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The COVID-19 pandemic has posed a policy making crisis where efforts to slow down or end the pandemic conflict with economic priorities. This paper provides mathematical analysis of optimal disease control policies with idealized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Aaron Z. Palmer , Zelda B. Zabinsky , Shan Liu

In this paper, a stochastic dynamic control strategy is presented to prevent the spread of an infection over a homogeneous network. The infectious process is persistent, i.e., it continues to contaminate the network once it is established.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-02 Jalal Arabneydi , Amir G. Aghdam

The Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Corona Virus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), or Covid-19, burst into a pandemic in the beginning of 2020. An unprecedented worldwide effort involving academic institutions, regulatory agencies and industry is facing…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-04-16 Cristiane M. Batistela , Diego P. F. Correa , Átila M Bueno , José R. C. Piqueira

Non-pharmacological interventions (NPIs), and in particular social distancing, in conjunction with the advent of effective vaccines at the end of 2020, aspired for the development of a protective immunity shield against the spread of…

In the last decade, humanity has faced many different pandemics such as SARS, H1N1, and presently novel coronavirus (COVID-19). On one side, scientists are focusing on vaccinations, and on the other side, there is a need to propose models…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-29 Rahul Goel , Rajesh Sharma

Stochastic epidemic models which incorporate interactions between space and human mobility are a key tool to inform prioritisation of outbreak control to appropriate locations. However, methods for fitting such models to national-level…

This paper focuses on the role of a government of a large population of interacting agents as a mean field optimal control problem derived from deterministic finite agent dynamics. The control problems are constrained by a PDE of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Massimo Fornasier , Stefano Lisini , Carlo Orrieri , Giuseppe Savaré

Effective and efficient scheduling of vaccine distribution can significantly impact vaccine uptake, which is critical to controlling the spread of infectious diseases. Ineffective scheduling can lead to waste, delays, and low vaccine…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Nicholas Uhorchak , Ruben A. Proano , Sandra Eksioglu , Fatih Cengil , Burak Eksioglu

We examine the age-structured SIR model, a variant of the classical Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model of epidemic propagation, in the context of COVID-19. In doing so, we provide a theoretical basis for the model, perform an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-11 Rohit Parasnis , Ryosuke Kato , Amol Sakhale , Massimo Franceschetti , Behrouz Touri

We present a distributed resource allocation strategy to control an epidemic outbreak in a networked population based on a Distributed Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (D-ADMM) algorithm. We consider a linearized Susceptible-…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-01-09 Chinwendu Enyioha , Ali Jadbabaie , Victor Preciado , George J. Pappas

In this work, we study a class of stationary mean-field games of singular stochastic control under model uncertainty. The representative agent adjusts the dynamics of an It\^o diffusion via one-sided singular stochastic control, aiming to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-14 Giorgio Ferrari , Ioannis Tzouanas

This paper is concerned with the well-posedness and optimal control problem of a reaction-diffusion system for an epidemic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible (SIRS) mathematical model in which the dynamics develops in a spatially…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-24 Pierluigi Colli , Gianni Gilardi , Gabriela Marinoschi , Elisabetta Rocca

We study the convergence problem of mean-field control theory in the presence of state constraints and non-degenerate idiosyncratic noise. Our main result is the convergence of the value functions associated to stochastic control problems…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-02 Samuel Daudin

The purpose of this work is to pose and solve the problem to guide a collection of weakly interacting dynamical systems (agents, particles, etc.) to a specified terminal distribution. The framework is that of mean-field and of cooperative…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-12-12 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon T. Georgiou , Michele Pavon

This paper utilizes a stochastic Susceptible-Infected-recovered (SIR) model with a non-linear incidence rate to perform a detailed mathematical study of optimal lock-down intensity and vaccination rate under the COVID-19 pandemic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-29 Paramahansa Pramanik

We propose a mathematical framework, based on conic geometric programming, to control a susceptible-infected-susceptible viral spreading process taking place in a directed contact network with unknown contact rates. We assume that we have…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-12-09 Shuo Han , Victor M. Preciado , Cameron Nowzari , George J. Pappas

We analyze a class of general nonlinear epidemic models with age and space structure, including a nonlocal infection term depending on age and space. After establishing the well-posedness of the state partial differential equation, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Behzad Azmi , Nicolas Schlosser

Understanding how to effectively control an epidemic spreading on a network is a problem of paramount importance for the scientific community. The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the need for policies that mitigate the spread,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-14 Carlo Cenedese , Lorenzo Zino , Michele Cucuzzella , Ming Cao

The crisis caused by the COVID-19 outbreak around the globe raised an increasing concern about the ongoing emergence of variants of SARS-CoV-2 that may evade the immune response provided by vaccines. New variants appear due to mutation, and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-12-14 M. Ahumada , A. Ledesma-Araujo , Leonardo Gordillo , Juan F. Marín

A COVID-19 vaccine is our best bet for mitigating the ongoing onslaught of the pandemic. However, vaccine is also expected to be a limited resource. An optimal allocation strategy, especially in countries with access inequities and temporal…