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Related papers: Optimizing Expected Shortfall under an $\ell_1$ co…

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Expected Shortfall (ES) has been widely accepted as a risk measure that is conceptually superior to Value-at-Risk (VaR). At the same time, however, it has been criticised for issues relating to backtesting. In particular, ES has been found…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-20 Susanne Emmer , Marie Kratz , Dirk Tasche

We study issues of robustness in the context of Quantitative Risk Management and Optimization. We develop a general methodology for determining whether a given risk measurement related optimization problem is robust, which we call…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-12 Paul Embrechts , Alexander Schied , Ruodu Wang

Financial institutions have to allocate so-called "economic capital" in order to guarantee solvency to their clients and counter parties. Mathematically speaking, any methodology of allocating capital is a "risk measure", i.e. a function…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2011-08-09 Dirk Tasche

In this paper we discuss the numerical solution of elliptic distributed optimal control problems with state or control constraints when the control is considered in the energy norm. As in the unconstrained case we can relate the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-28 Peter Gangl , Richard Löscher , Olaf Steinbach

Expected Shortfall (ES, also known as CVaR) is the most important coherent risk measure in finance, insurance, risk management, and engineering. Recently, Wang and Zitikis (2021) put forward four economic axioms for portfolio risk…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-05 Xia Han , Bin Wang , Ruodu Wang , Qinyu Wu

The Expected Shortfall (ES) is one of the most important regulatory risk measures in finance, insurance, and statistics, which has recently been characterized via sets of axioms from perspectives of portfolio risk management and statistics.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-09-09 Qiuqi Wang , Ruodu Wang , Ricardas Zitikis

This paper investigates the impact of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) constraint on a regularized mean-variance (MV) portfolio optimization problem in a large-dimensional setting, in which a positive definite regularization…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-17 Ruike Wu , Yonghe Lu , Yanrong Yang

We introduce new forecast encompassing tests for the risk measure Expected Shortfall (ES). The ES currently receives much attention through its introduction into the Basel III Accords, which stipulate its use as the primary market risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-31 Timo Dimitriadis , Julie Schnaitmann

We address the problem of portfolio optimization under the simplest coherent risk measure, i.e. the expected shortfall. As it is well known, one can map this problem into a linear programming setting. For some values of the external…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Stefano Ciliberti , Imre Kondor , Marc Mezard

This paper introduces novel backtests for the risk measure Expected Shortfall (ES) following the testing idea of Mincer and Zarnowitz (1969). Estimating a regression framework for the ES stand-alone is infeasible, and thus, our tests are…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-31 Sebastian Bayer , Timo Dimitriadis

To provide a comprehensive summary of the tail distribution, the expected shortfall is defined as the average over the tail above (or below) a certain quantile of the distribution. The expected shortfall regression captures the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Yuanzhi Li , Shushu Zhang , Xuming He

We study the properties of Expected Shortfall from the point of view of financial risk management. This measure --- which emerges as a natural remedy in some cases where Value at Risk (VaR) is not able to distinguish portfolios which bear…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Carlo Acerbi , Claudio Nordio , Carlo Sirtori

We study the robustness properties of $\ell_1$ norm minimization for the classical linear regression problem with a given design matrix and contamination restricted to the dependent variable. We perform a fine error analysis of the $\ell_1$…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-02-26 Salvador Flores , Luis M. Briceno-Arias

We introduce a novel regression framework which simultaneously models the quantile and the Expected Shortfall (ES) of a response variable given a set of covariates. This regression is based on a strictly consistent loss function for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-13 Timo Dimitriadis , Sebastian Bayer

In stochastic convex optimization the goal is to minimize a convex function $F(x) \doteq {\mathbf E}_{{\mathbf f}\sim D}[{\mathbf f}(x)]$ over a convex set $\cal K \subset {\mathbb R}^d$ where $D$ is some unknown distribution and each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-12-28 Vitaly Feldman

We study the feasibility and noise sensitivity of portfolio optimization under some downside risk measures (Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall, and semivariance) when they are estimated by fitting a parametric distribution on a finite sample…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Istvan Varga-Haszonits , Imre Kondor

Selecting appropriate regularization coefficients is critical to performance with respect to regularized empirical risk minimization problems. Existing theoretical approaches attempt to determine the coefficients in order for regularized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-05 Akihiro Yabe , Takanori Maehara

Value at risk and expected shortfall are increasingly popular tail risk measures in the financial risk management field. Both academia and financial institutions are working to improve tail risk forecasts in order to meet the requirements…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-23 Zhengkun Li

We introduce a semiparametric approach for forecasting Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) by modeling the conditional scale of financial returns, defined as the difference between two specified quantiles, via restricted…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-18 Xiaochun Liu , Richard Luger

We consider the combination of value-at-risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) forecasts when a large pool of candidate forecasts is available. Given the limited literature in this area, we implement a variety of new combining methods. In…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-15 James W. Taylor , Chao Wang