English

A stochastic control perspective on term structure models with roll-over risk

Pricing of Securities 2023-10-06 v2 Optimization and Control

Abstract

In this paper, we consider a generic interest rate market in the presence of roll-over risk, which generates spreads in spot/forward term rates. We do not require classical absence of arbitrage and rely instead on a minimal market viability assumption, which enables us to work in the context of the benchmark approach. In a Markovian setting, we extend the control theoretic approach of Gombani & Runggaldier (2013) and derive representations of spot/forward spreads as value functions of suitable stochastic optimal control problems, formulated under the real-world probability and with power-type objective functionals. We determine endogenously the funding-liquidity spread by relating it to the risk-sensitive optimization problem of a representative investor.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2304.04453,
  title  = {A stochastic control perspective on term structure models with roll-over risk},
  author = {Claudio Fontana and Simone Pavarana and Wolfgang J. Runggaldier},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2304.04453},
  year   = {2023}
}

Comments

25 pages (revised version)

R2 v1 2026-06-28T09:56:55.467Z