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Related papers: Inference in the stochastic Cox-Ingersol-Ross diff…

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We consider a stochastic differential equation of the form $dr_t = (a - b r_t) dt + \sigma\sqrt{r_t}dW_t$, where $a$, $b$ and $\sigma$ are positive constants. The solution corresponds to the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process. We study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-12 Olena Dehtiar , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

We consider a pure-jump stable Cox-Ingersoll-Ross ($\alpha$-stable CIR) process driven by a non-symmetric stable L{\'e}vy process with jump activity $\alpha$ $\in$ (1, 2) and we address the joint estimation of drift, scaling and jump…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Elise Bayraktar , Emmanuelle Clément

This paper introduces a family of recursively defined estimators of the parameters of a diffusion process. We use ideas of stochastic algorithms for the construction of the estimators. Asymptotic consistency of these estimators and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Jaime A. Londoño

We study the estimation of a stable Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model, which is a special subcritical continuous-state branching process with immigration. The process is characterized in terms of some stochastic equations. The exponential ergodicity…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-16 Zenghu Li , Chunhua Ma

In car-following models, the driver reacts according to his physical and psychological abilities which may change over time. However, most car-following models are deterministic and do not capture the stochastic nature of human perception.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-07-16 D. Ngoduy , S. Lee , M. Treiber , M. Keyvan-Ekbatani , H. L. Vu

This paper provides insight into the estimation and asymptotic behavior of parameters in interest rate models, focusing primarily on the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) process and its extension -- the more general Chan-Karolyi-Longstaff-Sanders…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-15 Sourojyoti Barick

We consider inference of the parameters of the diffusion term for Cox-Ingersoll-Ross and similar processes with a power type dependence of the diffusion coefficient from the underlying process. We suggest some original pathwise estimates…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-12 Nikolai Dokuchaev

We propose a formulation to construct new classes of financial price processes based on the insight that the key variable driving prices $P$ is the earning-over-price ratio $\gamma \simeq 1/P$, which we refer to as the earning yield and is…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-21 Li Lin , Didier Sornette

This study proposes a new stochastic model where the diffusion coefficient involves a state-dependent variable exponent function $p(\cdot)$. This new theoretically flexible framework generalizes the classical Cox-Ingersol-Ross model. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-22 Mustafa Avci

The drift sequential parameter estimation problems for the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) processes under the limited duration of observation are studied. Truncated sequential estimation methods for both scalar and {two}-dimensional parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Thi-Bao Trâm Ngô , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

We study the stochastic susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model with time-dependent forcing using analytic techniques which allow us to disentangle the interaction of stochasticity and external forcing. The model is formulated as a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-11-23 Andrew J Black , Alan J McKane

Multidimensional continuous-time Markov jump processes $(Z(t))$ on $\mathbb{Z}^p$ form a usual set-up for modeling $SIR$-like epidemics. However, when facing incomplete epidemic data, inference based on $(Z(t))$ is not easy to be achieved.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-03 Romain Guy , Catherine Larédo , Elisabeta Vergu

Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) processes are extensively used in state-of-the-art models for the approximative pricing of financial derivatives. In particular, CIR processes are day after day employed to model instantaneous variances (squared…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-02 Mario Hefter , Arnulf Jentzen

The transition probability of a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process can be represented by a non-central chi-square density. First we prove a new representation for the central chi-square density based on sums of powers of generalized Gaussian random…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-03 Simon J. A. Malham , Anke Wiese

In this paper, we consider a one-dimensional Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) process whose drift coefficient depends on unknown parameters. Considering the process discretely observed at high frequency, we prove the local asymptotic normality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-26 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Ngoc Khue Tran

This paper studies two related stochastic processes driven by Brownian motion: the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) process and the Bessel process. We investigate their shared and distinct properties, focusing on time-asymptotic growth rates,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-18 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Svitlana Kushnirenko

Diffusion models typically operate in the standard framework of generative modelling by producing continuously-valued datapoints. To this end, they rely on a progressive Gaussian smoothing of the original data distribution, which admits an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-27 Pierre H. Richemond , Sander Dieleman , Arnaud Doucet

Given the importance of continuous-time stochastic volatility models to describe the dynamics of interest rates, we propose a goodness-of-fit test for the parametric form of the drift and diffusion functions, based on a marked empirical…

We define and study an open stochastic SIR (Susceptible -- Infected -- Removed) model on a graph in order to describe the spread of an epidemic on a cattle trade network with epidemiological and demographic dynamics occurring over the same…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-28 Pierre Montagnon

We consider the parametric estimation of the volatility and jump activity in a stable Cox-Ingersoll-Ross ($\alpha$-stable CIR) model driven by a standard Brownian Motion and a non-symmetric stable L\'evy process with jump activity $\alpha…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-01 Elise Bayraktar , Emmanuelle Clément
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