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Quantifying a model's predictive uncertainty is essential for safety-critical applications such as autonomous driving. We consider quantifying such uncertainty for multi-object detection. In particular, we leverage conformal prediction to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-31 Alexander Timans , Christoph-Nikolas Straehle , Kaspar Sakmann , Eric Nalisnick

In this article we look at stochastic processes with uncertain parameters, and consider different ways in which information is obtained when carrying out observations. For example we focus on the case of a the random evolution of a traded…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-08 Will Hicks

Despite their deterministic nature, dynamical systems often exhibit seemingly random behaviour. Consequently, a dynamical system is usually represented by a probabilistic model of which the unknown parameters must be estimated using…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Kasun Fernando , Nan Zou

The attempt to gain a theoretical understanding of the concept of time in quantum mechanics has triggered significant progress towards the search for faster and more efficient quantum technologies. One of such advances consists in the…

There is a growing interest in methods for detecting and interpreting changes in experimental time evolution data. Based on measured time series, the quantitative characterization of dynamical phase transitions at bifurcation points of the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-07-19 Bulcsú Sándor , András Rusu , Károly Dénes , Mária Ercsey-Ravasz , Zsolt I. Lázár

One of the primary drivers for self-adaptation is ensuring that systems achieve their goals regardless of the uncertainties they face during operation. Nevertheless, the concept of uncertainty in self-adaptive systems is still…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-03-05 Sara M. Hezavehi , Danny Weyns , Paris Avgeriou , Radu Calinescu , Raffaela Mirandola , Diego Perez-Palacin

It is well known that Boussinesq turbulent-viscosity hypothesis can introduce uncertainty in predictions for complex flow features such as separation, reattachment, and laminar-turbulent transition. This study adopts a recent physics-based…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-10-19 Minghan Chu , Xiaohua Wu , David E. Rival

As data plays an increasingly pivotal role in decision-making, the emergence of data markets underscores the growing importance of data valuation. Within the machine learning landscape, Data Shapley stands out as a widely embraced method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-30 Mengmeng Wu , Zhihong Liu , Xiang Li , Ruoxi Jia , Xiangyu Chang

We consider systems under uncertainty whose dynamics are partially unknown. Our aim is to study satisfaction of temporal logic properties by trajectories of such systems. We express these properties as signal temporal logic formulas and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-12 Ali Salamati , Sadegh Soudjani , Majid Zamani

The gap in statistics between multi-variate and time-series analysis can be bridged by using entropy statistics and recent developments in multi-dimensional scaling. For explaining the evolution of the sciences as non-linear dynamics, the…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2012-11-13 Loet Leydesdorff

Many quantum technologies rely on high-precision dynamics, which raises the question of how these are influenced by the experimental uncertainties that are always present in real-life settings. A standard approach in the literature to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-04-27 Mogens Dalgaard , Carrie A. Weidner , Felix Motzoi

The uncertainty quantification of prediction models (e.g., neural networks) is crucial for their adoption in many robotics applications. This is arguably as important as making accurate predictions, especially for safety-critical…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Junan Chen , Josephine Monica , Wei-Lun Chao , Mark Campbell

In this article, we consider transport networks with uncertain demands. Network dynamics are given by linear hyperbolic partial differential equations and suitable coupling conditions, while demands are incorporated as solutions to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-16 Simone Göttlich , Thomas Schillinger

Advances in architectural design, data availability, and compute have driven remarkable progress in semantic segmentation. Yet, these models often rely on relaxed Bayesian assumptions, omitting critical uncertainty information needed for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-19 M. M. A. Valiuddin , R. J. G. van Sloun , C. G. A. Viviers , P. H. N. de With , F. van der Sommen

Ubiquitous mobile devices are generating vast amounts of location-based service data that reveal how individuals navigate and utilize urban spaces in detail. In this study, we utilize these extensive, unlabeled sequences of user…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Xinhua Wu , Haoyu He , Yanchao Wang , Qi Wang

Intractable phase dynamics often challenge our understanding of complex oscillatory systems, hindering the exploration of synchronisation, chaos, and emergent phenomena across diverse fields. We introduce a novel conceptual framework for…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-07-02 Marco Thiel

This work establishes a crucial step toward advancing data-driven trajectory-based methods for stochastic systems with unknown mathematical dynamics. In contrast to scenario-based approaches that rely on independent and identically…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-01 Abolfazl Lavaei

Existing methods for estimating uncertainty in deep learning tend to require multiple forward passes, making them unsuitable for applications where computational resources are limited. To solve this, we perform probabilistic reasoning over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-08 Javier Antorán , James Urquhart Allingham , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Dynamical systems often exhibit the emergence of long-lived coherent sets, which are regions in state space that keep their geometric integrity to a high extent and thus play an important role in transport. In this article, we provide a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-04-05 Ralf Banisch , Péter Koltai

We consider the problem of trajectory planning in an environment comprised of a set of obstacles with uncertain locations. While previous approaches model the uncertainties with a prescribed Gaussian distribution, we consider the realistic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Vasileios Lefkopoulos , Maryam Kamgarpour
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