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This paper investigates robust versions of the general empirical risk minimization algorithm, one of the core techniques underlying modern statistical methods. Success of the empirical risk minimization is based on the fact that for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-17 Stanislav Minsker , Timothée Mathieu

It is well known that the distribution of extreme values of strictly stationary sequences differ from those of independent and identically distributed sequences in that extremal clustering may occur. Here we consider non-stationary but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-23 Graeme Auld , Ioannis Papastathopoulos

The measurement of dispersion is one of the most fundamental and ubiquitous statistical concepts, in both applied and theoretical contexts. For dispersion measures, such as the standard deviation, to effectively capture the variability of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-09 Andreas Eberl , Bernhard Klar

In this paper, we characterize the convergence of the (rescaled logarithmic) empirical spectral distribution of wavelet random matrices. We assume a moderately high-dimensional framework where the sample size $n$, the dimension $p(n)$ and,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-08 Patrice Abry , Gustavo Didier , Oliver Orejola , Herwig Wendt

The difficulties of estimating and representing the distributions of functional data mean that principal component methods play a substantially greater role in functional data analysis than in more conventional finite-dimensional settings.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Peter Hall , Céline Vial

This paper proposes a statistically optimal approach for learning a function value using a confidence interval in a wide range of models, including general non-parametric estimation of an expected loss described as a stochastic programming…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-07 Arnab Ganguly , Tobias Sutter

Ordinal measurements are common outcomes in studies within psychology, as well as in the social and behavioral sciences. Choosing an appropriate regression model for analysing such data poses a difficult task. This paper aims to facilitate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Stefan Inerle , Markus Pauly , Moritz Berger

We prove finite-sample concentration and anti-concentration bounds for dimension estimation using Gaussian kernel sums. Our bounds provide explicit dependence on sample size, bandwidth, and local geometric and distributional parameters,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Martin Andersson

We address functional uncertainty quantification for ill-posed inverse problems where it is possible to evaluate a possibly rank-deficient forward model, the observation noise distribution is known, and there are known parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Michael Stanley , Pau Batlle , Pratik Patil , Houman Owhadi , Mikael Kuusela

We introduce the concept of boundariness capturing the most efficient way of expressing a given element of a convex set as a probability mixture of its boundary elements. In other words, this number measures (without the need of any…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-09-01 Erkka Haapasalo , Michal Sedlak , Mario Ziman

In contrast to problems of interference in (exogenous) treatments, models of interference in unit-specific (endogenous) outcomes do not usually produce a reduced-form representation where outcomes depend on other units' treatment status…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-17 Konrad Menzel

We show that the natural scaling of measurement for a particular problem defines the most likely probability distribution of observations taken from that measurement scale. Our approach extends the method of maximum entropy to use…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-03-02 Steven A. Frank , D. Eric Smith

Let $(X,Y)\in\mathcal{X}\times \mathcal{Y}$ be a random couple with unknown distribution $P$. Let $\GG$ be a class of measurable functions and $\ell$ a loss function. The problem of statistical learning deals with the estimation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-12 Sébastien Loustau

In this work we investigate to which extent one can recover class probabilities within the empirical risk minimization (ERM) paradigm. The main aim of our paper is to extend existing results and emphasize the tight relations between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-22 Alexander Mey , Marco Loog

Modal regression, a widely used regression protocol, has been extensively investigated in statistical and machine learning communities due to its robustness to outliers and heavy-tailed noises. Understanding modal regression's theoretical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-15 Tielang Gong , Yuxin Dong , Hong Chen , Bo Dong , Wei Feng , Chen Li

We consider the problem of efficient inference of the Average Treatment Effect in a sequential experiment where the policy governing the assignment of subjects to treatment or control can change over time. We first provide a central limit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-05 Thomas Cook , Alan Mishler , Aaditya Ramdas

We present a series of new and more favorable margin-based learning guarantees that depend on the empirical margin loss of a predictor. We give two types of learning bounds, both distribution-dependent and valid for general families, in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-30 Corinna Cortes , Mehryar Mohri , Ananda Theertha Suresh

Weighted empirical risk minimization is a common approach to prediction under distribution drift. This article studies its out-of-sample prediction error under nonstationarity. We provide a general decomposition of the excess risk into a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Tobias Brock , Thomas Nagler

Circular variables that represent directions or periodic observations arise in many fields, such as biology and environmental sciences. An important issue when dealing with circular data is how to estimate their dispersion robustly,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Houyem Demni , Mia Hubert , Giovanni C. Porzio , Peter J. Rousseeuw

We study learning of probability distributions characterized by an unknown symmetry direction. Based on an entropic performance measure and the variational method of statistical mechanics we develop exact upper and lower bounds on the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 D. Herschkowitz , M. Opper
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