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The uncertainty quantifications of theoretical results are of great importance to make meaningful comparisons of those results with experimental data and to make predictions in experimentally unknown regions. By quantifying uncertainties,…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-12-10 Sota Yoshida , Noritaka Shimizu , Tomoaki Togashi , Takaharu Otsuka

Autonomous driving in dense, dynamic environments requires decision-making systems that can exploit both spatial structure and long-horizon temporal dependencies while remaining robust to uncertainty. This work presents a novel framework…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Zhihao Zhang , Chengyang Peng , Minghao Zhu , Ekim Yurtsever , Keith A. Redmill

Current state-of-the-art trackers often fail due to distractorsand large object appearance changes. In this work, we explore the use ofdense optical flow to improve tracking robustness. Our main insight is that, because flow estimation can…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Jianing Qian , Junyu Nan , Siddharth Ancha , Brian Okorn , David Held

Despite the simplicity of its molecular unit, water is a challenging system because of its uniquely rich polymorphism and predicted but yet unconfirmed features. Introducing a novel space of generalized coordinates that capture changes in…

Dynamical phase transitions are defined as non-analytic points of the large deviation function of current fluctuations. We show that for boundary driven systems, many dynamical phase transitions can be identified using the geometrical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-12-13 Ohad Shpielberg

Kinetic equations play a major rule in modeling large systems of interacting particles. Recently the legacy of classical kinetic theory found novel applications in socio-economic and life sciences, where processes characterized by large…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-06-26 Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi , Mattia Zanella

Spatiotemporal prediction plays a critical role in numerous real-world applications such as urban planning, transportation optimization, disaster response, and pandemic control. In recent years, researchers have made significant progress by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Dahai Yu , Dingyi Zhuang , Lin Jiang , Rongchao Xu , Xinyue Ye , Yuheng Bu , Shenhao Wang , Guang Wang

Deep learning models achieve state-of-the art results in predicting blood glucose trajectories, with a wide range of architectures being proposed. However, the adaptation of such models in clinical practice is slow, largely due to the lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Renat Sergazinov , Mohammadreza Armandpour , Irina Gaynanova

Accurate ocean modeling and coastal hazard prediction depend on high-resolution bathymetric data; yet, current worldwide datasets are too coarse for exact numerical simulations. While recent deep learning advances have improved earth…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Jose Marie Antonio Minoza

Data following an interval structure are increasingly prevalent in many scientific applications. In medicine, clinical events are often monitored between two clinical visits, making the exact time of the event unknown and generating…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Carlos García Meixide , Michael R. Kosorok , Marcos Matabuena

A variety of methods is available to quantify uncertainties arising with\-in the modeling of flow and transport in carbon dioxide storage, but there is a lack of thorough comparisons. Usually, raw data from such storage sites can hardly be…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-11-13 Markus Köppel , Fabian Franzelin , Ilja Kröker , Sergey Oladyshkin , Gabriele Santin , Dominik Wittwar , Andrea Barth , Bernard Haasdonk , Wolfgang Nowak , Dirk Pflüger , Christian Rohde

Neural networks (NNs) are currently changing the computational paradigm on how to combine data with mathematical laws in physics and engineering in a profound way, tackling challenging inverse and ill-posed problems not solvable with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Apostolos F Psaros , Xuhui Meng , Zongren Zou , Ling Guo , George Em Karniadakis

Uncertainty quantification is crucial for building reliable and trustable machine learning systems. We propose to estimate uncertainty in recurrent neural networks (RNNs) via stochastic discrete state transitions over recurrent timesteps.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Cheng Wang , Carolin Lawrence , Mathias Niepert

Uncertainty quantification is a critical yet unsolved challenge for deep learning, especially for the time series imputation with irregularly sampled measurements. To tackle this problem, we propose a novel framework based on the principles…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Shweta Dahale , Sai Munikoti , Balasubramaniam Natarajan

Traffic congestion occurs as travel demand exceeds network capacity, necessitating a thorough understanding of network capacity for effective traffic control and management. The macroscopic fundamental diagram (MFD) provides an efficient…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-28 Wenfei Ma , Yunping Huang , Nan Zheng , Tianlu Pan , Renxin Zhong

Nonlinear systems with model uncertainty are often described by stochastic differential equations. Some techniques from random dynamical systems are discussed. They are relevant to better understanding of solution processes of stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-11-25 Jinqiao Duan

We develop an enthalpy-based modeling and computational framework to quantify uncertainty in Stefan problems with an injection boundary. Inspired by airfoil icing studies, we consider a system featuring an injection boundary inducing domain…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Zhenyi Zhang , Shengbo Ma , Zhennan Zhou

Numerous studies have focused on learning and understanding the dynamics of physical systems from video data, such as spatial intelligence. Artificial intelligence requires quantitative assessments of the uncertainty of the model to ensure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Aoming Liang , Qi Liu , Lei Xu , Fahad Sohrab , Weicheng Cui , Changhui Song , Moncef Gabbouj

Determining the optimal locations for placing extra observational measurements has practical significance. However, the exact underlying flow field is never known in practice. Significant uncertainty appears when the flow field is inferred…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-07-25 Nan Chen , Evelyn Lunasin , Stephen Wiggins

Predicting the motion of a driver's vehicle is crucial for advanced driving systems, enabling detection of potential risks towards shared control between the driver and automation systems. In this paper, we propose a variational neural…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Xin Huang , Stephen McGill , Brian C. Williams , Luke Fletcher , Guy Rosman
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