan Zhang , Yu Wang , Zheng Lv , Sen Pei

The Covid-19 pandemic has affected the world at multiple levels. Data sharing was pivotal for advancing research to understand the underlying causes and implement effective containment strategies. In response, many countries have promoted…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Tânia Carvalho , Luís Antunes , Cristina Costa , Nuno Moniz

The global pandemic of the 2019-nCov requires the evaluation of policy interventions to mitigate future social and economic costs of quarantine measures worldwide. We propose an epidemiological model for forecasting and policy evaluation…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-30 Philip Nadler , Shuo Wang , Rossella Arcucci , Xian Yang , Yike Guo

In this work, we study the causal relations among German regions in terms of the spread of Covid-19 since the beginning of the pandemic, taking into account the restriction policies that were applied by the different federal states. We…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-13 Atalanti A. Mastakouri , Bernhard Schölkopf

Social distancing and lockdown are the two main non-pharmaceutical interventions being used by the UK government to contain and control the COVID-19 epidemic; these are being applied uniformly across the entire country, even though the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-28 L C G Rogers

We use daily data from Lombardy, the Italian region most affected by the COVID-19 outbreak, to calibrate a SIR model individually on each municipality. These are all covered by the same health system and, in the post-lockdown phase we focus…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-20 Pietro Battiston , Simona Gamba

Currently, the world seeks to find appropriate mitigation techniques to control and prevent the spread of the new SARS-CoV-2. In our paper herein, we present a peculiar Multi-Task Learning framework that jointly predicts the effect of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Bonaventure Chidube Molokwu , Shaon Bhatta Shuvo , Ziad Kobti , Anne Snowdon

SARS-CoV-2 has disrupted the life of billions of people around the world since the first outbreak was officially declared in China at the beginning of 2020. Yet, important questions such as how deadly it is or its degree of spread within…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-01 Beatriz Seoane

As we reach the apex of the COVID-19 pandemic, the most pressing question facing us is: can we even partially reopen the economy without risking a second wave? We first need to understand if shutting down the economy helped. And if it did,…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-12 Anish Agarwal , Abdullah Alomar , Arnab Sarker , Devavrat Shah , Dennis Shen , Cindy Yang

The spread of COVID-19 disease affected people's lives worldwide, particularly their travel behaviours and how they performed daily activities. During the first wave of the pandemic, spring 2020, countries adopted different strategies to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-15 Daniele Giubergia , Elisa Bin , Marco Diana

This document aims to estimate and describe the effects of the social distancing measures implemented in several countries with the expectancy of controlling the spread of COVID-19. The procedure relies on the classic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-28 Gerardo L. Febres

At the time of writing, the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), had already resulted in more than thirty-two million cases infected and more than one million deaths worldwide.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-22 Chung-Han Hsieh

Solid estimates describing the clinical course of SARS-CoV-2 infections are still lacking due to under-ascertainment of asymptomatic and mild-disease cases. In this work, we quantify age-specific probabilities of transitions between stages…

COVID-19 pandemic has reshaped our world in a timescale much shorter than what we can understand. Particularities of SARS-CoV-2, such as its persistence in surfaces and the lack of a curative treatment or vaccine against COVID-19, have…

The pandemic caused by the novel Coronavirus SARS-CoV2 has been responsible for life threatening health complications, and extreme pressure on healthcare systems. While preventive and definite curative medical interventions are yet to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-09 Ankit Sharma , Shreyash Arya , Shashee Kumari , Arnab Chatterjee

We analyse the distribution and the flows between different types of employment (self-employment, temporary, and permanent), unemployment, education, and other types of inactivity, with particular focus on the duration of the school-to-work…

General Economics · Economics 2023-05-31 Davide Fiaschi , Cristina Tealdi

COVID-19 has been prevalent worldwide for about 2 years now and has brought unprecedented challenges to our society. Before vaccines were available, the main disease intervention strategies were non-pharmaceutical. Starting December 2020,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-02-09 Xiaoying Wang , Qing Han , Jude Dzevela Kong

We study a simple realistic model for describing the diffusion of an infectious disease on a population of individuals. The dynamics is governed by a single functional delay differential equation, which, in the case of a large population,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-28 Luca Dell'Anna

Emerging in December 2019, the COVID-19 pandemic caused widespread health, economic, and social disruptions. Rapid global transmission overwhelmed healthcare systems, resulting in high infection rates, hospitalisations, and fatalities. To…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-08 Zacharias Komodromos , Kleanthis Malialis , Panayiotis Kolios

Currently, due to the COVID-19 pandemic the public life in most European countries stopped almost completely due to measures against the spread of the virus. Efforts to limit the number of new infections are threatened by the advent of new…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-24 Thomas Götz , Wolfgang Bock , Robert Rockenfeller , Moritz Schäfer