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Statistical analysis for stationary time series at extreme levels: new estimators for the limiting cluster size distribution

Statistics Theory 2020-11-11 v1 Statistics Theory

Abstract

A measure of primal importance for capturing the serial dependence of a stationary time series at extreme levels is provided by the limiting cluster size distribution. New estimators based on a blocks declustering scheme are proposed and analyzed both theoretically and by means of a large-scale simulation study. A sliding blocks version of the estimators is shown to outperform a disjoint blocks version. In contrast to some competitors from the literature, the estimators only depend on one unknown parameter to be chosen by the statistician.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2011.04733,
  title  = {Statistical analysis for stationary time series at extreme levels: new estimators for the limiting cluster size distribution},
  author = {Axel Bücher and Tobias Jennessen},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2011.04733},
  year   = {2020}
}

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48 pages