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It is becoming increasingly apparent that probabilistic approaches can overcome conservatism and computational complexity of the classical worst-case deterministic framework and may lead to designs that are actually safer. In this paper we…

Applications · Statistics 2008-11-01 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

This paper studies a Markov network model for unbalanced data, aiming to solve the problems of classification bias and insufficient minority class recognition ability of traditional machine learning models in environments with uneven class…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-06 Junliang Du , Shiyu Dou , Bohuan Yang , Jiacheng Hu , Tai An

We consider the problem of statistical inference in a parametric finite Markov chain model and develop a robust estimator of the parameters defining the transition probabilities via minimization of a suitable (empirical) version of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-23 Abhik Ghosh

Euclidean Markov decision processes are a powerful tool for modeling control problems under uncertainty over continuous domains. Finite state imprecise, Markov decision processes can be used to approximate the behavior of these infinite…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-06-29 Manfred Jaeger , Giorgio Bacci , Giovanni Bacci , Kim Guldstrand Larsen , Peter Gjøl Jensen

Reward design in reinforcement learning and optimal control is challenging. Preference-based alignment addresses this by enabling agents to learn rewards from ranked trajectory pairs provided by humans. However, existing methods often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Zhixian Xie , Haode Zhang , Yizhe Feng , Wanxin Jin

The concepts of probability, statistics and stochastic theory are being successfully used in structural engineering. Markov Chain modelling is a simple stochastic process model that has found its application in both describing stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2007-08-14 K. Balaji Rao

A tenet of reinforcement learning is that the agent always observes rewards. However, this is not true in many realistic settings, e.g., a human observer may not always be available to provide rewards, sensors may be limited or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Alireza Kazemipour , Simone Parisi , Matthew E. Taylor , Michael Bowling

In this paper, we present Robust Model Predictive Control (MPC) problems with adjustable uncertainty sets. In contrast to standard Robust MPC problems with known uncertainty sets, we treat the uncertainty sets in our problems as additional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-21 Yeojun Kim , Xiaojing Zhang , Jacopo Guanetti , Francesco Borrelli

This paper addresses a key limitation in existing counterfactual inference methods for Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). Current approaches assume a specific causal model to make counterfactuals identifiable. However, there are usually many…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Jessica Lally , Milad Kazemi , Nicola Paoletti

Although the notion of diagnostic problem has been extensively investigated in the context of static systems, in most practical applications the behavior of the modeled system is significantly variable during time. The goal of the paper is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Luigi Portinale

Recent advances in uncertainty quantification increasingly emphasise the distinction between aleatory and epistemic uncertainty in machine learning, motivating the need for more unified frameworks. However, despite much progress in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Yu Chen , Scott Ferson

The paper studies a probabilistic notion of causes in Markov chains that relies on the counterfactuality principle and the probability-raising property. This notion is motivated by the use of causes for monitoring purposes where the aim is…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-07-09 Christel Baier , Florian Funke , Simon Jantsch , Jakob Piribauer , Robin Ziemek

Neural networks are becoming increasingly prevalent in software, and it is therefore important to be able to verify their behavior. Because verifying the correctness of neural networks is extremely challenging, it is common to focus on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-19 Ravi Mangal , Aditya V. Nori , Alessandro Orso

Markov decision processes are typically used for sequential decision making under uncertainty. For many aspects however, ranging from constrained or safe specifications to various kinds of temporal (non-Markovian) dependencies in task and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Nicky Lenaers , Martijn van Otterlo

We revisit the symbolic verification of Markov chains with respect to finite horizon reachability properties. The prevalent approach iteratively computes step-bounded state reachability probabilities. By contrast, recent advances in…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-07-01 Steven Holtzen , Sebastian Junges , Marcell Vazquez-Chanlatte , Todd Millstein , Sanjit A. Seshia , Guy Van Den Broeck

Efficient exploration remains a challenging problem in reinforcement learning, especially for those tasks where rewards from environments are sparse. A commonly used approach for exploring such environments is to introduce some "intrinsic"…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-16 Neale Ratzlaff , Qinxun Bai , Li Fuxin , Wei Xu

This paper deals with the problem of formulating an adaptive Model Predictive Control strategy for constrained uncertain systems. We consider a linear system, in presence of bounded time varying additive uncertainty. The uncertainty is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-13 Monimoy Bujarbaruah , Xiaojing Zhang , Marko Tanaskovic , Francesco Borrelli

This paper investigates methods for estimating the optimal stochastic control policy for a Markov Decision Process with unknown transition dynamics and an unknown reward function. This form of model-free reinforcement learning comprises…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Brandon Trabucco , Albert Qu , Simon Li , Ganeshkumar Ashokavardhanan

For systems with uncertain linear models, bounded additive disturbances and state and control constraints, a robust model predictive control algorithm incorporating online model adaptation is proposed. Sets of model parameters are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Xiaonan Lu , Mark Cannon , Denis Koksal-Rivet

In this paper we present a framework for risk-sensitive model predictive control (MPC) of linear systems affected by stochastic multiplicative uncertainty. Our key innovation is to consider a time-consistent, dynamic risk evaluation of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-26 Sumeet Singh , Yin-Lam Chow , Anirudha Majumdar , Marco Pavone