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Intention deception involves computing a strategy which deceives the opponent into a wrong belief about the agent's intention or objective. This paper studies a class of probabilistic planning problems with intention deception and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-09-02 Jie Fu

The standard game-theoretic solution concept, Nash equilibrium, assumes that all players behave rationally. If we follow a Nash equilibrium and opponents are irrational (or follow strategies from a different Nash equilibrium), then we may…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Sam Ganzfried

We study partially observable assistance games (POAGs), a model of the human-AI value alignment problem which allows the human and the AI assistant to have partial observations. Motivated by concerns of AI deception, we study a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Scott Emmons , Caspar Oesterheld , Vincent Conitzer , Stuart Russell

We study the regret of optimal strategies for online convex optimization games. Using von Neumann's minimax theorem, we show that the optimal regret in this adversarial setting is closely related to the behavior of the empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-04-01 Jacob Abernethy , Alekh Agarwal , Peter L. Bartlett , Alexander Rakhlin

We study linear-quadratic games of incomplete information with Gaussian uncertainty, where each player's payoff depends on a privately observed type and a common state. The designer observes the state, elicits types, and sells action…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Alessandro Bonatti , Munther A. Dahleh , Thibaut Horel

We propose a general framework for strategic voting when a voter may lack knowledge about other votes or about other voters' knowledge about her own vote. In this setting we define notions of manipulation and equilibrium. We also model…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-10-28 Hans van Ditmarsch , Jerome Lang , Abdallah Saffidine

This paper considers a zero-sum two-player asymmetric information stochastic game where only one player knows the system state, and the transition law is controlled by the informed player only. For the informed player, it has been shown…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-11-08 Lichun Li , Cedric Langbort , Jeff S. Shamma

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly applied to domains that require reasoning about other agents' behavior, such as negotiation, policy design, and market simulation, yet existing research has mostly evaluated their adherence to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Enric Junque de Fortuny , Veronica Roberta Cappelli

Effective collaboration between humans and AIs hinges on transparent communication and alignment of mental models. However, explicit, verbal communication is not always feasible. Under such circumstances, human-human teams often depend on…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Nikhil Hulle , Stéphane Aroca-Ouellette , Anthony J. Ries , Jake Brawer , Katharina von der Wense , Alessandro Roncone

Probabilistic forecasts must sum to unity and cannot express ``I don't know.'' Possibility theory relaxes this constraint: a subnormal distribution explicitly measures how much of the plausibility budget remains unassigned, ignorance signal…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-03 John R. Lawson

This paper studies a Stackelberg game wherein a sender (leader) attempts to shape the information of a less informed receiver (follower) who in turn takes an action that determines the payoff for both players. The sender chooses signals to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Reema Deori , Ankur A. Kulkarni

As artificial agents become increasingly capable, what internal structure is *necessary* for an agent to act competently under uncertainty? Classical results show that optimal control can be *implemented* using belief states or world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Aran Nayebi

Exploration remains a key challenge in deep reinforcement learning (RL). Optimism in the face of uncertainty is a well-known heuristic with theoretical guarantees in the tabular setting, but how best to translate the principle to deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Brendan O'Donoghue

Benchmarking the capabilities of AI systems, including Large Language Models (LLMs) and Vision Models, typically ignores the impact of uncertainty in the underlying ground truth answers from experts. This ambiguity is not just limited to…

Understanding the nature of strategic voting is the holy grail of social choice theory, where game-theory, social science and recently computational approaches are all applied in order to model the incentives and behavior of voters. In a…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2014-11-19 Reshef Meir

We investigate an expected utility maximization problem under model uncertainty in a one-period financial market. We capture model uncertainty by replacing the baseline model $\mathbb{P}$ with an adverse choice from a Wasserstein ball of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Laurence Carassus , Johannes Wiesel

This paper examines strategic trading under incomplete information, where firms lack full knowledge of key aspects of their competitors' trading strategies such as target sizes and market impact models. We extend previous work on…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-25 Neil A. Chriss

The original position or veil of ignorance argument of John Rawls, perhaps the most famous argument for egalitarianism, states that our concept of fairness, justice, or welfare should be decided from behind a veil of ignorance, and thus…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-04-11 Cyrus Cousins

Conventional noncooperative game theory hypothesizes that the joint strategy of a set of players in a game must satisfy an "equilibrium concept". All other joint strategies are considered impossible; the only issue is what equilibrium…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 David H. Wolpert

Auctions in which agents' payoffs are random variables have received increased attention in recent years. In particular, recent work in algorithmic mechanism design has produced mechanisms employing internal randomization, partly in…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-06-15 Shaddin Dughmi , Yuval Peres