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We define the local empirical process, based on $n$ i.i.d. random vectors in dimension $d$, in the neighborhood of the boundary of a fixed set. Under natural conditions on the shrinking neighborhood, we show that, for these local empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-04-22 John H. J. Einmahl , Estáte V. Khmaladze

The regression function is one of the key objects of binary classification, since it not only determines a Bayes optimal classifier, hence, defines an optimal decision boundary, but also encodes the conditional distribution of the output…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-03 Ambrus Tamás , Balázs Csanád Csáji

The estimation of categorical distributions under marginal constraints summarizing some sample from a population in the most-generalizable way is key for many machine-learning and data-driven approaches. We provide a parameter-agnostic…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2023-11-17 Orestis Loukas , Ho Ryun Chung

The problem of sequential anomaly detection and identification is considered, where multiple data sources are simultaneously monitored and the goal is to identify in real time those, if any, that exhibit ``anomalous" statistical behavior.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-09 Aristomenis Tsopelakos , Georgios Fellouris

We study the statistical geometry of random chords on n-dimensional spheres by deriving explicit analytical expressions for the chord length distribution and its associated structural properties. A critical threshold emerges at dimension…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Masoud Ataei

A function of the empirical characteristic function,exists for the stable distribution, which leads to a linear regression and can be used to estimate the parameters. Two approaches are often used, one to find optimal values of t, but these…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-06 J. Martin van Zyl

We study the unconstrained minimization of a smooth and strongly convex population loss function under a stochastic oracle that introduces both additive and multiplicative noise; this is a canonical and widely-studied setting that arises…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Liwei Jiang , Ashwin Pananjady

Score-based diffusion models have demonstrated outstanding empirical performance in machine learning and artificial intelligence, particularly in generating high-quality new samples from complex probability distributions. Improving the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-30 Yuchen Jiao , Gen Li

In this document, we aim to gather various results related to a compositional/categorical approach to rigorous Statistical Mechanics. Rigorous Statistical Mechanics is centered on the mathematical study of statistical systems. Central…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-03-26 Grégoire Sergeant-Perthuis

We consider the convergence of the empirical spectral measures of random $N \times N$ unitary matrices. We give upper and lower bounds showing that the Kolmogorov distance between the spectral measure and the uniform measure on the unit…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Elizabeth S. Meckes , Mark W. Meckes

We analyze the extreme value dependence of independent, not necessarily identically distributed multivariate regularly varying random vectors. More specifically, we propose estimators of the spectral measure locally at some time point and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-05 Holger Drees

Approximating integrals is a fundamental task in probability theory and statistical inference, and their applied fields of signal processing, and Bayesian learning, as soon as expectations over probability distributions must be computed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Solal Martin , Emilie Chouzenoux , Victor Elvira

One of the principal scientific challenges in deep learning is explaining generalization, i.e., why the particular way the community now trains networks to achieve small training error also leads to small error on held-out data from the…

The reconstruction of an unknown quantity from noisy measurements is a mathematical problem relevant in most applied sciences, for example, in medical imaging, radar inverse scattering, or astronomy. This underlying mathematical problem is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Nina M. Gottschling , David Iagaru , Jakob Gawlikowski , Ioannis Sgouralis

A measure of primal importance for capturing the serial dependence of a stationary time series at extreme levels is provided by the limiting cluster size distribution. New estimators based on a blocks declustering scheme are proposed and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-11 Axel Bücher , Tobias Jennessen

We consider the problem of allocating samples to a finite set of discrete distributions in order to learn them uniformly well in terms of four common distance measures: $\ell_2^2$, $\ell_1$, $f$-divergence, and separation distance. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-10 Shubhanshu Shekhar , Tara Javidi , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh

We study the problem of estimating the barycenter of a distribution given i.i.d. data in a geodesic space. Assuming an upper curvature bound in Alexandrov's sense and a support condition ensuring the strong geodesic convexity of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel , Jordan Serres

The analysis of spatial extremes requires the joint modeling of a spatial process at a large number of stations and max-stable processes have been developed as a class of stochastic processes suitable for studying spatial extremes. Spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-28 Soyoung Jeon , Richard L. Smith

We study almost sure limiting behavior of extreme and intermediate order statistics arising from strictly stationary sequences. First, we provide sufficient dependence conditions under which these order statistics converges almost surely to…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-28 Aneta Buraczyńska , Anna Dembińska

This paper presents a computationally feasible method to compute rigorous bounds on the interval-generalisation of regression analysis to account for epistemic uncertainty in the output variables. The new iterative method uses machine…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-02-22 Krasymyr Tretiak , Georg Schollmeyer , Scott Ferson