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This paper considers mutual obligations in the interconnected bank system and analyzes their influence on joint and marginal survival probabilities as well as CDS and FTD prices for the individual banks. To make the role of mutual…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-11 Andrey Itkin , Alexander Lipton

In recent years research on credit risk modelling has mainly focused on default probabilities. Recovery rates are usually modelled independently, quite often they are even assumed constant. Then, however, the structural connection between…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-06 Alexander F. R. Koivusalo , Rudi Schäfer

In this paper we study arbitrage theory of financial markets in the absence of a num\'eraire both in discrete and continuous time. In our main results, we provide a generalization of the classical equivalence between no unbounded profits…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-18 Philipp Harms , Chong Liu , Ariel Neufeld

In this paper we are interested in term structure models for pricing zero coupon bonds under rapidly oscillating stochastic volatility. We analyze solutions to the generalized Cox-Ingersoll-Ross two factors model describing clustering of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 B. Stehlikova , D. Sevcovic

In this paper, we prove the global risk optimality of the hedging strategy of contingent claim, which is explicitly (or called semi-explicitly) constructed for an incomplete financial market with external risk factors of non-Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-28 Wanyang Dai

Explicitly taking into account the risk incurred when borrowing at a shorter tenor versus lending at a longer tenor ("roll-over risk"), we construct a stochastic model framework for the term structure of interest rates in which a frequency…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-19 Mesias Alfeus , Martino Grasselli , Erik Schlögl

In this paper, the relevance of the Feller conditions in discrete time macro-finance term structure models is investigated. The Feller conditions are usually imposed on a continuous time multivariate square root process to ensure that the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Peter Spreij , Enno Veerman , Peter Vlaar

The paper is concerned with stochastic equations for the short rate process $R$ $$ dR(t)=F(R(t))dt+G(R(t-))dZ(t), $$ in the affine model of the bond prices. The equation is driven by a L\'evy martingale $Z$. It is shown that the discounted…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-26 Michal Barski , Jerzy Zabczyk

The drift burst hypothesis postulates the existence of short-lived locally explosive trends in the price paths of financial assets. The recent U.S. equity and treasury flash crashes can be viewed as two high-profile manifestations of such…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-16 Kim Christensen , Roel C. A. Oomen , Roberto Renò

Given the univariate marginals of a real-valued, continuous-time martingale, (respectively, a family of measures parameterised by $t \in [0,T]$ which is increasing in convex order, or a double continuum of call prices) we construct a family…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-15 David Hobson

In the context of jump-diffusion market models we construct examples that satisfy the weaker no-arbitrage condition of NA1 (NUPBR), but not NFLVR. We show that in these examples the only candidate for the density process of an equivalent…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-30 Jacopo Mancin , Wolfgang J. Runggaldier

We review recent progress in modeling credit risk for correlated assets. We start from the Merton model which default events and losses are derived from the asset values at maturity. To estimate the time development of the asset values, the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-02 Andreas Mühlbacher , Thomas Guhr

We explore credit risk pricing by modeling equity as a call option and debt as the difference between the firm's asset value and a put option, following the structural framework of the Merton model. Our approach proceeds in two stages:…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-17 Jagdish Gnawali , Abootaleb Shirvani , Svetlozar T. Rachev

We introduce Hermite fractional financial markets, where market uncertainties are described by multidimensional Hermite motions. Hermite markets include as particular cases financial markets driven by multivariate fractional Brownian motion…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-28 Svetlozar T. Rachev , Stefan Mittnik , Frank J. Fabozzi

In this paper we study a family of nonlinear (conditional) expectations that can be understood as a semimartingale with uncertain local characteristics. Here, the differential characteristics are prescribed by a time and path-dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-07 David Criens , Lars Niemann

We introduce a discrete binary tree for pricing contingent claims with the underlying security prices exhibiting history dependence characteristic of that induced by market microstructure phenomena. Example dependencies considered include…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-29 Davide Lauria , W. Brent Lindquist , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Yuan Hu

The Constant Elasticity of Variance (CEV) model is mathematically presented and then used in a Credit-Equity hybrid framework. Next, we propose extensions to the CEV model with default: firstly by adding a stochastic volatility diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Marc Atlan , Boris Leblanc

Drawing on set theory, this paper contributes to a deeper understanding of the structural condition of mathematical finance under Knightian uncertainty. We adopt a projective framework in which all components of the model -- prices, priors…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-01 Alexandre Boistard , Laurence Carassus , Safae Issaoui

In this paper, we consider a generic interest rate market in the presence of roll-over risk, which generates spreads in spot/forward term rates. We do not require classical absence of arbitrage and rely instead on a minimal market viability…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-06 Claudio Fontana , Simone Pavarana , Wolfgang J. Runggaldier

Given a random sample from a random variable $T$ which is bounded from above, $T\le\tau$ a.s., we define processes that are positive supermartingales if $E(T)\ge\mu$. Such processes are called test martingales. Tests of the supermartingale…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-20 Harrie Hendriks