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We consider the qualitative behavior of a mathematical model for transmission dynamics with two nonlinear stages of contagion. The proposed model is inspired by phenomena occurring in epidemiology (spread of infectious diseases) or social…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Julian Heidecke , Maria Vittoria Barbarossa

Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), due to its extremely high infectivity, has been spreading rapidly around the world and bringing huge influence to socioeconomic development as well as people's daily life. Taking for example the virus…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Pei Lv , Quan Zhang , Boya Xu , Ran Feng , Chaochao Li , Junxiao Xue , Bing Zhou , Mingliang Xu

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic radically impacts our lives, while the transmission/infection and recovery dynamics of COVID-19 remain obscure. A time-dependent Susceptible, Exposed, Infectious, and Recovered (SEIR) model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-01 Yong Zhang , Xiangnan Yu , HongGuang Sun , Geoffrey R. Tick , Wei Wei , Bin Jin

Coronaviruses have recently caused world-wide severe outbreaks: SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome) in 2002 and MERS (Middle-East Respiratory Syndrome) in 2012. At the end of 2019, a new coronavirus outbreak appeared in Wuhan (China)…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-03 Miguel Ramos Pascual

The devastating impact of the COVID-19 pandemic caused by SARS coronavirus 2 (SARS CoV 2) has raised important questions about viral origin, mechanisms of zoonotic transfer to humans, whether companion or commercial animals can act as…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-12 Sakshi Piplani , Puneet Kumar Singh , David A. Winkler , Nikolai Petrovsky

The world is currently witnessing dangerous shifts in the epidemic of emerging SARS-CoV-2, the causative agent of (COVID-19) coronavirus. The infection, and death numbers reported by World Health Organization (WHO) about this epidemic…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-04-14 Mohamed Torky , Aboul Ella Hassanien

The recent outbreak of a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) has quickly evolved into a global health crisis. The transmission potential of 2019-nCoV has been modelled and studied in several recent research works. The key factors such as the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-11 Jun Li

Although traditional models of epidemic spreading focus on the number of infected, susceptible and recovered individuals, a lot of attention has been devoted to integrate epidemic models with population genetics. Here we develop an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-24 Vitor M. Marquioni , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a continuously devastating public health and the world economy. One of the major challenges in controlling the COVID-19 outbreak is its asymptomatic infection and transmission, which are elusive and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-06 Rui Wang , Yuta Hozumi , Changchuan Yin , Guo-Wei Wei

The 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) is currently causing a widespread outbreak centered on Hubei province, China and is a major public health concern. Taxonomically 2019-nCoV is closely related to SARS-CoV and SARS-related bat…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-18 Javier A. Jaimes , Nicole M. Andre , Jean K. Millet , Gary R. Whittaker

SARS-CoV-2 causing COVID-19 disease has moved rapidly around the globe, infecting millions and killing hundreds of thousands. The basic reproduction number, which has been widely used and misused to characterize the transmissibility of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-29 Benjamin M. Althouse , Edward A. Wenger , Joel C. Miller , Samuel V. Scarpino , Antoine Allard , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Hao Hu

Many real world networks are characterized by adaptive changes in their topology depending on the dynamic state of their nodes. Here we study epidemic dynamics in an adaptive network, where susceptibles are able to avoid contact with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Thilo Gross , Carlos Dommar D'Lima , Bernd Blasius

Infectious diseases are a significant threat to human society which was over sighted before the incidence of COVID-19, although according to the report of the World Health Organisation (WHO) about 4.2 million people die annually due to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-05 Md Shahzamal , Saeed Khan

The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has caused tremendous amount of deaths and a devastating impact on the economic development all over the world. Thus, it is paramount to control its further transmission, for which purpose it…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-11 Quan-Lin Li , Chengliang Wang , Yiming Xu , Chi Zhang , Yanxia Chang , Xiaole Wu , Zhen-Ping Fan , Zhi-Guo Liu

The dynamics of epidemic spreading is often reduced to the single control parameter $R_0$, whose value, above or below unity, determines the state of the contagion. If, however, the pathogen evolves as it spreads, $R_0$ may change over…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-07 Xiyun Zhang , Zhongyuan Ruan , Muhua Zheng , Jie Zhou , Stefano Boccaletti , Baruch Barzel

Interactions between SARS-CoV-2 and the immune system during infection are complex. However, understanding the within-host SARS-CoV-2 dynamics is of enormous importance, especially when it comes to assessing treatment options. Mathematical…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-11 Lea Schuh , Peter V. Markov , Vladimir M. Veliov , Nikolaos I. Stilianakis

During a public health crisis like COVID-19, individuals' adoption of protective behaviors, such as self-isolation and wearing masks, can significantly impact the spread of the disease. In the meanwhile, the spread of the disease can also…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-27 Wenxiang Dong , H. Vicky Zhao

The COVID-19 (coronavirus) is an ongoing pandemic caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). The virus was first identified in mid-December 2019 in the Hubei province of Wuhan, China and by now has spread…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-26 Aditya Saxena , Shamsheer Pal Singh

In this article we propose a compartmental model for the dynamics of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). We take into account the presence of asymptomatic infections and the main policies that have been adopted so far to contain the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-18 M. Soledad Aronna , Roberto Guglielmi , Lucas M. Moschen

Motivated by COVID-19, we develop and analyze a simple stochastic model for a disease spread in human population. We track how the number of infected and critically ill people develops over time in order to estimate the demand that is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-10 Jakub Svoboda , Josef Tkadlec , Andreas Pavlogiannis , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Martin A. Nowak
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